Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview & Odds — November 15, 2026
SEAStarting quarterbacksexpected startersLV
SEAOffense2026 regular season to dateLVSEADefenseLVSEARecent formLVSEAHome and roadseason to dateLVInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
SEARest & travelLVSEAKey injuriesLVAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed out, doubtful or questionable.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
Matchup preview
The Seahawks (5-4) visit the Raiders (4-5) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET in Week 10.
The Seahawks have the 23rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 5th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Raiders have the 17th-ranked offense and the 31st-ranked defense. When the Seahawks have the ball, a 23rd-ranked offense (−0.040 EPA per play) meets a 31st-ranked defense (+0.092 allowed); when the Raiders have it, a 17th-ranked offense (−0.015) meets a 5th-ranked defense (−0.096 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Seahawks offense is at 41.1% (23rd) and the Raiders offense at 42.3% (17th). Through the air, the Seahawks average +0.082 EPA per dropback (15th) against a Raiders pass defense ranked 30th; the Raiders average +0.106 (11th) against a Seahawks pass defense ranked 4th. The Seahawks score 22.4 points per game (18th) and allow 18.0 (4th); the Raiders score 26.4 (8th) and allow 29.8 (32nd).
Over the last five games, the Seahawks rank 24th on offense and 11th on defense by EPA per play; the Raiders rank 19th and 32nd.
Fernando Mendoza has a 55.6% success rate (3rd of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Drew Lock's 51.9% (4th). Per dropback, Mendoza is at −0.189 EPA to Lock's +0.400, with 0 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions to Lock's 5 and 0. Drew Lock is in line to start in place of Sam Darnold, who is listed as out on the injury report.
The Seahawks are 5-4 and 3-4-2 against the spread; their last game was a 17-3 win over the Cardinals. The Raiders are 4-5 and 6-3 against the spread; their last game was a 38-17 loss to the 49ers.
The Seahawks are 6.5-point road favorites, with the Raiders getting the points at home. The spread opened at Seahawks -3.5. The total is 40.5, down from 43.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Seahawks -300, Raiders +240) prices the Seahawks at 72% and the Raiders at 28%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Seahawks -3.5 (-105)
Seahawks -6.5 (-110)
Raiders +148 39%
Raiders +240 28%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 14
- Seahawks -6.5-102Novig
- Raiders +6.5+100Novig
- Over 40.5-102Novig
- Under 40.5+100Novig
- Seahawks-264Novig
- Raiders+257Novig
Matchup
Players to watch
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 1036 receiving yards for the Seahawks (1st of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 35.7%. Emanuel Wilson has 403 rushing yards on 111 carries (21st of 41 qualified running backs). Tre Tucker has 529 receiving yards for the Raiders (17th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 18.0%. Mike Washington Jr. has 275 rushing yards on 71 carries (34th of 41 qualified running backs).
- Carries111
- Rush yards40321st
- Yards per carry3.631st
- EPA per rush−0.14831st
- Rush success rate36.0%27th
- Targets / catches99 / 71
- Receiving yards10361st
- Target share35.7%2nd
- Yards per target10.57th
- EPA per target+0.6344th
- Targets / catches38 / 23
- Receiving yards21031st
- Target share13.7%24th
- Yards per target5.534th
- EPA per target−0.36638th
- Carries71
- Rush yards27534th
- Yards per carry3.928th
- EPA per rush−0.15633rd
- Rush success rate28.2%40th
- Targets / catches56 / 33
- Receiving yards52917th
- Target share18.0%45th
- Yards per target9.418th
- EPA per target+0.20543rd
- Targets / catches69 / 48
- Receiving yards6581st
- Target share27.3%2nd
- Yards per target9.56th
- EPA per target+0.5534th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Seahawks | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSeahawks offense vs Raiders defense | 41.1%23rd | 48.0%32nd |
| Early-down success rateRaiders offense vs Seahawks defense | 38.6%2nd | 41.0%24th |
| Early-down EPA per playSeahawks offense vs Raiders defense | −0.05823rd | +0.09831st |
| Early-down EPA per playRaiders offense vs Seahawks defense | −0.0807th | −0.06125th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSeahawks offense vs Raiders defense | 37.7%20th | 45.7%27th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRaiders offense vs Seahawks defense | 30.6%2nd | 44.5%7th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playSeahawks offense vs Raiders defense | +0.00113th | +0.05121st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playRaiders offense vs Seahawks defense | −0.3734th | +0.2952nd |
