Seattle Kraken vs Florida Panthers Final — October 17, 2026
SEAStarting goaliesFLA
SEAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)FLASEADefenseFLASEATeamFLASEA5-on-5FLASEASpecial teamsFLASEARecent formFLASEAHome and roadseason to dateFLAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
SEARest & travelFLASEAKey injuriesFLAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 17, 3:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Kraken (5-2-1) visited the Panthers (4-2-2) on Saturday, October 17 at 6:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Kraken scored 2.76 goals per game (28th of 32) and allowed 3.21 (23rd). The Panthers scored 3.06 goals per game (18th of 32) and allowed 3.37 (28th). The Kraken earned 48.2% of available standings points (27th) and the Panthers 51.2% (25th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Kraken 45.4% (30th), Panthers 50.2% (16th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Kraken 45.4% (31st), Panthers 51.7% (9th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Kraken 46.1% (25th), Panthers 48.3% (20th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Kraken +155, Panthers -190) prices the Kraken at 37% and the Panthers at 63%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Seattle Kraken 3, Florida Panthers 8
Florida Panthers won by 5.
- Against the closing spread (Florida Panthers -1.5): Florida Panthers covered.
- Combined score 11 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Florida Panthers closed at -190 on the moneyline (a 63% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Florida Panthers 8
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Seattle Kraken 37%, Florida Panthers 63%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 1:05 — Florida Panthers goal (0-1)Florida Panthers 62% → 76% (+13 pts)
- 1st 4:54 — Seattle Kraken goal (1-1)Seattle Kraken 24% → 38% (+14 pts)
- 1st 17:56 — Florida Panthers goal (1-2)Florida Panthers 61% → 77% (+16 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Florida Panthers won 80% of G&W replays (Seattle Kraken 20%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Florida Panthers. Here is where that came from.
| Kraken | Goals | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.7 |
| 0.3 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.0 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.2 |
| 1.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.9 |
| 0.1 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.0 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.8 |
| +1.3 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +4.0 |
| -4.0 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Joey Daccord 29/37 · Jacob Markstrom 20/23 | -1.3 |
How the margin was built, from Florida Panthers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Florida Panthers closed as the market favourite at 63% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Kraken +1.5 (-163)
Kraken +1.5 (-165)
Panthers -187 62%
Panthers -190 63%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 10 times since 2018-19: the Kraken won 6 and the Panthers 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Kraken 4, Panthers 5 SO Panthers won | Panthers -130 favorite won | 6 over |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Panthers 2, Kraken 6 Kraken won | Panthers -130 underdog won | 6 over |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Kraken 2, Panthers 1 Kraken won | Panthers -250 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Panthers 2, Kraken 1 SO Panthers won | Panthers -200 favorite won | 6 under |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Panthers 0, Kraken 4 Kraken won | Panthers -170 underdog won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken team stats
- Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken (Oct 28)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 (Oct 24)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 (Oct 22)
- Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (Oct 20)
Florida Panthers
- Florida Panthers team stats
- Florida Panthers 5, Winnipeg Jets 1 (Oct 27)
- Florida Panthers 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (Oct 25)
- Florida Panthers 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (Oct 22)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 17, 2026
- New Jersey Devils 2, Washington Capitals 4 (Oct 17)
- Carolina Hurricanes 3, Winnipeg Jets 2 (Oct 17)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Oct 17)
- Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0 (Oct 17)
- New York Rangers 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (Oct 17)
- San Jose Sharks 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 17)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 17)
- Ottawa Senators 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 17)
- New York Islanders 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (Oct 17)
- St Louis Blues 2, Nashville Predators 5 (Oct 17)
- Boston Bruins 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 17)
- Edmonton Oilers 6, Utah Mammoth 2 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (Oct 17)
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