New York Rangers vs New Jersey Devils Final — October 15, 2026
NYRStarting goaliesNJ
NYROffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NJNYRDefenseNJNYRTeamNJNYR5-on-5NJNYRSpecial teamsNJNYRRecent formNJNYRHome and roadseason to dateNJInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
NYRRest & travelNJNYRKey injuriesNJAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 15, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Rangers (6-2-0) visited the Devils (3-3-0) on Thursday, October 15 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Rangers scored 2.90 goals per game (23rd of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Devils scored 2.80 goals per game (27th of 32) and allowed 3.10 (17th). The Rangers earned 47.0% of available standings points (29th) and the Devils 53.0% (21st).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Rangers 48.4% (23rd), Devils 49.7% (18th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Rangers 48.9% (20th), Devils 51.4% (10th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Rangers 49.0% (17th), Devils 48.9% (18th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed at 6.5, up from 5.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Rangers +110, Devils -130) prices the Rangers at 46% and the Devils at 54%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
New York Rangers 1, New Jersey Devils 7
New Jersey Devils won by 6.
- Against the closing spread (New Jersey Devils -1.5): New Jersey Devils covered.
- Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- New Jersey Devils closed at -130 on the moneyline (a 54% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New Jersey Devils 7
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward New York Rangers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (New York Rangers 46%, New Jersey Devils 54%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 19:30 — New Jersey Devils goal (0-1)New Jersey Devils 54% → 71% (+17 pts)
- 2nd 0:18 — New Jersey Devils goal (0-2)New Jersey Devils 71% → 85% (+14 pts)
- 2nd 4:08 — New Jersey Devils goal (0-3)New Jersey Devils 86% → 94% (+8 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New Jersey Devils won 74% of G&W replays (New York Rangers 26%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New Jersey Devils. Here is where that came from.
| Rangers | Goals | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.5 |
| 0.7 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.6 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 1.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.2 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.0 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| -0.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +3.6 |
| -3.6 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Spencer Martin 15/18, Dylan Garand 9/13 · Nico Daws 18/19 | +0.6 |
How the margin was built, from New Jersey Devils's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
New Jersey Devils closed as the market favourite at 54% and won.
The line moved toward New York Rangers before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Rangers +1.5 (-205)
Rangers +1.5 (-235)
Devils -145 57%
Devils -130 54%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 35 times since 2018-19: the Rangers won 21 and the Devils 14.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Devils 1, Rangers 4 Rangers won | ||
| Mar 18, 2026 | Devils 6, Rangers 3 Devils won | Devils -125 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Rangers 3, Devils 6 Devils won | Devils -172 favorite won | 6 over |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Rangers 0, Devils 4 Devils won | Devils -130 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Devils 2, Rangers 3 OT Rangers won | Devils -155 underdog won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
New York Rangers
- New York Rangers team stats
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- New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (Oct 22)
New Jersey Devils
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