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NHL · October 24, 2026

Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames Final — October 24, 2026

Detroit Red Wings

4-3-3

Goalie John Gibson Confirmed

FINAL

Calgary Flames

3-6-0

Goalie Devin Cooley Confirmed

Saturday, October 24 · 10:10 PM ET

DETStarting goaliesCGY

This season

Starts

.871

Sv%

.898

.737

HDSv%

.933

−3.3

GSAx

+0.5

Last season

Starts

.901

Sv%

.909

.824

HDSv%

.854

+8.8

GSAx

+15.0

DETOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)CGY

22nd2.94

GF/G

2.5932nd

13th8.17

PP GF/60

5.7531st

DETDefenseCGY

19th3.15

GA/G

3.1621st

27th8.57

PK GA/60

7.1312th

DETTeamCGY

15th56.1%

Pts%

47.0%29th

21st48.6%

xGF%

47.2%27th

21st48.8%

CF%

49.2%17th

19th48.5%

HDCF%

46.9%23rd

DET5-on-5CGY

21st2.46

xGF/60

2.3524th

22nd2.60

xGA/60

2.6324th

30th8.1%

Sh%

7.8%31st

17th90.5%

Sv%

90.6%13th

6th118.2

CF/60 (both)

118.25th

31st−0.31

GAx/G

−0.2429th

17th−0.03

GSAx/G

+0.149th

29th9.5%

Sh%

8.5%32nd

17th89.5%

Sv%

90.3%6th

23rd47.6%

xGF% (L20)

42.4%30th

DETSpecial teamsCGY

5th8.63

PP xG/60

6.6830th

8th82.9

PP FF/60

71.628th

8th4.9

PP min/G

4.621st

15th7.52

PK xGA/60

7.8118th

3rd4.1

PK min/G

4.716th

DETRecent formCGY

OTLvs NJD 4-5Wvs PHI 2-1Wvs SJS 4-3OTL@ SEA 3-4W@ VAN 5-2

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs ANA 2-4W@ ANA 4-2L@ VGK 2-6Wvs CAR 3-2Wvs MIN 2-1

Game by game

4-3-3

Record

3-6-0

3-0-2

Last 5

3-2-0

4-3-3

Last 10

—

6-4

Over–under

4-5

DETHome and roadseason to dateCGY

3-3-1

Home record

2-3-0

1-0-2

Road record

1-3-0

4-3

Home O/U

2-3

2-1

Road O/U

2-2

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

DETRest & travelCGY

2 days

Days of rest

2 days

419 mi674 km

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

DETKey injuriesCGY

John Gibson GDay-to-daySimon Edvinsson DIR

Players out or limited

Jonathan Huberdeau LWIRMikael Backlund CDay-to-day

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 24, 12:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Red Wings (4-3-3) visited the Flames (3-6-0) on Saturday, October 24 at 10:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Red Wings scored 2.94 goals per game (22nd of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Flames scored 2.59 goals per game (32nd of 32) and allowed 3.16 (21st). The Red Wings earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Flames 47.0% (29th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Red Wings 48.6% (21st), Flames 47.2% (27th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Red Wings 48.8% (21st), Flames 49.2% (17th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Red Wings 48.5% (19th), Flames 46.9% (23rd). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Red Wings -130, Flames +110) prices the Red Wings at 54% and the Flames at 46%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4

Calgary Flames won by 3.

Against the closing spread (Calgary Flames +1.5): Calgary Flames covered.
Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
Calgary Flames closed at +110 on the moneyline (a 46% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Detroit Red Wings 1
Calgary Flames 4

Decided

In regulation

Calgary Flames won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

54%Market at the close46%

Detroit Red WingsCalgary Flames

55%Market at the open45%

From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Calgary Flames.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Detroit Red Wings 54%, Calgary Flames 46%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 17:50 — Calgary Flames goal (0-1)Calgary Flames 46% → 64% (+18 pts)
2nd 2:22 — Detroit Red Wings goal (1-1)Detroit Red Wings 35% → 54% (+19 pts)
2nd 8:38 — Calgary Flames goal (1-2)Calgary Flames 50% → 69% (+20 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

59%DET

Share of G&W replays won

41%CGY

2.3

Expected goals

1.8

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Detroit Red Wings won 59% of G&W replays (Calgary Flames 41%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

Red Wings	Goals	Flames
1.6	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.5
0.6	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.2
0.1	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.1
2.3	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	1.8
0.6	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.1
-1.3	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+2.2
-2.2	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · John Gibson 21/25 · Devin Cooley 28/29	+1.3

Bar left: Red Wings gainedBar right: Flames gained

How the margin was built, from Calgary Flames's side:

Chances -0.5Finishing & goaltending +3.5Calgary Flames by 3

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Detroit Red Wings closed as the market favourite at 54% and lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenFlames +1.5 (-191)
Red Wings -1.5 (+155)

CloseFlames +1.5 (-235)
Red Wings -1.5 (+183)

Totalno move

Open5.5 (o -133 / u +110)

Close5.5 (o -135 / u +110)

Moneyline

OpenRed Wings -135 55%
Flames +114 45%

CloseRed Wings -130 54%
Flames +110 46%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Red Wings won 8 and the Flames 6.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Mar 16, 2026	Flames 2, Red Wings 5 Red Wings won	Red Wings -185 favorite won	5.5 over
Dec 10, 2025	Red Wings 4, Flames 3 Red Wings won	Red Wings -115 favorite won	6 over
Feb 1, 2025	Red Wings 3, Flames 1 Red Wings won	Flames -115 underdog won	5.5 under
Nov 27, 2024	Flames 1, Red Wings 2 OT Red Wings won	Flames -115 underdog won	5.5 under
Feb 17, 2024	Red Wings 5, Flames 0 Red Wings won	Flames -151 underdog won	6.5 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams