Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Matchup preview

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Odds and line movement

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

• Colts +9.5+102Novig
• Jaguars -9.5-104Novig
• Over 46.5+100Novig
• Under 46.5-104Novig
• Colts+400Novig
• Jaguars-400Kalshi

G&W Line

Players to watch

Keenan Allen has 258 receiving yards for the Colts (44th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 21.9%. Jonathan Taylor has 583 rushing yards on 139 carries (5th of 39 qualified running backs). Parker Washington has 416 receiving yards for the Jaguars (19th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.8%. Bhayshul Tuten has 388 rushing yards on 94 carries (19th of 39 qualified running backs).

Colts

RB · Jonathan Taylor

• Carries139
• Rush yards5835th
• Yards per carry4.217th
• EPA per rush−0.01314th
• Rush success rate40.3%20th

WR · Keenan Allen

• Targets / catches43 / 29
• Receiving yards25844th
• Target share21.9%27th
• Yards per target6.065th
• EPA per target+0.18450th

TE · Tyler Warren

• Targets / catches36 / 30
• Receiving yards21319th
• Target share21.7%5th
• Yards per target5.931st
• EPA per target+0.22720th

Jaguars

RB · Bhayshul Tuten

• Carries94
• Rush yards38819th
• Yards per carry4.119th
• EPA per rush−0.04617th
• Rush success rate42.6%16th

WR · Parker Washington

• Targets / catches46 / 26
• Receiving yards41619th
• Target share25.8%15th
• Yards per target9.022nd
• EPA per target+0.44224th

TE · Brenton Strange

• Targets / catches33 / 26
• Receiving yards27912th
• Target share18.5%12th
• Yards per target8.510th
• EPA per target+0.33112th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

On early downs the Colts succeed on 40.4% of plays (22nd) against a Jaguars defense that allows 43.9% (18th); on 3rd down they convert 40.2% (14th) against a defense allowing 36.8% (10th). On early downs the Jaguars succeed on 46.9% of plays (8th) against a Colts defense that allows 45.3% (26th); on 3rd down they convert 48.6% (5th) against a defense allowing 30.4% (4th). The Colts score touchdowns on 60.0% of red-zone trips (15th). The Jaguars score touchdowns on 66.7% of red-zone trips (9th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

The Colts run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−4.8% pass rate over expected, 25th-highest), while the Jaguars sit at −3.2% (22nd-highest). In neutral situations the Colts take 33.8 seconds between snaps and the Jaguars 33.5, so the Jaguars play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Colts have gone for it 9 of 16 times and the Jaguars 2 of 6.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 22 times since 2015: the Colts won 8 and the Jaguars 14. In the most recent meeting (December 28, 2025), the Jaguars won 23-17; the Colts averaged −0.206 EPA per play; the Jaguars averaged +0.006 EPA per play.

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.