Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Matchup preview

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Odds and line movement

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

• Vikings +3.5-115BetRivers
• Lions -3.5+108Novig
• Over 46-109Caesars
• Under 46-108BetMGM
• Vikings+160Novig
• Lions-170DraftKings

G&W Line

Players to watch

Jordan Addison has 183 receiving yards for the Vikings (66th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 20.2%. Aaron Jones has 436 rushing yards on 105 carries (14th of 39 qualified running backs). Amon-Ra St. Brown has 525 receiving yards for the Lions (10th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 31.1%. Jahmyr Gibbs has 620 rushing yards on 134 carries (4th of 39 qualified running backs).

Vikings

RB · Aaron Jones

• Carries105
• Rush yards43614th
• Yards per carry4.218th
• EPA per rush−0.18932nd
• Rush success rate35.2%28th

WR · Jordan Addison

• Targets / catches25 / 13
• Receiving yards18366th
• Target share20.2%36th
• Yards per target7.353rd
• EPA per target−0.08169th

TE · T.J. Hockenson

• Targets / catches32 / 27
• Receiving yards23717th
• Target share20.9%6th
• Yards per target7.415th
• EPA per target+0.5783rd

Lions

RB · Jahmyr Gibbs

• Carries134
• Rush yards6204th
• Yards per carry4.612th
• EPA per rush−0.01615th
• Rush success rate50.0%4th

WR · Amon-Ra St. Brown

• Targets / catches68 / 46
• Receiving yards52510th
• Target share31.1%5th
• Yards per target7.743rd
• EPA per target+0.28937th

TE · Sam LaPorta

• Targets / catches39 / 28
• Receiving yards3346th
• Target share17.8%15th
• Yards per target8.69th
• EPA per target+0.8472nd

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

On early downs the Vikings succeed on 33.2% of plays (32nd) against a Lions defense that allows 43.4% (14th); on 3rd down they convert 37.9% (24th) against a defense allowing 48.2% (29th). On early downs the Lions succeed on 51.1% of plays (2nd) against a Vikings defense that allows 35.6% (2nd); on 3rd down they convert 39.1% (18th) against a defense allowing 28.2% (3rd). The Vikings score touchdowns on 46.7% of red-zone trips (31st). The Lions score touchdowns on 70.4% of red-zone trips (6th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

The Vikings run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−3.6% pass rate over expected, 23rd-highest), while the Lions sit at −0.6% (12th-highest). In neutral situations the Vikings take 33.9 seconds between snaps and the Lions 31.6, so the Lions play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Vikings have gone for it 5 of 7 times and the Lions 4 of 5.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 22 times since 2015: the Vikings won 13 and the Lions 9. In the most recent meeting (December 25, 2025), the Vikings won 23-10; the Lions averaged −0.464 EPA per play; the Vikings averaged −0.277 EPA per play.

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.