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NHL · October 10, 2026

Los Angeles Kings vs Vegas Golden Knights Final — October 10, 2026

Los Angeles Kings

0-2-1

Goalie Darcy Kuemper Confirmed

FINAL

Vegas Golden Knights

4-1-0

Goalie Carter Hart Confirmed

Saturday, October 10 · 10:10 PM ET

LAStarting goaliesVGK

This season

Starts

.825

Sv%

.890

.778

HDSv%

.857

−4.3

GSAx

−1.2

Last season

Starts

.891

Sv%

.891

.804

HDSv%

.830

−8.5

GSAx

−4.7

LAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)VGK

29th2.74

GF/G

3.2314th

28th6.08

PP GF/60

9.643rd

LADefenseVGK

12th3.01

GA/G

3.0513th

30th9.58

PK GA/60

6.858th

LATeamVGK

20th54.9%

Pts%

57.9%12th

7th52.2%

xGF%

54.5%4th

8th52.2%

CF%

52.3%7th

12th52.7%

HDCF%

59.9%1st

LA5-on-5VGK

19th2.46

xGF/60

2.5714th

3rd2.26

xGA/60

2.152nd

27th8.4%

Sh%

9.3%19th

3rd91.7%

Sv%

89.0%31st

9th117.2

CF/60 (both)

112.624th

26th−0.21

GAx/G

+0.0417th

18th−0.05

GSAx/G

−0.3731st

30th9.2%

Sh%

10.8%13th

13th89.9%

Sv%

88.4%28th

5th54.7%

xGF% (L20)

57.9%2nd

LASpecial teamsVGK

18th7.35

PP xG/60

9.292nd

12th80.2

PP FF/60

83.47th

25th4.5

PP min/G

4.426th

12th7.39

PK xGA/60

5.921st

12th4.5

PK min/G

4.12nd

LARecent formVGK

L@ COL 4-8OTL@ SJS 4-5Lvs FLA 1-2

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs CHI 5-2Lvs ANA 3-4W@ VAN 3-2W@ SEA 6-2Wvs TOR 4-3

Game by game

0-2-1

Record

4-1-0

2-1

Over–under

4-1

—

Last 5

4-1-0

LAHome and roadseason to dateVGK

0-1-0

Home record

2-1-0

0-1-1

Road record

2-0-0

0-1

Home O/U

3-0

2-0

Road O/U

1-1

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

LARest & travelVGK

4 days

Days of rest

2 days

225 mi363 km

Travel to the game

Home

LAKey injuriesVGK

Kevin Fiala LWIR

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 10, 8:10 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Kings (0-2-1) visited the Golden Knights (4-1-0) on Saturday, October 10 at 10:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Kings scored 2.74 goals per game (29th of 32) and allowed 3.01 (12th). The Golden Knights scored 3.23 goals per game (14th of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Kings earned 54.9% of available standings points (20th) and the Golden Knights 57.9% (12th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Kings 52.2% (7th), Golden Knights 54.5% (4th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Kings 52.2% (8th), Golden Knights 52.3% (7th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Kings 52.7% (12th), Golden Knights 59.9% (1st). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed at 6.5, up from 5.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Kings +140, Golden Knights -167) prices the Kings at 40% and the Golden Knights at 60%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Los Angeles Kings 1, Vegas Golden Knights 2

Vegas Golden Knights won by 1.

Against the closing spread (Vegas Golden Knights -1.5): Los Angeles Kings covered.
Combined score 3 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
Vegas Golden Knights closed at -167 on the moneyline (a 60% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Los Angeles Kings 1
Vegas Golden Knights 2

Decided

In overtime

Vegas Golden Knights won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

40%Market at the close60%

Los Angeles KingsVegas Golden Knights

41%Market at the open59%

From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Vegas Golden Knights.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Los Angeles Kings 40%, Vegas Golden Knights 60%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

2nd 6:21 — Los Angeles Kings goal (1-1)Los Angeles Kings 25% → 44% (+19 pts)
OT 2:34 — Los Angeles Kings faceoffVegas Golden Knights 52% → 73% (+21 pts)
OT 2:40 — Vegas Golden Knights goal (1-2)Vegas Golden Knights 72% → 100% (+28 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

39%LAK

Share of G&W replays won

61%VGK

1.9

Expected goals

2.5

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Vegas Golden Knights won 61% of G&W replays (Los Angeles Kings 39%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Vegas Golden Knights. Here is where that came from.

Kings	Goals	Golden Knights
1.1	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	2.2
0.8	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.3
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.0
1.9	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	2.5
0.3	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.1
0.3	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.2
-1.2	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	-0.6
+0.6	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Darcy Kuemper 30/32 · Carter Hart 26/27	+1.2

Bar left: Kings gainedBar right: Golden Knights gained

How the margin was built, from Vegas Golden Knights's side:

Chances +0.4Finishing & goaltending +0.6Vegas Golden Knights by 1

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Vegas Golden Knights closed as the market favourite at 60% and won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenGolden Knights -1.5 (+163)
Kings +1.5 (-200)

CloseGolden Knights -1.5 (+152)
Kings +1.5 (-190)

Totalup 1

Open5.5 (o -130 / u +107)

Close6.5 (o +110 / u -134)

Moneyline

OpenKings +135 41%
Golden Knights -162 59%

CloseKings +140 40%
Golden Knights -167 60%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 36 times since 2018-19: the Kings won 17 and the Golden Knights 19.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Feb 25, 2026	Golden Knights 6, Kings 4 Golden Knights won	Kings -180 underdog won	5.5 over
Feb 5, 2026	Kings 1, Golden Knights 4 Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -140 favorite won	5.5 under
Jan 14, 2026	Golden Knights 3, Kings 2 OT Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -125 favorite won	5.5 under
Oct 8, 2025	Kings 6, Golden Knights 5 SO Kings won	Golden Knights -214 underdog won	5.5 over
Mar 9, 2025	Kings 6, Golden Knights 5 Kings won	Golden Knights -205 underdog won	5.5 over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams