Home › Game previews › NFL › November 2026 › Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets
NFL · Week 8 · November 1, 2026

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Las Vegas Raiders logo
3-4
Quarterback Kirk Cousins Status pending
at
New York Jets logo
2-5
Quarterback Geno Smith Status pending
Sunday, November 1 · 1:00 PM ETMetLife Stadium · outdoorsWeek 8
LVStarting quarterbacksexpected startersNYJ
14th+0.126
EPA/dropback
+0.10016th
16th46.9%
Success %
47.9%14th
26th−2.0
CPOE
+5.26th
4th3.7%
Sack %
8.9%31st
16–5
TD–INT
10–2
269
Dropbacks
237
LVOffense2026 regular season to dateNYJ
17th−0.008
EPA/play
+0.01315th
23rd41.4%
Success %
45.0%12th
13th+0.116
EPA/dropback
+0.10415th
31st−0.228
EPA/rush
−0.12221st
7th26.1
PPG
19.627th
LVDefenseNYJ
23rd+0.054
EPA/play allowed
−0.00215th
27th47.3%
Success % allowed
44.9%22nd
25th+0.134
EPA/dropback allowed
+0.10623rd
23rd−0.058
EPA/rush allowed
−0.1445th
29th28.1
Opp PPG
21.413th
LVRecent formNYJ
W@ NO 35-27Lvs KC 27-30L@ NE 17-45Lvs BUF 30-33Lvs LA 21-35
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ DET 24-31L@ CHI 12-23Wvs CLE 17-12L@ NE 19-26Lvs MIA 25-28
3-4
Record
2-5
5-2
ATS
3-2-2
5-2
Over–under
3-4
LVHome and roadseason to dateNYJ
1-3
Home record
1-2
2-1
Road record
1-3
3-1
Home ATS
2-1
2-1
Road ATS
1-1-2
3-1
Home O/U
1-2
2-1
Road O/U
2-2
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
LVRest & travelNYJ
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
2,228 mi3,585 km
Travel to the game
Home
+3 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
VenueMetLife Stadium
Outdoors
About these numbers

Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

The Raiders (3-4) visit the Jets (2-5) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 8.

The Raiders have the 17th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 23rd-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Jets have the 15th-ranked offense and the 15th-ranked defense. When the Raiders have the ball, a 17th-ranked offense (−0.008 EPA per play) meets a 15th-ranked defense (−0.002 allowed); when the Jets have it, a 15th-ranked offense (+0.013) meets a 23rd-ranked defense (+0.054 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Raiders offense is at 41.4% (23rd) and the Jets offense at 45.0% (12th). Through the air, the Raiders average +0.116 EPA per dropback (13th) against a Jets pass defense ranked 23rd; the Jets average +0.104 (15th) against a Raiders pass defense ranked 25th. The Raiders score 26.1 points per game (7th) and allow 28.1 (29th); the Jets score 19.6 (27th) and allow 21.4 (13th).

Over the last five games, the Raiders rank 17th on offense and 30th on defense by EPA per play; the Jets rank 19th and 22nd.

Geno Smith has a 47.9% success rate (14th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Kirk Cousins' 46.9% (16th). Per dropback, Smith is at +0.100 EPA to Cousins' +0.126, with 10 touchdown passes and 2 interceptions to Cousins' 16 and 5.

The Raiders are 3-4 and 5-2 against the spread; their last game was a 35-21 loss to the Rams. The Jets are 2-5 and 3-2-2 against the spread; their last game was a 28-25 loss to the Dolphins.

The Jets are 1.5-point favorites at home against the Raiders. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 45.5, up from 44.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Raiders +102, Jets -121) prices the Raiders at 47% and the Jets at 53%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenJets -1.5 (-104)
Raiders +1.5 (-116)
NowJets -1.5 (-110)
Raiders +1.5 (-110)
Totalup 1
Open44.5 (o -105 / u -115)
Now45.5 (o -108 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenRaiders -102 48%
Jets -118 52%
NowRaiders +102 47%
Jets -121 53%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Raiders +1.5-104Novig
  • Jets -1.5-102Novig
  • Over 45.5-102Novig
  • Under 45.5-104Novig
  • Raiders+113Novig
  • Jets-116ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Tre Tucker has 474 receiving yards for the Raiders (16th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 18.5%. Ashton Jeanty has 328 rushing yards on 106 carries (21st of 39 qualified running backs). Garrett Wilson has 444 receiving yards for the Jets (17th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.9%. Braelon Allen has 418 rushing yards on 91 carries (15th of 39 qualified running backs).

Las Vegas Raiders logo
Raiders
RB · Ashton Jeanty
  • Carries106
  • Rush yards32821st
  • Yards per carry3.135th
  • EPA per rush−0.30537th
  • Rush success rate31.1%35th
WR · Tre Tucker
  • Targets / catches47 / 29
  • Receiving yards47416th
  • Target share18.5%39th
  • Yards per target10.113th
  • EPA per target+0.46921st
TE · Brock Bowers
  • Targets / catches51 / 34
  • Receiving yards4552nd
  • Target share26.0%3rd
  • Yards per target8.97th
  • EPA per target+0.4877th
New York Jets logo
Jets
RB · Braelon Allen
  • Carries91
  • Rush yards41815th
  • Yards per carry4.613th
  • EPA per rush−0.04216th
  • Rush success rate41.8%17th
WR · Garrett Wilson
  • Targets / catches51 / 37
  • Receiving yards44417th
  • Target share25.9%14th
  • Yards per target8.728th
  • EPA per target+0.48618th
TE · Mason Taylor
  • Targets / catches18 / 14
  • Receiving yards11733rd
  • Target share16.4%17th
  • Yards per target6.523rd
  • EPA per target+0.28613th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

