Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Matchup preview

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Odds and line movement

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

• Browns +3.5-106Novig
• Steelers -3.5+104Novig
• Over 39.5+102Novig
• Under 39.5-108Novig
• Browns+182Novig
• Steelers-185DraftKings

G&W Line

Players to watch

Denzel Boston has 372 receiving yards for the Browns (24th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 20.3%. Quinshon Judkins has 317 rushing yards on 90 carries (23rd of 39 qualified running backs). DK Metcalf has 374 receiving yards for the Steelers (23rd of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 23.6%. Jaylen Warren has 561 rushing yards on 102 carries (7th of 39 qualified running backs).

Browns

RB · Quinshon Judkins

• Carries90
• Rush yards31723rd
• Yards per carry3.530th
• EPA per rush−0.17831st
• Rush success rate31.1%36th

WR · Denzel Boston

• Targets / catches42 / 20
• Receiving yards37224th
• Target share20.3%34th
• Yards per target8.926th
• EPA per target+0.19048th

TE · Harold Fannin Jr.

• Targets / catches39 / 25
• Receiving yards25714th
• Target share18.8%8th
• Yards per target6.621st
• EPA per target+0.13527th

Steelers

RB · Jaylen Warren

• Carries102
• Rush yards5617th
• Yards per carry5.52nd
• EPA per rush+0.0985th
• Rush success rate46.1%8th

WR · DK Metcalf

• Targets / catches58 / 32
• Receiving yards37423rd
• Target share23.6%19th
• Yards per target6.462nd
• EPA per target+0.06158th

TE · Pat Freiermuth

• Targets / catches33 / 23
• Receiving yards20022nd
• Target share13.4%26th
• Yards per target6.129th
• EPA per target+0.17825th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

On early downs the Browns succeed on 44.0% of plays (16th) against a Steelers defense that allows 41.6% (9th); on 3rd down they convert 32.6% (30th) against a defense allowing 34.8% (7th). On early downs the Steelers succeed on 41.8% of plays (20th) against a Browns defense that allows 41.3% (8th); on 3rd down they convert 38.5% (21st) against a defense allowing 39.4% (13th). The Browns score touchdowns on 56.2% of red-zone trips (19th). The Steelers score touchdowns on 47.4% of red-zone trips (29th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

The Browns run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−1.0% pass rate over expected, 14th-highest), while the Steelers sit at 2.9% (5th-highest). In neutral situations the Browns take 31.6 seconds between snaps and the Steelers 34.3, so the Browns play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Browns have gone for it 4 of 5 times and the Steelers 3 of 6.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 24 times since 2015: the Browns won 8 and the Steelers 15, with 1 tie. In the most recent meeting (October 1, 2026), the Browns won 27-24; the Browns averaged +0.099 EPA per play; the Steelers averaged +0.071 EPA per play.

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.