St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators Final — October 17, 2026
STLStarting goaliesNSH
STLOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NSHSTLDefenseNSHSTLTeamNSHSTL5-on-5NSHSTLSpecial teamsNSHSTLRecent formNSHSTLHome and roadseason to dateNSHInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
STLRest & travelNSHSTLKey injuriesNSHAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 17, 7:50 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Blues (3-3-1) visited the Predators (2-2-3) on Saturday, October 17 at 8:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Blues scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Predators scored 3.01 goals per game (21st of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Blues earned 52.4% of available standings points (22nd) and the Predators 52.4% (22nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Blues 49.5% (19th), Predators 48.5% (22nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Blues 48.2% (25th), Predators 50.1% (14th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Blues 45.4% (27th), Predators 49.0% (16th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Blues -110, Predators -110) prices the Blues at 50% and the Predators at 50%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
St Louis Blues 2, Nashville Predators 5
Nashville Predators won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Nashville Predators +1.5): Nashville Predators covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
- Nashville Predators closed at -110 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Nashville Predators 5
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward St Louis Blues.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (St Louis Blues 50%, Nashville Predators 50%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 6:21 — St Louis Blues goal (1-0)St Louis Blues 50% → 66% (+16 pts)
- 1st 12:22 — Nashville Predators goal (1-2)Nashville Predators 50% → 66% (+16 pts)
- 2nd 7:36 — St Louis Blues goal (2-3)St Louis Blues 16% → 31% (+16 pts)
Nashville Predators won after falling as low as 34% (1st 8:11).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Nashville Predators won 53% of G&W replays (St Louis Blues 47%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Blues | Goals | Predators |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.6 |
| 0.7 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.3 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.7 |
| 2.4 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.6 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.2 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.4 |
| -0.4 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +2.2 |
| -2.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jordan Binnington 19/24 · Juuse Saros 24/26 | +0.4 |
How the margin was built, from Nashville Predators's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Nashville Predators closed as the market favourite at 50% and won.
The line moved toward St Louis Blues before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Blues +1.5 (-252)
Blues -1.5 (+215)
Predators -115 51%
Predators -110 50%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 28 times since 2018-19: the Blues won 14 and the Predators 14.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Blues 5, Predators 6 Predators won | Predators -144 favorite won | 6 over |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Predators 2, Blues 3 Blues won | Blues -115 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Predators 5, Blues 2 Predators won | 5.5 over | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Blues 2, Predators 7 Predators won | Predators -135 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Blues 3, Predators 2 Blues won | Blues -135 favorite won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
St Louis Blues
- St Louis Blues team stats
- Montréal Canadiens 2, St Louis Blues 0 (Oct 27)
- Carolina Hurricanes 4, St Louis Blues 0 (Oct 24)
- Vegas Golden Knights 2, St Louis Blues 6 (Oct 22)
Nashville Predators
More NHL games on October 17, 2026
- New Jersey Devils 2, Washington Capitals 4 (Oct 17)
- Carolina Hurricanes 3, Winnipeg Jets 2 (Oct 17)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Oct 17)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Florida Panthers 8 (Oct 17)
- Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0 (Oct 17)
- New York Rangers 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (Oct 17)
- San Jose Sharks 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 17)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 17)
- Ottawa Senators 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 17)
- New York Islanders 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (Oct 17)
- Boston Bruins 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 17)
- Edmonton Oilers 6, Utah Mammoth 2 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (Oct 17)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results