San Jose Sharks vs Nashville Predators Final — October 15, 2026
SJStarting goaliesNSH
SJOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NSHSJDefenseNSHSJTeamNSHSJ5-on-5NSHSJSpecial teamsNSHSJRecent formNSHSJHome and roadseason to dateNSHInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
SJRest & travelNSHSJKey injuriesNSHAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 15, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Sharks (3-3-0) visited the Predators (2-2-2) on Thursday, October 15 at 8:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Sharks scored 3.06 goals per game (18th of 32) and allowed 3.56 (30th). The Predators scored 3.01 goals per game (21st of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Sharks earned 52.4% of available standings points (22nd) and the Predators 52.4% (22nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Sharks 47.4% (26th), Predators 48.5% (22nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Sharks 46.9% (28th), Predators 50.1% (14th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Sharks 54.7% (7th), Predators 49.0% (16th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Sharks +108, Predators -129) prices the Sharks at 46% and the Predators at 54%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
San Jose Sharks 3, Nashville Predators 2
San Jose Sharks won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Nashville Predators -1.5): San Jose Sharks covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- San Jose Sharks closed at +108 on the moneyline (a 46% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Nashville Predators 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward San Jose Sharks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (San Jose Sharks 46%, Nashville Predators 54%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 3rd 9:05 — Nashville Predators goal (2-1)Nashville Predators 6% → 22% (+16 pts)
- 3rd 19:59 — Nashville Predators goal (2-2)Nashville Predators <1% → 51% (+51 pts)
- OT 5:00 — Nashville Predators game-endSan Jose Sharks 50% → 100% (+50 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, San Jose Sharks won 53% of G&W replays (Nashville Predators 47%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Sharks | Goals | Predators |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.9 |
| 0.9 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.0 |
| 0.2 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 3.1 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.9 |
| 0.8 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 1.2 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.6 |
| -1.9 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -2.1 |
| +2.1 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Alex Nedeljkovic 32/34 · Juuse Saros 30/32 | +1.9 |
How the margin was built, from San Jose Sharks's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Nashville Predators closed as the market favourite at 54% and lost.
The line moved toward San Jose Sharks before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Sharks +1.5 (-232)
Sharks +1.5 (-230)
Predators -137 55%
Predators -129 54%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 21 times since 2018-19: the Sharks won 4 and the Predators 17.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Sharks 3, Predators 2 Sharks won | Predators -157 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Predators 6, Sharks 3 Predators won | ||
| Mar 24, 2026 | Sharks 3, Predators 6 Predators won | Predators -140 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Predators 3, Sharks 2 Predators won | Predators -166 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Predators 6, Sharks 5 Predators won | Predators -245 favorite won | 6 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
San Jose Sharks
- San Jose Sharks team stats
- Buffalo Sabres 2, San Jose Sharks 0 (Oct 27)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Boston Bruins 6 (Oct 24)
- San Jose Sharks 6, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 22)
Nashville Predators
- Nashville Predators team stats
- New York Islanders 4, Nashville Predators 3 (Oct 27)
- Colorado Avalanche 2, Nashville Predators 6 (Oct 25)
- Nashville Predators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (Oct 24)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 15, 2026
- Vancouver Canucks 2, Florida Panthers 3 (Oct 15)
- New York Rangers 1, New Jersey Devils 7 (Oct 15)
- New York Islanders 1, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 15)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Oct 15)
- Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (Oct 15)
- Philadelphia Flyers 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (Oct 15)
- Winnipeg Jets 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (Oct 15)
- St Louis Blues 4, Minnesota Wild 5 (Oct 15)
- Utah Mammoth 4, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 15)
- Calgary Flames 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (Oct 15)
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