Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Preview & Odds — November 15, 2026
JAXStarting quarterbacksexpected startersTEN
JAXOffense2026 regular season to dateTENJAXDefenseTENJAXRecent formTENJAXHome and roadseason to dateTENInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
JAXRest & travelTENJAXKey injuriesTENAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
Matchup preview
The Jaguars (6-2) visit the Titans (1-7) at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 10.
The Jaguars have the 2nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 3rd-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Titans have the 27th-ranked offense and the 25th-ranked defense. When the Jaguars have the ball, a 2nd-ranked offense (+0.148 EPA per play) meets a 25th-ranked defense (+0.069 allowed); when the Titans have it, a 27th-ranked offense (−0.088) meets a 3rd-ranked defense (−0.128 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Jaguars offense is at 47.3% (7th) and the Titans offense at 41.8% (21st). Through the air, the Jaguars average +0.269 EPA per dropback (2nd) against a Titans pass defense ranked 29th; the Titans average −0.096 (25th) against a Jaguars pass defense ranked 3rd. The Jaguars score 28.6 points per game (4th) and allow 15.1 (2nd); the Titans score 18.0 (28th) and allow 24.9 (22nd).
Over the last five games, the Jaguars rank 3rd on offense and 3rd on defense by EPA per play; the Titans rank 25th and 29th.
Trevor Lawrence has a 52.4% success rate (3rd of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Cam Ward's 43.0% (22nd). Per dropback, Lawrence is at +0.284 EPA to Ward's −0.104, with 18 touchdown passes and 4 interceptions to Ward's 6 and 5.
The Jaguars are 6-2 and 5-3 against the spread; their last game was a 33-10 win over the Ravens. The Titans are 1-7 and 4-4 against the spread; their last game was a 43-36 loss to the Bengals. The Titans are coming off a bye.
The Jaguars are 10.5-point road favorites, with the Titans getting the points at home. The spread opened at Jaguars -9.5. The total is 46.5, up from 45 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Jaguars -670, Titans +450) prices the Jaguars at 83% and the Titans at 17%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Jaguars -9.5 (-112)
Jaguars -10.5 (-111)
Titans +380 20%
Titans +450 17%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 14
- Jaguars -10.5-108Novig
- Titans +10.5+104Novig
- Over 46.5+100FanDuel
- Under 46.5-102Novig
- Jaguars-525Novig
- Titans+506Novig
Matchup
Players to watch
Parker Washington has 493 receiving yards for the Jaguars (21st of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 24.9%. Bhayshul Tuten has 521 rushing yards on 122 carries (15th of 41 qualified running backs). Wan'Dale Robinson has 262 receiving yards for the Titans (62nd of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 21.4%. Tony Pollard has 595 rushing yards on 133 carries (12th of 41 qualified running backs).
- Carries122
- Rush yards52115th
- Yards per carry4.318th
- EPA per rush−0.02215th
- Rush success rate41.8%15th
- Targets / catches55 / 29
- Receiving yards49321st
- Target share24.9%17th
- Yards per target9.023rd
- EPA per target+0.40922nd
- Targets / catches37 / 30
- Receiving yards35613th
- Target share16.7%17th
- Yards per target9.65th
- EPA per target+0.4027th
- Carries133
- Rush yards59512th
- Yards per carry4.514th
- EPA per rush−0.06222nd
- Rush success rate41.4%17th
- Targets / catches50 / 35
- Receiving yards26262nd
- Target share21.4%30th
- Yards per target5.274th
- EPA per target−0.00668th
- Targets / catches26 / 17
- Receiving yards16035th
- Target share12.3%30th
- Yards per target6.227th
- EPA per target+0.06625th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Jaguars | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateJaguars offense vs Titans defense | 46.8%6th | 46.1%28th |
| Early-down success rateTitans offense vs Jaguars defense | 42.4%15th | 41.4%21st |
| Early-down EPA per playJaguars offense vs Titans defense | +0.1482nd | +0.05827th |
| Early-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Jaguars defense | −0.0875th | −0.10027th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateJaguars offense vs Titans defense | 46.9%3rd | 44.0%25th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTitans offense vs Jaguars defense | 34.4%7th | 36.2%25th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playJaguars offense vs Titans defense | +0.1945th | +0.07424th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Jaguars defense | −0.14210th | −0.08716th |
