Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Preview & Odds — November 15, 2026

Matchup preview

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Odds and line movement

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 14

• Bills -8-105BetMGM
• Jets +8-108BetRivers
• Over 50.5-102Novig
• Under 50.5-102DraftKings
• Bills-376Novig
• Jets+365Novig

Players to watch

Khalil Shakir has 397 receiving yards for the Bills (28th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 18.9%. James Cook has 814 rushing yards on 169 carries (5th of 41 qualified running backs). Braelon Allen has 598 rushing yards on 120 carries (11th of 41 qualified running backs).

Bills

RB · James Cook

• Carries169
• Rush yards8145th
• Yards per carry4.89th
• EPA per rush+0.0228th
• Rush success rate46.2%7th

WR · Khalil Shakir

• Targets / catches42 / 31
• Receiving yards39728th
• Target share18.9%42nd
• Yards per target9.517th
• EPA per target+0.48815th

TE · Dalton Kincaid

• Targets / catches38 / 30
• Receiving yards4297th
• Target share17.1%15th
• Yards per target11.31st
• EPA per target+0.5126th

Jets

RB · Braelon Allen

• Carries120
• Rush yards59811th
• Yards per carry5.06th
• EPA per rush−0.04616th
• Rush success rate43.3%12th

WR · Omar Cooper Jr. · Questionable

• Targets / catches24 / 20
• Receiving yards306
• Target share21.6%
• Yards per target12.8
• EPA per target+0.865

TE · Mason Taylor

• Targets / catches25 / 18
• Receiving yards14736th
• Target share14.6%22nd
• Yards per target5.931st
• EPA per target+0.17422nd

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

On early downs the Bills succeed on 46.5% of plays (7th) against a Jets defense that allows 46.6% (30th); on 3rd down they convert 44.6% (6th) against a defense allowing 42.7% (23rd). On early downs the Jets succeed on 46.4% of plays (8th) against a Bills defense that allows 44.9% (25th); on 3rd down they convert 35.7% (26th) against a defense allowing 39.0% (14th). The Bills score touchdowns on 68.8% of red-zone trips (4th). The Jets score touchdowns on 42.3% of red-zone trips (32nd).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

The Bills run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−3.4% pass rate over expected, 22nd-highest), while the Jets sit at −3.2% (21st-highest). In neutral situations the Bills take 32.1 seconds between snaps and the Jets 33.8, so the Bills play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Bills have gone for it 8 of 8 times and the Jets 7 of 10.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 22 times since 2015: the Bills won 15 and the Jets 7. In the most recent meeting (January 4, 2026), the Bills won 35-8; the Bills averaged +0.355 EPA per play; the Jets averaged −0.256 EPA per play.

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.