San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys Preview & Odds — November 15, 2026

Matchup preview

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Odds and line movement

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 14

• 49ers -4-109BetRivers
• Cowboys +4-105Hard Rock
• Over 55.5-108Novig
• Under 55.5+104Novig
• 49ers-190Novig
• Cowboys+186Novig

Players to watch

Christian McCaffrey has 457 rushing yards on 102 carries (18th of 41 qualified running backs). CeeDee Lamb has 904 receiving yards for the Cowboys (2nd of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 32.9%. Javonte Williams has 629 rushing yards on 154 carries (9th of 41 qualified running backs).

49ers

RB · Christian McCaffrey

• Carries102
• Rush yards45718th
• Yards per carry4.513th
• EPA per rush+0.1292nd
• Rush success rate51.0%2nd

WR · Jordan Watkins

• Targets / catches13 / 10
• Receiving yards224
• Target share11.1%
• Yards per target17.2
• EPA per target+0.952

TE · George Kittle

• Targets / catches53 / 38
• Receiving yards4833rd
• Target share23.2%4th
• Yards per target9.17th
• EPA per target+0.28116th

Cowboys

RB · Javonte Williams

• Carries154
• Rush yards6299th
• Yards per carry4.124th
• EPA per rush+0.00510th
• Rush success rate44.8%9th

WR · CeeDee Lamb

• Targets / catches108 / 70
• Receiving yards9042nd
• Target share32.9%3rd
• Yards per target8.436th
• EPA per target+0.32429th

TE · Brevyn Spann-Ford

• Targets / catches21 / 15
• Receiving yards130
• Target share6.4%
• Yards per target6.2
• EPA per target+0.164

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

On early downs the 49ers succeed on 52.0% of plays (1st) against a Cowboys defense that allows 44.8% (24th); on 3rd down they convert 52.3% (2nd) against a defense allowing 49.1% (31st). On early downs the Cowboys succeed on 45.4% of plays (10th) against a 49ers defense that allows 42.6% (16th); on 3rd down they convert 45.3% (5th) against a defense allowing 40.8% (19th). The 49ers score touchdowns on 85.2% of red-zone trips (1st). The Cowboys score touchdowns on 67.6% of red-zone trips (7th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

The 49ers pass more often than down, distance and score would suggest (0.7% pass rate over expected, 6th-highest), while the Cowboys sit at −0.3% (9th-highest). In neutral situations the 49ers take 33.9 seconds between snaps and the Cowboys 31.5, so the Cowboys play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the 49ers have gone for it 8 of 11 times and the Cowboys 7 of 8.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 7 times since 2015: the 49ers won 4 and the Cowboys 3. In the most recent meeting (October 27, 2024), the 49ers won 30-24; the Cowboys averaged −0.018 EPA per play; the 49ers averaged +0.251 EPA per play.

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.