Early-down success rate41.4% / 45.4%league 43.1%
3rd-down conversion rate40.0% / 38.2%league 40.2%
Red-zone TD rate48.3% / 50.0%league 60.3%
SituationRaidersJets
Early-down success rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense41.4%21st45.3%25th
Early-down success rateJets offense vs Raiders defense47.4%31st45.4%11th
Early-down EPA per playRaiders offense vs Jets defense−0.02322nd+0.00915th
Early-down EPA per playJets offense vs Raiders defense+0.08127th0.00017th
3rd-down conversion rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense40.0%15th38.6%12th
3rd-down conversion rateJets offense vs Raiders defense43.9%23rd38.2%22nd
3rd-down EPA per playRaiders offense vs Jets defense+0.1774th−0.02317th
3rd-down EPA per playJets offense vs Raiders defense−0.04015th−0.03319th
Red-zone TD rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense48.3%27th58.3%14th
Red-zone TD rateJets offense vs Raiders defense78.6%30th50.0%26th
Red-zone success rateRaiders offense vs Jets defense26.0%32nd45.6%20th
Red-zone success rateJets offense vs Raiders defense55.8%32nd38.5%24th

On early downs the Raiders succeed on 41.4% of plays (21st) against a Jets defense that allows 45.3% (25th); on 3rd down they convert 40.0% (15th) against a defense allowing 38.6% (12th). On early downs the Jets succeed on 45.4% of plays (11th) against a Raiders defense that allows 47.4% (31st); on 3rd down they convert 38.2% (22nd) against a defense allowing 43.9% (23rd). The Raiders score touchdowns on 48.3% of red-zone trips (27th). The Jets score touchdowns on 50.0% of red-zone trips (26th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

Raiders head coachKlint Kubiak
Jets head coachAaron Glenn
StaffRaidersJets
Head coachKlint KubiakAaron Glenn
Offensive coordinatorAndrew JanockoFrank Reich
Defensive coordinatorRob LeonardBrian Duker
Pass rate over expected−2.3% / −2.8%league −1.9%
Seconds per snap33.9 / 34.1league 32.9
Early-down dropback rate57.4% / 53.6%league 55.3%
Offense tendenciesRaidersJets
Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9%−2.3%20th-highest−2.8%21st-highest
Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9%64.0%8th-highest59.7%17th-highest
Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3%57.4%10th-highest53.6%21st-highest
Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4%59.5%18th-highest57.6%22nd-highest
No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4%8.4%7th-highest3.8%24th-highest
Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.933.99th-slowest34.16th-slowest
Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4%17.8%10th16.2%15th
Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5%8.9%14th8.8%16th
Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4%6.9%28th12.5%4th
Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0%3.5%4th8.8%29th
Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85%1.35%11th1.24%8th
Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.362.711th-most57.029th-most
4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8%6 of 116 of 8
DefenseRaidersJets
Sack rate generatedleague 6.0%6.4%15th7.6%5th
Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4%16.2%18th12.6%6th
Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5%8.5%15th8.2%13th
Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4%13.5%31st9.0%14th
Takeaways per playleague 1.85%2.78%3rd1.59%20th
QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5%18.8%4th14.4%18th
QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5%15.8%19th18.1%28th

The Raiders run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−2.3% pass rate over expected, 20th-highest), while the Jets sit at −2.8% (21st-highest). In neutral situations the Raiders take 33.9 seconds between snaps and the Jets 34.1, so the Raiders play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Raiders have gone for it 6 of 11 times and the Jets 6 of 8.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Raiders offense
after wk 514thafter wk 614thafter wk 717th
falling
Raiders defense
after wk 519thafter wk 622ndafter wk 723rd
falling
Jets offense
after wk 520thafter wk 619thafter wk 715th
rising
Jets defense
after wk 55thafter wk 68thafter wk 715th
falling

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2015: the Raiders won 4 and the Jets 1. In the most recent meeting (November 12, 2023), the Raiders won 16-12; the Raiders averaged −0.185 EPA per play; the Jets averaged −0.132 EPA per play.

DateScoreSpreadTotalEPA/play
Nov 12, 2023Jets 12, Raiders 16
Raiders won
Jets -1
Raiders covered
35.5
under
Raiders −0.185 · Jets −0.132
Dec 6, 2020Raiders 31, Jets 28
Raiders won
Raiders -7.5
Jets covered
48
over
Raiders +0.039 · Jets +0.100
Nov 24, 2019Raiders 3, Jets 34
Jets won
Raiders -3.5
Jets covered
45
under
Raiders −0.316 · Jets +0.197
Sep 17, 2017Jets 20, Raiders 45
Raiders won
Raiders -14
Raiders covered
44
over
Raiders +0.416 · Jets +0.059
Nov 1, 2015Jets 20, Raiders 34
Raiders won
Jets -3
Raiders covered
43.5
over
Raiders +0.300 · Jets +0.023

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Las Vegas Raiders

New York Jets

More NFL games on November 1, 2026

All NFL games in November 2026

Follow the market every day

See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.

Odds boardTracked results