| Red-zone TD rateSeahawks offense vs Raiders defense | 53.6%23rd | 71.1%28th |
| Red-zone TD rateRaiders offense vs Seahawks defense | 78.9%31st | 54.3%22nd |
| Red-zone success rateSeahawks offense vs Raiders defense | 39.5%23rd | 51.4%29th |
| Red-zone success rateRaiders offense vs Seahawks defense | 53.4%32nd | 31.6%32nd |
On early downs the Seahawks succeed on 41.1% of plays (23rd) against a Raiders defense that allows 48.0% (32nd); on 3rd down they convert 37.7% (20th) against a defense allowing 45.7% (27th). On early downs the Raiders succeed on 41.0% of plays (24th) against a Seahawks defense that allows 38.6% (2nd); on 3rd down they convert 44.5% (7th) against a defense allowing 30.6% (2nd). The Seahawks score touchdowns on 53.6% of red-zone trips (23rd). The Raiders score touchdowns on 54.3% of red-zone trips (22nd).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Seahawks | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Mike Macdonald | Klint Kubiak |
| Offensive coordinator | Brian Fleury | Andrew Janocko |
| Defensive coordinator | Aden Durde | Rob Leonard |
| Offense tendencies | Seahawks | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.2% | −5.8%27th-highest | −2.1%17th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.3% | 56.9%25th-highest | 62.5%12th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.8% | 49.9%28th-highest | 56.6%13th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.7% | 51.2%29th-highest | 56.1%24th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5% | 4.1%25th-highest | 8.3%7th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 34.15th-slowest | 33.610th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 16.8%13th | 18.7%6th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 8.1%20th | 9.5%10th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 7.5%23rd | 5.8%31st |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.3% | 6.0%16th | 3.2%2nd |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.98% | 2.50%26th | 2.00%20th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 61.912th-most | 60.421st-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.6% | 7 of 10 | 7 of 12 |
| Defense | Seahawks | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.3% | 6.6%13th | 6.0%17th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 10.4%1st | 18.6%28th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 5.1%1st | 9.5%20th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 5.8%3rd | 13.8%31st |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.98% | 2.09%14th | 2.51%4th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.7% | 18.9%4th | 16.8%9th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.7% | 18.0%29th | 16.6%19th |
The Seahawks run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−5.8% pass rate over expected, 27th-highest), while the Raiders sit at −2.1% (17th-highest). In neutral situations the Seahawks take 34.1 seconds between snaps and the Raiders 33.6, so the Raiders play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Seahawks have gone for it 7 of 10 times and the Raiders 7 of 12.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2015: the Seahawks won 1 and the Raiders 1. In the most recent meeting (November 27, 2022), the Raiders won 40-34; the Raiders averaged +0.208 EPA per play; the Seahawks averaged +0.034 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | Raiders 40, Seahawks 34 Raiders won | Seahawks -4 Raiders covered | 47.5 over | Raiders +0.208 · Seahawks +0.034 |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Seahawks 27, Raiders 3 Seahawks won | Seahawks -3 Seahawks covered | 47.5 under | Raiders −0.275 · Seahawks +0.245 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Seattle Seahawks
- Seattle Seahawks team stats
- Arizona Cardinals 3, Seattle Seahawks 17 (Nov 8)
- Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17 (Nov 2)
- Kansas City Chiefs 3, Seattle Seahawks 20 (Oct 25)
Las Vegas Raiders
More NFL games on November 15, 2026
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- Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons (Nov 15)
- Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (Nov 15)
- Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (Nov 15)
- Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (Nov 15)
- Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (Nov 15)
- Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Nov 15)
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (Nov 15)
- Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Nov 15)
- San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (Nov 15)
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (Nov 15)
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