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NHL · October 10, 2026

Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins Final — October 10, 2026

Philadelphia Flyers

0-3-2

Goalie Dan Vladar Confirmed

FINAL

Boston Bruins

3-2-0

Goalie Jeremy Swayman Confirmed

Saturday, October 10 · 1:10 PM ET

PHIStarting goaliesBOS

This season

Starts

.863

Sv%

.932

.846

HDSv%

.826

−1.7

GSAx

+5.4

Last season

Starts

.906

Sv%

.908

.831

HDSv%

.870

+10.3

GSAx

+27.6

PHIOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)BOS

20th3.05

GF/G

3.3211th

32nd5.57

PP GF/60

8.519th

PHIDefenseBOS

9th2.96

GA/G

3.0513th

23rd8.31

PK GA/60

8.3022nd

PHITeamBOS

10th59.8%

Pts%

61.0%8th

11th51.0%

xGF%

47.1%28th

26th47.7%

CF%

48.9%19th

9th53.7%

HDCF%

42.5%31st

PHI5-on-5BOS

23rd2.36

xGF/60

2.4222nd

4th2.27

xGA/60

2.7125th

10th10.2%

Sh%

10.6%6th

15th90.5%

Sv%

91.6%5th

31st107.5

CF/60 (both)

118.08th

23rd−0.15

GAx/G

+0.331st

23rd−0.10

GSAx/G

+0.354th

14th10.6%

Sh%

11.5%5th

23rd89.1%

Sv%

90.3%7th

8th53.5%

xGF% (L20)

46.8%24th

PHISpecial teamsBOS

6th8.32

PP xG/60

7.7511th

14th78.4

PP FF/60

82.79th

13th4.8

PP min/G

4.622nd

7th7.03

PK xGA/60

8.1323rd

21st4.9

PK min/G

5.532nd

PHIRecent formBOS

Lvs PIT 0-7OTL@ NJD 2-3OTLvs CAR 2-3L@ TBL 1-4L@ OTT 1-2

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs NYR 3-0W@ WPG 4-3L@ MIN 1-4Lvs OTT 1-4Wvs UTA 6-1

Game by game

0-3-2

Record

3-2-0

0-3-2

Last 5

3-2-0

1-4

Over–under

—

PHIHome and roadseason to dateBOS

0-1-1

Home record

2-1-0

0-2-1

Road record

1-1-0

1-1

Home O/U

—

0-3

Road O/U

—

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

PHIRest & travelBOS

2 days

Days of rest

2 days

316 mi508 km

Travel to the game

Home

PHIKey injuriesBOS

None listed

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Injury report as of October 10, 10:10 a.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.

The pre-game matchup

The Flyers (0-3-2) visited the Bruins (3-2-0) on Saturday, October 10 at 1:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Flyers scored 3.05 goals per game (20th of 32) and allowed 2.96 (9th). The Bruins scored 3.32 goals per game (11th of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Flyers earned 59.8% of available standings points (10th) and the Bruins 61.0% (8th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Flyers 51.0% (11th), Bruins 47.1% (28th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Flyers 47.7% (26th), Bruins 48.9% (19th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Flyers 53.7% (9th), Bruins 42.5% (31st). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Flyers +125, Bruins -150) prices the Flyers at 43% and the Bruins at 57%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Philadelphia Flyers 1, Boston Bruins 5

Boston Bruins won by 4.

Against the closing spread (Boston Bruins -1.5): Boston Bruins covered.
Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
Boston Bruins closed at -150 on the moneyline (a 57% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Philadelphia Flyers 1
Boston Bruins 5

Decided

In regulation

Boston Bruins won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

43%Market at the close57%

Philadelphia FlyersBoston Bruins

45%Market at the open55%

From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Boston Bruins.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Philadelphia Flyers 43%, Boston Bruins 57%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 12:21 — Boston Bruins goal (0-1)Boston Bruins 57% → 72% (+16 pts)
2nd 17:12 — Boston Bruins goal (0-2)Boston Bruins 78% → 91% (+14 pts)
3rd 6:32 — Philadelphia Flyers goal (1-3)Philadelphia Flyers 1% → 6% (+4 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

17%PHI

Share of G&W replays won

83%BOS

1.1

Expected goals

3.3

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Boston Bruins won 83% of G&W replays (Philadelphia Flyers 17%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Boston Bruins. Here is where that came from.

Flyers	Goals	Bruins
0.9	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	3.1
0.1	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.0
0.1	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.2
1.1	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	3.3
0.0	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.2
-0.1	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+1.7
-1.7	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Dan Vladar 27/32 · Jeremy Swayman 14/15	+0.1

Bar left: Flyers gainedBar right: Bruins gained

How the margin was built, from Boston Bruins's side:

Chances +2.2Finishing & goaltending +1.8Boston Bruins by 4

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Boston Bruins closed as the market favourite at 57% and won.

The line moved toward Boston Bruins before puck drop, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenBruins -1.5 (+190)
Flyers +1.5 (-240)

CloseBruins -1.5 (+170)
Flyers +1.5 (-220)

Totalno move

Open5.5 (o -125 / u +104)

Close5.5 (o -119 / u -105)

Moneyline

OpenFlyers +111 45%
Bruins -133 55%

CloseFlyers +125 43%
Bruins -150 57%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 29 times since 2018-19: the Flyers won 11 and the Bruins 18.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Apr 5, 2026	Bruins 1, Flyers 2 OT Flyers won
Feb 28, 2026	Bruins 1, Flyers 3 Flyers won	Flyers -115 favorite won	6 under
Jan 29, 2026	Flyers 3, Bruins 6 Bruins won	Bruins -162 favorite won	6.5 over
Dec 7, 2024	Flyers 3, Bruins 4 OT Bruins won	Bruins -160 favorite won	5.5 over
Nov 2, 2024	Bruins 3, Flyers 0 Bruins won	Bruins -135 favorite won	6 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams