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NHL · October 22, 2026

Vegas Golden Knights vs St Louis Blues Final — October 22, 2026

Vegas Golden Knights

8-3-0

Goalie Adin Hill Likely

FINAL

St Louis Blues

4-4-1

Goalie Joel Hofer Likely

Thursday, October 22 · 8:10 PM ET

VGKStarting goaliesSTL

This season

Starts

.905

Sv%

.918

.714

HDSv%

.857

+0.1

GSAx

+2.3

Last season

Starts

.871

Sv%

.910

.746

HDSv%

.856

−16.2

GSAx

+9.1

VGKOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)STL

14th3.23

GF/G

2.8225th

3rd9.64

PP GF/60

6.1127th

VGKDefenseSTL

13th3.05

GA/G

3.1519th

8th6.85

PK GA/60

8.7729th

VGKTeamSTL

12th57.9%

Pts%

52.4%22nd

4th54.5%

xGF%

49.5%19th

7th52.3%

CF%

48.2%25th

1st59.9%

HDCF%

45.4%27th

VGK5-on-5STL

14th2.57

xGF/60

2.3425th

2nd2.15

xGA/60

2.3810th

19th9.3%

Sh%

9.8%14th

31st89.0%

Sv%

90.2%19th

24th112.6

CF/60 (both)

108.030th

17th+0.04

GAx/G

+0.139th

31st−0.37

GSAx/G

−0.2327th

13th10.8%

Sh%

10.5%16th

28th88.4%

Sv%

89.3%22nd

2nd57.9%

xGF% (L20)

52.5%12th

VGKSpecial teamsSTL

2nd9.29

PP xG/60

5.5932nd

7th83.4

PP FF/60

58.532nd

26th4.4

PP min/G

4.523rd

1st5.92

PK xGA/60

7.038th

2nd4.1

PK min/G

4.49th

VGKRecent formSTL

L@ MIN 2-4W@ NSH 5-2Wvs CGY 6-2Wvs PIT 6-2Lvs TBL 2-6

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs CBJ 5-3W@ OTT 7-2L@ MIN 4-5L@ NSH 2-5Wvs WPG 2-1

Game by game

8-3-0

Record

4-4-1

3-2-0

Last 5

3-2-0

7-3-0

Last 10

—

8-3

Over–under

6-3

VGKHome and roadseason to dateSTL

5-2-0

Home record

2-0-1

3-1-0

Road record

2-4-0

6-1

Home O/U

1-2

2-2

Road O/U

5-1

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

VGKRest & travelSTL

2 days

Days of rest

2 days

1,378 mi2,218 km

Travel to the game

Home

+2 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

VGKKey injuriesSTL

None listed

Players out or limited

Torey Krug DIR

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 22, 9:40 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Golden Knights (8-3-0) visited the Blues (4-4-1) on Thursday, October 22 at 8:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Golden Knights scored 3.23 goals per game (14th of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Blues scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Golden Knights earned 57.9% of available standings points (12th) and the Blues 52.4% (22nd).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Golden Knights 54.5% (4th), Blues 49.5% (19th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Golden Knights 52.3% (7th), Blues 48.2% (25th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Golden Knights 59.9% (1st), Blues 45.4% (27th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed at 5.5, down from 6.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Golden Knights -120, Blues +102) prices the Golden Knights at 52% and the Blues at 48%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Vegas Golden Knights 2, St Louis Blues 6

St Louis Blues won by 4.

Against the closing spread (St Louis Blues +1.5): St Louis Blues covered.
Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
St Louis Blues closed at +102 on the moneyline (a 48% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Vegas Golden Knights 2
St Louis Blues 6

Decided

In regulation

St Louis Blues won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

52%Market at the close48%

Vegas Golden KnightsSt Louis Blues

56%Market at the open44%

From open to close the market moved 3 points toward St Louis Blues.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Vegas Golden Knights 52%, St Louis Blues 48%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 10:00 — St Louis Blues goal (0-1)St Louis Blues 48% → 65% (+17 pts)
2nd 8:30 — St Louis Blues goal (1-3)St Louis Blues 69% → 84% (+15 pts)
3rd 4:08 — Vegas Golden Knights goal (2-3)Vegas Golden Knights 8% → 23% (+16 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

49%VGK

Share of G&W replays won

51%STL

2.9

Expected goals

2.9

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, St Louis Blues won 51% of G&W replays (Vegas Golden Knights 49%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

Golden Knights	Goals	Blues
2.7	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	2.5
0.0	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.4
0.2	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.0
2.9	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	2.9
0.4	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.3
-0.8	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+3.1
-3.1	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Adin Hill 25/31 · Joel Hofer 27/29	+0.8

Bar left: Golden Knights gainedBar right: Blues gained

How the margin was built, from St Louis Blues's side:

Chances +0.1Finishing & goaltending +3.9St Louis Blues by 4

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Vegas Golden Knights closed as the market favourite at 52% and lost.

The line moved toward St Louis Blues before puck drop, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenBlues +1.5 (-220)
Golden Knights -1.5 (+175)

CloseBlues +1.5 (-252)
Golden Knights -1.5 (+200)

Totaldown 1

Open6.5 (o +114 / u -137)

Close5.5 (o -135 / u +110)

Moneyline

OpenGolden Knights -140 56%
Blues +115 44%

CloseGolden Knights -120 52%
Blues +102 48%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 29 times since 2018-19: the Golden Knights won 17 and the Blues 12.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Jan 10, 2026	Blues 2, Golden Knights 4 Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -278 favorite won	5.5 over
Jan 2, 2026	Golden Knights 3, Blues 4 Blues won	Golden Knights -155 underdog won	5.5 over
Nov 15, 2025	Golden Knights 4, Blues 1 Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -162 favorite won	5.5 under
Jan 23, 2025	Golden Knights 4, Blues 2 Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -154 favorite won	6 push
Jan 20, 2025	Blues 5, Golden Knights 4 SO Blues won	Golden Knights -195 underdog won	5.5 over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams