Anaheim Ducks vs New York Islanders Final — October 20, 2026
ANAStarting goaliesNYI
ANAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NYIANADefenseNYIANATeamNYIANA5-on-5NYIANASpecial teamsNYIANARecent formNYIANAHome and roadseason to dateNYIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
ANARest & travelNYIANAKey injuriesNYIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 20, 10:10 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Ducks (4-4-0) visited the Islanders (4-3-1) on Tuesday, October 20 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Ducks scored 3.33 goals per game (10th of 32) and allowed 3.51 (29th). The Islanders scored 2.84 goals per game (24th of 32) and allowed 2.94 (7th). The Ducks earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Islanders 55.5% (19th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Ducks 50.5% (15th), Islanders 47.9% (24th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Ducks 52.4% (6th), Islanders 49.0% (18th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Ducks 47.6% (21st), Islanders 45.5% (26th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed at 5.5, down from 6.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Ducks +130, Islanders -155) prices the Ducks at 42% and the Islanders at 58%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Anaheim Ducks 2, New York Islanders 3
New York Islanders won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (New York Islanders -1.5): Anaheim Ducks covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- New York Islanders closed at -155 on the moneyline (a 58% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Islanders 3
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Anaheim Ducks 42%, New York Islanders 58%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 13:39 — New York Islanders goal (0-1)New York Islanders 57% → 73% (+16 pts)
- 1st 16:28 — New York Islanders goal (0-2)New York Islanders 73% → 86% (+12 pts)
- 1st 17:18 — Anaheim Ducks goal (1-2)Anaheim Ducks 14% → 26% (+13 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New York Islanders won 88% of G&W replays (Anaheim Ducks 12%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New York Islanders. Here is where that came from.
| Ducks | Goals | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 3.6 |
| 0.0 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.2 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 1.5 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 4.9 |
| 0.3 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.8 |
| +0.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.9 |
| +1.9 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Lukas Dostal 22/25 · Ilya Sorokin 15/17 | -0.2 |
How the margin was built, from New York Islanders's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
New York Islanders closed as the market favourite at 58% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Ducks +1.5 (-191)
Ducks +1.5 (-200)
Islanders -155 58%
Islanders -155 58%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Ducks won 6 and the Islanders 8.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Islanders 1, Ducks 5 Ducks won | Islanders -120 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Ducks 2, Islanders 5 Islanders won | Islanders -115 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Islanders 1, Ducks 4 Ducks won | 6 under | |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Ducks 3, Islanders 1 Ducks won | Islanders -250 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Islanders 6, Ducks 1 Islanders won | Islanders -220 favorite won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Anaheim Ducks
- Anaheim Ducks team stats
- Vancouver Canucks 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (Oct 27)
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (Oct 24)
- Anaheim Ducks 1, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 22)
New York Islanders
- New York Islanders team stats
- New York Islanders 4, Nashville Predators 3 (Oct 27)
- New York Islanders 3, Dallas Stars 6 (Oct 25)
- Los Angeles Kings 3, New York Islanders 2 (Oct 22)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 20, 2026
- Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 20)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (Oct 20)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 20)
- Los Angeles Kings 5, Washington Capitals 2 (Oct 20)
- Boston Bruins 2, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 20)
- Winnipeg Jets 1, St Louis Blues 2 (Oct 20)
- Minnesota Wild 3, Edmonton Oilers 4 (Oct 20)
- Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (Oct 20)
- Carolina Hurricanes 6, Vancouver Canucks 3 (Oct 20)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (Oct 20)
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