Boston Bruins vs Los Angeles Kings Final — October 17, 2026
BOSStarting goaliesLA
BOSOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)LABOSDefenseLABOSTeamLABOS5-on-5LABOSSpecial teamsLABOSRecent formLABOSHome and roadseason to dateLAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
BOSRest & travelLABOSKey injuriesLAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 17, 8:10 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Bruins (6-2-0) visited the Kings (0-3-2) on Saturday, October 17 at 9:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Bruins scored 3.32 goals per game (11th of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Kings scored 2.74 goals per game (29th of 32) and allowed 3.01 (12th). The Bruins earned 61.0% of available standings points (8th) and the Kings 54.9% (20th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Bruins 47.1% (28th), Kings 52.2% (7th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Bruins 48.9% (19th), Kings 52.2% (8th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Bruins 42.5% (31st), Kings 52.7% (12th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Bruins +125, Kings -148) prices the Bruins at 43% and the Kings at 57%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Boston Bruins 4, Los Angeles Kings 1
Boston Bruins won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Los Angeles Kings -1.5): Boston Bruins covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- Boston Bruins closed at +125 on the moneyline (a 43% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Los Angeles Kings 1
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Los Angeles Kings.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Boston Bruins 43%, Los Angeles Kings 57%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 0:31 — Los Angeles Kings goal (0-1)Los Angeles Kings 57% → 72% (+14 pts)
- 2nd 2:43 — Boston Bruins goal (1-1)Boston Bruins 26% → 44% (+18 pts)
- 3rd 13:36 — Boston Bruins goal (2-1)Boston Bruins 47% → 85% (+38 pts)
Boston Bruins won after falling as low as 22% (1st 19:04).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Los Angeles Kings won 55% of G&W replays (Boston Bruins 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Bruins | Goals | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.1 |
| 0.3 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.2 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 2.1 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.4 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.3 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.4 |
| -0.1 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.7 |
| +1.7 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jeremy Swayman 25/26 · Anton Forsberg 24/26 | +0.1 |
| 2 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Boston Bruins's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Los Angeles Kings closed as the market favourite at 57% and lost.
The line moved toward Los Angeles Kings before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Bruins +1.5 (-222)
Bruins +1.5 (-207)
Kings -134 55%
Kings -148 57%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Bruins won 8 and the Kings 5.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Kings 1, Bruins 2 OT Bruins won | Bruins -162 favorite won | 6 under |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Bruins 2, Kings 1 OT Bruins won | Kings -192 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Bruins 2, Kings 7 Kings won | Kings -275 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Kings 1, Bruins 2 OT Bruins won | Bruins -155 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Kings 5, Bruins 4 OT Kings won | Bruins -161 underdog won | 5.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins team stats
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Los Angeles Kings
More NHL games on October 17, 2026
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