Winnipeg Jets vs St Louis Blues Final — October 20, 2026
WPGStarting goaliesSTL
WPGOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)STLWPGDefenseSTLWPGTeamSTLWPG5-on-5STLWPGSpecial teamsSTLWPGRecent formSTLWPGHome and roadseason to dateSTLInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
WPGRest & travelSTLWPGKey injuriesSTLAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 20, 10:10 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Jets (4-2-2) visited the Blues (3-4-1) on Tuesday, October 20 at 8:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Jets scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.17 (22nd). The Blues scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Jets earned 50.0% of available standings points (26th) and the Blues 52.4% (22nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Jets 47.5% (25th), Blues 49.5% (19th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Jets 48.8% (22nd), Blues 48.2% (25th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Jets 44.6% (29th), Blues 45.4% (27th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Jets +114, Blues -135) prices the Jets at 45% and the Blues at 55%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Winnipeg Jets 1, St Louis Blues 2
St Louis Blues won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (St Louis Blues -1.5): Winnipeg Jets covered.
- Combined score 3 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- St Louis Blues closed at -135 on the moneyline (a 55% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
St Louis Blues 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Winnipeg Jets.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Winnipeg Jets 45%, St Louis Blues 55%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 12:30 — St Louis Blues goal (0-1)St Louis Blues 55% → 71% (+16 pts)
- 3rd 0:32 — Winnipeg Jets goal (1-1)Winnipeg Jets 24% → 47% (+23 pts)
- 3rd 8:47 — St Louis Blues goal (1-2)St Louis Blues 57% → 85% (+28 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, St Louis Blues won 63% of G&W replays (Winnipeg Jets 37%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured St Louis Blues. Here is where that came from.
| Jets | Goals | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.9 |
| 0.1 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.2 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.2 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.1 |
| 0.4 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.4 |
| -1.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.2 |
| +1.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Stuart Skinner 26/28 · Joel Hofer 32/33 | +1.6 |
How the margin was built, from St Louis Blues's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
St Louis Blues closed as the market favourite at 55% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Jets +1.5 (-220)
Jets +1.5 (-227)
Blues -141 56%
Blues -135 55%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 27 times since 2018-19: the Jets won 20 and the Blues 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jets 3, Blues 2 Jets won | Blues -111 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Blues 2, Jets 3 Jets won | Blues -115 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Blues 1, Jets 3 Jets won | Jets -125 favorite won | 6 under |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Jets 0, Blues 1 Blues won | Jets -155 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Blues 1, Jets 3 Jets won | Jets -187 favorite won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets team stats
- Florida Panthers 5, Winnipeg Jets 1 (Oct 27)
- Montréal Canadiens 2, Winnipeg Jets 1 (Oct 25)
- Winnipeg Jets 2, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 22)
St Louis Blues
More NHL games on October 20, 2026
- Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 20)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (Oct 20)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 20)
- Anaheim Ducks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 20)
- Los Angeles Kings 5, Washington Capitals 2 (Oct 20)
- Boston Bruins 2, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 20)
- Minnesota Wild 3, Edmonton Oilers 4 (Oct 20)
- Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (Oct 20)
- Carolina Hurricanes 6, Vancouver Canucks 3 (Oct 20)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (Oct 20)
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