Utah Mammoth vs Edmonton Oilers Final — October 15, 2026
UTAHStarting goaliesEDM
UTAHOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)EDMUTAHDefenseEDMUTAHTeamEDMUTAH5-on-5EDMUTAHSpecial teamsEDMUTAHRecent formEDMUTAHHome and roadseason to dateEDMInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
UTAHRest & travelEDMUTAHKey injuriesEDMAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 15, 12:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Mammoth (5-2-0) visited the Oilers (5-0-1) on Thursday, October 15 at 9:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Mammoth scored 3.27 goals per game (13th of 32) and allowed 2.93 (4th). The Oilers scored 3.44 goals per game (7th of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Mammoth earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Oilers 56.7% (14th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Mammoth 53.4% (6th), Oilers 51.7% (9th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Mammoth 53.1% (4th), Oilers 50.3% (12th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Mammoth 53.0% (11th), Oilers 51.0% (14th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Mammoth -115, Oilers -105) prices the Mammoth at 51% and the Oilers at 49%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Utah Mammoth 4, Edmonton Oilers 2
Utah Mammoth won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Edmonton Oilers +1.5): Utah Mammoth covered.
- Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Utah Mammoth closed at -115 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Edmonton Oilers 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 7 points toward Utah Mammoth.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Utah Mammoth 51%, Edmonton Oilers 49%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 10:38 — Utah Mammoth goal (1-0)Utah Mammoth 55% → 70% (+15 pts)
- 2nd 14:17 — Utah Mammoth goal (3-1)Utah Mammoth 73% → 88% (+15 pts)
- 3rd 1:40 — Edmonton Oilers goal (3-2)Edmonton Oilers 8% → 23% (+15 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Utah Mammoth won 73% of G&W replays (Edmonton Oilers 27%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Utah Mammoth. Here is where that came from.
| Mammoth | Goals | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.5 |
| 1.2 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.2 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 3.2 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 1.7 |
| 0.1 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.2 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| -0.4 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +0.1 |
| -0.1 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Karel Vejmelka 22/24 · Devon Levi 20/23 | +0.4 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Utah Mammoth's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Utah Mammoth closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.
The line moved toward Utah Mammoth before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Mammoth +1.5 (-205)
Mammoth -1.5 (+194)
Oilers -144 56%
Oilers -105 49%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 23 times since 2018-19: the Mammoth won 7 and the Oilers 16.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Oilers 5, Mammoth 6 OT Mammoth won | ||
| Mar 24, 2026 | Oilers 5, Mammoth 2 Oilers won | Mammoth -134 underdog won | 6.5 over |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Mammoth 3, Oilers 6 Oilers won | Oilers -150 favorite won | 6 over |
| Mar 18, 2025 | Mammoth 1, Oilers 7 Oilers won | ||
| Dec 31, 2024 | Mammoth 1, Oilers 4 Oilers won |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth team stats
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 24)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 (Oct 22)
Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers team stats
- Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers (Oct 28)
- Detroit Red Wings 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (Oct 26)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 24)
- Carolina Hurricanes 5, Edmonton Oilers 6 (Oct 22)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 15, 2026
- Vancouver Canucks 2, Florida Panthers 3 (Oct 15)
- New York Rangers 1, New Jersey Devils 7 (Oct 15)
- New York Islanders 1, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 15)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Oct 15)
- Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (Oct 15)
- Philadelphia Flyers 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (Oct 15)
- Winnipeg Jets 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (Oct 15)
- St Louis Blues 4, Minnesota Wild 5 (Oct 15)
- San Jose Sharks 3, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 15)
- Calgary Flames 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (Oct 15)
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