Columbus Blue Jackets vs St Louis Blues Final — October 10, 2026
CBJStarting goaliesSTL
CBJOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)STLCBJDefenseSTLCBJTeamSTLCBJ5-on-5STLCBJSpecial teamsSTLCBJRecent formSTLCBJHome and roadseason to dateSTLInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
CBJRest & travelSTLCBJKey injuriesSTLAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Injury report as of October 10, 9:40 a.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.
The pre-game matchup
The Blue Jackets (2-1-0) visited the Blues (1-2-1) on Saturday, October 10 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Blue Jackets scored 3.09 goals per game (16th of 32) and allowed 3.09 (16th). The Blues scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Blue Jackets earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Blues 52.4% (22nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Blue Jackets 51.4% (10th), Blues 49.5% (19th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Blue Jackets 50.8% (11th), Blues 48.2% (25th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Blue Jackets 50.3% (15th), Blues 45.4% (27th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Blue Jackets -101, Blues -119) prices the Blue Jackets at 48% and the Blues at 52%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, St Louis Blues 5
St Louis Blues won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (St Louis Blues -1.5): St Louis Blues covered.
- Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
- St Louis Blues closed at -119 on the moneyline (a 52% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
St Louis Blues 5
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Columbus Blue Jackets.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Columbus Blue Jackets 48%, St Louis Blues 52%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 12:32 — St Louis Blues goal (2-3)St Louis Blues 51% → 73% (+22 pts)
- 3rd 6:51 — Columbus Blue Jackets goal (3-3)Columbus Blue Jackets 20% → 49% (+29 pts)
- 3rd 9:33 — St Louis Blues goal (3-4)St Louis Blues 51% → 82% (+32 pts)
St Louis Blues won after falling as low as 14% (2nd 0:21).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, St Louis Blues won 58% of G&W replays (Columbus Blue Jackets 42%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Blue Jackets | Goals | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.7 |
| 0.0 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.3 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 1.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.0 |
| 0.1 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.8 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.2 |
| +1.3 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.1 |
| -1.1 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jet Greaves 22/26 · Jordan Binnington 20/23 | -1.3 |
| 0 | Empty-net goals | 1 |
How the margin was built, from St Louis Blues's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
St Louis Blues closed as the market favourite at 52% and won.
The line moved toward Columbus Blue Jackets before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Blue Jackets +1.5 (-235)
Blue Jackets +1.5 (-255)
Blues -130 54%
Blues -119 52%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Blue Jackets won 9 and the Blues 5.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Blue Jackets 5, Blues 3 Blue Jackets won | 6.5 over | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Blues 2, Blue Jackets 3 Blue Jackets won | Blue Jackets -150 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Blue Jackets 2, Blues 1 Blue Jackets won | Blues -205 underdog won | 6 under |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Blues 4, Blue Jackets 6 Blue Jackets won | Blue Jackets -113 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Blue Jackets 1, Blues 0 Blue Jackets won | Blues -153 underdog won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Columbus Blue Jackets
- Columbus Blue Jackets team stats
- Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 27)
- Vegas Golden Knights 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 24)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 20)
St Louis Blues
More NHL games on October 10, 2026
- Philadelphia Flyers 1, Boston Bruins 5 (Oct 10)
- Vancouver Canucks 1, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 10)
- Edmonton Oilers 3, San Jose Sharks 1 (Oct 10)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Florida Panthers 1 (Oct 10)
- Utah Mammoth 4, Buffalo Sabres 1 (Oct 10)
- Carolina Hurricanes 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (Oct 10)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 3 (Oct 10)
- Detroit Red Wings 0, Montréal Canadiens 1 (Oct 10)
- Nashville Predators 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (Oct 10)
- Dallas Stars 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (Oct 10)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 5, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 10)
- Anaheim Ducks 4, Calgary Flames 2 (Oct 10)
- Los Angeles Kings 1, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (Oct 10)
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