Los Angeles Kings vs New York Islanders Final — October 22, 2026
LAStarting goaliesNYI
LAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NYILADefenseNYILATeamNYILA5-on-5NYILASpecial teamsNYILARecent formNYILAHome and roadseason to dateNYIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
LARest & travelNYILAKey injuriesNYIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 22, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Kings (1-4-2) visited the Islanders (5-3-1) on Thursday, October 22 at 7:40 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Kings scored 2.74 goals per game (29th of 32) and allowed 3.01 (12th). The Islanders scored 2.84 goals per game (24th of 32) and allowed 2.94 (7th). The Kings earned 54.9% of available standings points (20th) and the Islanders 55.5% (19th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Kings 52.2% (7th), Islanders 47.9% (24th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Kings 52.2% (8th), Islanders 49.0% (18th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Kings 52.7% (12th), Islanders 45.5% (26th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Kings -113, Islanders -106) prices the Kings at 51% and the Islanders at 49%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Los Angeles Kings 3, New York Islanders 2
Los Angeles Kings won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (New York Islanders +1.5): New York Islanders covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- Los Angeles Kings closed at -113 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Islanders 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Los Angeles Kings.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Los Angeles Kings 51%, New York Islanders 49%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 14:06 — New York Islanders goal (2-1)New York Islanders 13% → 29% (+16 pts)
- 3rd 7:06 — New York Islanders goal (2-2)New York Islanders 20% → 50% (+30 pts)
- OT 2:43 — Los Angeles Kings goal (3-2)Los Angeles Kings 50% → 100% (+50 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Los Angeles Kings won 53% of G&W replays (New York Islanders 47%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Kings | Goals | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.9 |
| 0.3 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.7 |
| 0.5 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 3.8 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.6 |
| 0.6 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.7 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 1.1 |
| -1.4 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.6 |
| +1.6 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Darcy Kuemper 41/43 · Semyon Varlamov 24/27 | +1.4 |
How the margin was built, from Los Angeles Kings's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Los Angeles Kings closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.
The line moved toward Los Angeles Kings before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Kings +1.5 (-260)
Kings -1.5 (+220)
Islanders -118 52%
Islanders -106 49%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Kings won 10 and the Islanders 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Kings 3, Islanders 2 Kings won | Islanders -140 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Islanders 3, Kings 5 Kings won | Kings -125 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Islanders 1, Kings 4 Kings won | Kings -192 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Kings 3, Islanders 1 Kings won | Kings -130 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Islanders 0, Kings 3 Kings won | Kings -147 favorite won | 6 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Los Angeles Kings
- Los Angeles Kings team stats
- Los Angeles Kings 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (Oct 27)
- Los Angeles Kings 6, New York Rangers 3 (Oct 26)
- Los Angeles Kings 1, New Jersey Devils 3 (Oct 24)
New York Islanders
More NHL games on October 22, 2026
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- New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (Oct 22)
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- Vegas Golden Knights 2, St Louis Blues 6 (Oct 22)
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Dig deeper
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