| Red-zone TD rateJaguars offense vs Titans defense | 65.2%10th | 66.7%21st |
| Red-zone TD rateTitans offense vs Jaguars defense | 40.9%4th | 52.2%25th |
| Red-zone success rateJaguars offense vs Titans defense | 51.3%4th | 51.4%28th |
| Red-zone success rateTitans offense vs Jaguars defense | 30.6%1st | 38.2%26th |
On early downs the Jaguars succeed on 46.8% of plays (6th) against a Titans defense that allows 46.1% (28th); on 3rd down they convert 46.9% (3rd) against a defense allowing 44.0% (25th). On early downs the Titans succeed on 41.4% of plays (21st) against a Jaguars defense that allows 42.4% (15th); on 3rd down they convert 36.2% (25th) against a defense allowing 34.4% (7th). The Jaguars score touchdowns on 65.2% of red-zone trips (10th). The Titans score touchdowns on 52.2% of red-zone trips (25th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Jaguars | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Liam Coen | Robert Saleh |
| Offensive coordinator | Grant Udinski | Brian Daboll |
| Defensive coordinator | Anthony Campanile | Gus Bradley |
| Offense tendencies | Jaguars | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.2% | −5.2%25th-highest | −4.5%24th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.3% | 53.8%31st-highest | 61.9%13th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.8% | 50.1%26th-highest | 55.9%14th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.7% | 54.3%25th-highest | 71.9%5th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5% | 3.2%27th-highest | 20.0%1st-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 33.611th-slowest | 31.330th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 21.6%1st | 12.1%28th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 11.4%3rd | 6.4%28th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 8.9%17th | 9.4%16th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.3% | 5.2%11th | 4.6%7th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.98% | 1.30%6th | 2.21%21st |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 57.828th-most | 56.130th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.6% | 2 of 9 | 4 of 5 |
| Defense | Jaguars | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.3% | 5.5%20th | 6.6%14th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 16.4%20th | 20.1%32nd |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 7.6%11th | 10.6%28th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 7.0%5th | 9.7%18th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.98% | 3.00%3rd | 2.10%13th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.7% | 16.8%8th | 15.5%17th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.7% | 14.9%11th | 13.0%4th |
The Jaguars run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−5.2% pass rate over expected, 25th-highest), while the Titans sit at −4.5% (24th-highest). In neutral situations the Jaguars take 33.6 seconds between snaps and the Titans 31.3, so the Titans play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Jaguars have gone for it 2 of 9 times and the Titans 4 of 5.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 22 times since 2015: the Jaguars won 10 and the Titans 12. In the most recent meeting (January 4, 2026), the Jaguars won 41-7; the Jaguars averaged +0.219 EPA per play; the Titans averaged −0.349 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Titans 7, Jaguars 41 Jaguars won | Jaguars -12.5 Jaguars covered | 46.5 over | Jaguars +0.219 · Titans −0.349 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Jaguars 25, Titans 3 Jaguars won | Jaguars -6 Jaguars covered | 42.5 under | Jaguars +0.013 · Titans −0.424 |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Titans 13, Jaguars 20 Jaguars won | Titans -1 Jaguars covered | 38 under | Jaguars +0.153 · Titans +0.037 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Jaguars 10, Titans 6 Jaguars won | Titans -3 Jaguars covered | 40 under | Jaguars +0.031 · Titans −0.159 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Jaguars 20, Titans 28 Titans won | Jaguars -3.5 Titans covered | 41.5 over | Jaguars −0.063 · Titans +0.126 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Jacksonville Jaguars team stats
- Jacksonville Jaguars 33, Baltimore Ravens 10 (Nov 5)
- Indianapolis Colts 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 42 (Nov 1)
- Houston Texans 34, Jacksonville Jaguars 31 (Oct 18)
Tennessee Titans
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