Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks Final — October 15, 2026
WPGStarting goaliesCHI
WPGOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)CHIWPGDefenseCHIWPGTeamCHIWPG5-on-5CHIWPGSpecial teamsCHIWPGRecent formCHIWPGHome and roadseason to dateCHIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
WPGRest & travelCHIWPGKey injuriesCHIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 15, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Jets (4-1-1) visited the Blackhawks (2-5-0) on Thursday, October 15 at 8:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Jets scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.17 (22nd). The Blackhawks scored 2.60 goals per game (31st of 32) and allowed 3.35 (27th). The Jets earned 50.0% of available standings points (26th) and the Blackhawks 43.9% (31st).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Jets 47.5% (25th), Blackhawks 43.2% (32nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Jets 48.8% (22nd), Blackhawks 45.6% (30th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Jets 44.6% (29th), Blackhawks 43.2% (30th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed at 6.5, up from 5.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Jets -125, Blackhawks +105) prices the Jets at 53% and the Blackhawks at 47%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Winnipeg Jets 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Chicago Blackhawks won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Chicago Blackhawks +1.5): Chicago Blackhawks covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Chicago Blackhawks closed at +105 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Chicago Blackhawks 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Chicago Blackhawks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Winnipeg Jets 53%, Chicago Blackhawks 47%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 8:11 — Chicago Blackhawks goal (0-1)Chicago Blackhawks 47% → 66% (+18 pts)
- 3rd 5:39 — Winnipeg Jets goal (3-3)Winnipeg Jets 23% → 52% (+29 pts)
- OT 1:37 — Chicago Blackhawks goal (3-4)Chicago Blackhawks 49% → 100% (+51 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Winnipeg Jets won 59% of G&W replays (Chicago Blackhawks 41%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Jets | Goals | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.8 |
| 0.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.8 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 3.4 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.7 |
| 0.2 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.2 |
| 0.7 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.1 |
| -0.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.1 |
| -1.1 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Stuart Skinner 24/28 · Spencer Knight 31/34 | +0.6 |
How the margin was built, from Chicago Blackhawks's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Winnipeg Jets closed as the market favourite at 53% and lost.
The line moved toward Chicago Blackhawks before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Jets -1.5 (+167)
Jets -1.5 (+192)
Blackhawks +122 43%
Blackhawks +105 47%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 27 times since 2018-19: the Jets won 22 and the Blackhawks 5.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Jets 4, Blackhawks 3 OT Jets won | Jets -152 favorite won | 6 over |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Blackhawks 2, Jets 3 OT Jets won | Jets -150 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Jets 0, Blackhawks 2 Blackhawks won | Jets -148 underdog won | 6 under |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Blackhawks 3, Jets 6 Jets won | Jets -205 favorite won | 6 over |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Jets 5, Blackhawks 4 SO Jets won | Jets -320 favorite won | 5.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets team stats
- Florida Panthers 5, Winnipeg Jets 1 (Oct 27)
- Montréal Canadiens 2, Winnipeg Jets 1 (Oct 25)
- Winnipeg Jets 2, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 22)
Chicago Blackhawks
- Chicago Blackhawks team stats
- Los Angeles Kings 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (Oct 27)
- Florida Panthers 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (Oct 25)
- Montréal Canadiens 4, Chicago Blackhawks 1 (Oct 23)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 15, 2026
- Vancouver Canucks 2, Florida Panthers 3 (Oct 15)
- New York Rangers 1, New Jersey Devils 7 (Oct 15)
- New York Islanders 1, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 15)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Oct 15)
- Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (Oct 15)
- Philadelphia Flyers 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (Oct 15)
- St Louis Blues 4, Minnesota Wild 5 (Oct 15)
- San Jose Sharks 3, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 15)
- Utah Mammoth 4, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 15)
- Calgary Flames 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (Oct 15)
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