Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026
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About these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
The Raiders (3-4) visit the Jets (2-5) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 8.
The Raiders have the 17th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 23rd-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Jets have the 15th-ranked offense and the 15th-ranked defense. When the Raiders have the ball, a 17th-ranked offense (−0.008 EPA per play) meets a 15th-ranked defense (−0.002 allowed); when the Jets have it, a 15th-ranked offense (+0.013) meets a 23rd-ranked defense (+0.054 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Raiders offense is at 41.4% (23rd) and the Jets offense at 45.0% (12th). Through the air, the Raiders average +0.116 EPA per dropback (13th) against a Jets pass defense ranked 23rd; the Jets average +0.104 (15th) against a Raiders pass defense ranked 25th. The Raiders score 26.1 points per game (7th) and allow 28.1 (29th); the Jets score 19.6 (27th) and allow 21.4 (13th).
Over the last five games, the Raiders rank 17th on offense and 30th on defense by EPA per play; the Jets rank 19th and 22nd.
Geno Smith has a 47.9% success rate (14th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Kirk Cousins' 46.9% (16th). Per dropback, Smith is at +0.100 EPA to Cousins' +0.126, with 10 touchdown passes and 2 interceptions to Cousins' 16 and 5.
The Raiders are 3-4 and 5-2 against the spread; their last game was a 35-21 loss to the Rams. The Jets are 2-5 and 3-2-2 against the spread; their last game was a 28-25 loss to the Dolphins.
The Jets are 1.5-point favorites at home against the Raiders. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 45.5, up from 44.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Raiders +102, Jets -121) prices the Raiders at 47% and the Jets at 53%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Raiders +1.5 (-116)
Raiders +1.5 (-110)
Jets -118 52%
Jets -121 53%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Raiders +1.5-104Novig
- Jets -1.5-102Novig
- Over 45.5-102Novig
- Under 45.5-104Novig
- Raiders+113Novig
- Jets-116ProphetX
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
Tre Tucker has 474 receiving yards for the Raiders (16th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 18.5%. Ashton Jeanty has 328 rushing yards on 106 carries (21st of 39 qualified running backs). Garrett Wilson has 444 receiving yards for the Jets (17th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.9%. Braelon Allen has 418 rushing yards on 91 carries (15th of 39 qualified running backs).
- Carries106
- Rush yards32821st
- Yards per carry3.135th
- EPA per rush−0.30537th
- Rush success rate31.1%35th
- Targets / catches47 / 29
- Receiving yards47416th
- Target share18.5%39th
- Yards per target10.113th
- EPA per target+0.46921st
- Targets / catches51 / 34
- Receiving yards4552nd
- Target share26.0%3rd
- Yards per target8.97th
- EPA per target+0.4877th
- Carries91
- Rush yards41815th
- Yards per carry4.613th
- EPA per rush−0.04216th
- Rush success rate41.8%17th
- Targets / catches51 / 37
- Receiving yards44417th
- Target share25.9%14th
- Yards per target8.728th
- EPA per target+0.48618th
- Targets / catches18 / 14
- Receiving yards11733rd
- Target share16.4%17th
- Yards per target6.523rd
- EPA per target+0.28613th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Raiders | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense | 41.4%21st | 45.3%25th |
| Early-down success rateJets offense vs Raiders defense | 47.4%31st | 45.4%11th |
| Early-down EPA per playRaiders offense vs Jets defense | −0.02322nd | +0.00915th |
| Early-down EPA per playJets offense vs Raiders defense | +0.08127th | 0.00017th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense | 40.0%15th | 38.6%12th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateJets offense vs Raiders defense | 43.9%23rd | 38.2%22nd |
| 3rd-down EPA per playRaiders offense vs Jets defense | +0.1774th | −0.02317th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playJets offense vs Raiders defense | −0.04015th | −0.03319th |
| Red-zone TD rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense | 48.3%27th | 58.3%14th |
| Red-zone TD rateJets offense vs Raiders defense | 78.6%30th | 50.0%26th |
| Red-zone success rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense | 26.0%32nd | 45.6%20th |
| Red-zone success rateJets offense vs Raiders defense | 55.8%32nd | 38.5%24th |
On early downs the Raiders succeed on 41.4% of plays (21st) against a Jets defense that allows 45.3% (25th); on 3rd down they convert 40.0% (15th) against a defense allowing 38.6% (12th). On early downs the Jets succeed on 45.4% of plays (11th) against a Raiders defense that allows 47.4% (31st); on 3rd down they convert 38.2% (22nd) against a defense allowing 43.9% (23rd). The Raiders score touchdowns on 48.3% of red-zone trips (27th). The Jets score touchdowns on 50.0% of red-zone trips (26th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Raiders | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Klint Kubiak | Aaron Glenn |
| Offensive coordinator | Andrew Janocko | Frank Reich |
| Defensive coordinator | Rob Leonard | Brian Duker |
| Offense tendencies | Raiders | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9% | −2.3%20th-highest | −2.8%21st-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9% | 64.0%8th-highest | 59.7%17th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3% | 57.4%10th-highest | 53.6%21st-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 59.5%18th-highest | 57.6%22nd-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4% | 8.4%7th-highest | 3.8%24th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 33.99th-slowest | 34.16th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 17.8%10th | 16.2%15th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5% | 8.9%14th | 8.8%16th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 6.9%28th | 12.5%4th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0% | 3.5%4th | 8.8%29th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 1.35%11th | 1.24%8th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 62.711th-most | 57.029th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8% | 6 of 11 | 6 of 8 |
| Defense | Raiders | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.0% | 6.4%15th | 7.6%5th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 16.2%18th | 12.6%6th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5% | 8.5%15th | 8.2%13th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 13.5%31st | 9.0%14th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 2.78%3rd | 1.59%20th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5% | 18.8%4th | 14.4%18th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5% | 15.8%19th | 18.1%28th |
The Raiders run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−2.3% pass rate over expected, 20th-highest), while the Jets sit at −2.8% (21st-highest). In neutral situations the Raiders take 33.9 seconds between snaps and the Jets 34.1, so the Raiders play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Raiders have gone for it 6 of 11 times and the Jets 6 of 8.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2015: the Raiders won 4 and the Jets 1. In the most recent meeting (November 12, 2023), the Raiders won 16-12; the Raiders averaged −0.185 EPA per play; the Jets averaged −0.132 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | Jets 12, Raiders 16 Raiders won | Jets -1 Raiders covered | 35.5 under | Raiders −0.185 · Jets −0.132 |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Raiders 31, Jets 28 Raiders won | Raiders -7.5 Jets covered | 48 over | Raiders +0.039 · Jets +0.100 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Raiders 3, Jets 34 Jets won | Raiders -3.5 Jets covered | 45 under | Raiders −0.316 · Jets +0.197 |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Jets 20, Raiders 45 Raiders won | Raiders -14 Raiders covered | 44 over | Raiders +0.416 · Jets +0.059 |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Jets 20, Raiders 34 Raiders won | Jets -3 Raiders covered | 43.5 over | Raiders +0.300 · Jets +0.023 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Las Vegas Raiders
- Las Vegas Raiders team stats
- Los Angeles Rams 35, Las Vegas Raiders 21 (Oct 25)
- Buffalo Bills 33, Las Vegas Raiders 30 (Oct 18)
- Las Vegas Raiders 17, New England Patriots 45 (Oct 11)
New York Jets
More NFL games on November 1, 2026
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- Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (Nov 1)
- Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (Nov 1)
- Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Nov 1)
- Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams (Nov 1)
- Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (Nov 1)
- New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (Nov 1)
- Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders (Nov 1)
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