Edmonton Oilers vs Utah Mammoth Final — October 17, 2026
EDMStarting goaliesUTAH
EDMOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)UTAHEDMDefenseUTAHEDMTeamUTAHEDM5-on-5UTAHEDMSpecial teamsUTAHEDMRecent formUTAHEDMHome and roadseason to dateUTAHInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
EDMRest & travelUTAHEDMKey injuriesUTAHAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 17, 8:10 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Oilers (5-1-1) visited the Mammoth (6-2-0) on Saturday, October 17 at 10:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Oilers scored 3.44 goals per game (7th of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Mammoth scored 3.27 goals per game (13th of 32) and allowed 2.93 (4th). The Oilers earned 56.7% of available standings points (14th) and the Mammoth 56.1% (15th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Oilers 51.7% (9th), Mammoth 53.4% (6th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Oilers 50.3% (12th), Mammoth 53.1% (4th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Oilers 51.0% (14th), Mammoth 53.0% (11th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Oilers +125, Mammoth -147) prices the Oilers at 43% and the Mammoth at 57%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Edmonton Oilers 6, Utah Mammoth 2
Edmonton Oilers won by 4.
- Against the closing spread (Utah Mammoth -1.5): Edmonton Oilers covered.
- Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Edmonton Oilers closed at +125 on the moneyline (a 43% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Utah Mammoth 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Utah Mammoth.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Edmonton Oilers 43%, Utah Mammoth 57%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 0:40 — Edmonton Oilers goal (1-0)Edmonton Oilers 43% → 58% (+15 pts)
- 1st 13:21 — Edmonton Oilers goal (2-0)Edmonton Oilers 63% → 77% (+14 pts)
- 1st 13:53 — Edmonton Oilers goal (3-0)Edmonton Oilers 76% → 88% (+12 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Utah Mammoth won 61% of G&W replays (Edmonton Oilers 39%). The result went the other way from the chances each team created.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Utah Mammoth. Here is where that came from.
| Oilers | Goals | Mammoth |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.7 |
| 0.1 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.6 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.4 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.3 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.6 |
| +3.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.3 |
| +1.3 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Tristan Jarry 26/28 · Karel Vejmelka 12/17, Sebastian Cossa 3/4 | -3.6 |
How the margin was built, from Edmonton Oilers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Utah Mammoth closed as the market favourite at 57% and lost.
The line moved toward Utah Mammoth before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Oilers +1.5 (-219)
Oilers +1.5 (-200)
Mammoth -132 55%
Mammoth -147 57%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 24 times since 2018-19: the Oilers won 16 and the Mammoth 8.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mammoth 4, Oilers 2 Mammoth won | Mammoth -115 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Oilers 5, Mammoth 6 OT Mammoth won | ||
| Mar 24, 2026 | Oilers 5, Mammoth 2 Oilers won | Mammoth -134 underdog won | 6.5 over |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Mammoth 3, Oilers 6 Oilers won | Oilers -150 favorite won | 6 over |
| Mar 18, 2025 | Mammoth 1, Oilers 7 Oilers won |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers team stats
- Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers (Oct 28)
- Detroit Red Wings 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (Oct 26)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 24)
- Carolina Hurricanes 5, Edmonton Oilers 6 (Oct 22)
Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth team stats
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 24)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 (Oct 22)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 17, 2026
- New Jersey Devils 2, Washington Capitals 4 (Oct 17)
- Carolina Hurricanes 3, Winnipeg Jets 2 (Oct 17)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Oct 17)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Florida Panthers 8 (Oct 17)
- Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0 (Oct 17)
- New York Rangers 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (Oct 17)
- San Jose Sharks 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 17)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 17)
- Ottawa Senators 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 17)
- New York Islanders 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (Oct 17)
- St Louis Blues 2, Nashville Predators 5 (Oct 17)
- Boston Bruins 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (Oct 17)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results