Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Preview & Odds — November 15, 2026

Matchup preview

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Odds and line movement

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 14

• Dolphins +4-108BetMGM
• Colts -4-110BetMGM
• Over 37.5-106Novig
• Under 37.5-102Novig
• Dolphins+190Novig
• Colts-194Novig

Players to watch

Malik Washington has 350 receiving yards for the Dolphins (39th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 24.0%. Ollie Gordon II has 463 rushing yards on 107 carries (17th of 41 qualified running backs). Keenan Allen has 351 receiving yards for the Colts (38th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 22.5%. Jonathan Taylor has 652 rushing yards on 160 carries (8th of 41 qualified running backs).

Dolphins

RB · Ollie Gordon II

• Carries107
• Rush yards46317th
• Yards per carry4.316th
• EPA per rush−0.04717th
• Rush success rate34.6%33rd

WR · Malik Washington

• Targets / catches48 / 33
• Receiving yards35039th
• Target share24.0%19th
• Yards per target7.353rd
• EPA per target+0.16555th

TE · Greg Dulcich

• Targets / catches32 / 24
• Receiving yards27021st
• Target share17.5%13th
• Yards per target8.412th
• EPA per target+0.32412th

Colts

RB · Jonathan Taylor

• Carries160
• Rush yards6528th
• Yards per carry4.125th
• EPA per rush−0.09224th
• Rush success rate41.2%18th

WR · Keenan Allen

• Targets / catches58 / 40
• Receiving yards35138th
• Target share22.5%25th
• Yards per target6.168th
• EPA per target+0.12058th

TE · Tyler Warren

• Targets / catches53 / 38
• Receiving yards27520th
• Target share23.2%4th
• Yards per target5.236th
• EPA per target−0.21736th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

On early downs the Dolphins succeed on 36.0% of plays (29th) against a Colts defense that allows 45.4% (27th); on 3rd down they convert 41.6% (11th) against a defense allowing 32.7% (5th). On early downs the Colts succeed on 41.6% of plays (20th) against a Dolphins defense that allows 46.8% (31st); on 3rd down they convert 37.2% (22nd) against a defense allowing 48.9% (30th). The Dolphins score touchdowns on 52.6% of red-zone trips (24th). The Colts score touchdowns on 58.3% of red-zone trips (16th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

The Dolphins run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−11.1% pass rate over expected, 32nd-highest), while the Colts sit at −3.9% (23rd-highest). In neutral situations the Dolphins take 33.8 seconds between snaps and the Colts 33.4, so the Colts play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Dolphins have gone for it 6 of 7 times and the Colts 9 of 16.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 6 times since 2015: the Dolphins won 1 and the Colts 5. In the most recent meeting (September 7, 2025), the Colts won 33-8; the Colts averaged +0.265 EPA per play; the Dolphins averaged −0.257 EPA per play.

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.