Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Final — October 25, 2026
CINStarting quarterbacksexpected startersBAL
CINOffense2026 regular season to dateBALCINDefenseBALCINRecent formBALCINHome and roadseason to dateBALInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
CINRest & travelBALCINKey injuriesBALAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed out, doubtful or questionable.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
The pre-game matchup
The Bengals (3-2) visited the Ravens (4-2) at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 7.
The Bengals have the 9th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 16th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Ravens have the 7th-ranked offense and the 14th-ranked defense. When the Bengals have the ball, a 9th-ranked offense (+0.072 EPA per play) meets a 14th-ranked defense (−0.033 allowed); when the Ravens have it, a 7th-ranked offense (+0.113) meets a 16th-ranked defense (−0.030 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Bengals offense is at 47.1% (8th) and the Ravens offense at 47.9% (5th). Through the air, the Bengals average +0.147 EPA per dropback (11th) against a Ravens pass defense ranked 10th; the Ravens average +0.213 (5th) against a Bengals pass defense ranked 8th. The Bengals score 25.6 points per game (9th) and allow 21.8 (14th); the Ravens score 26.0 (7th) and allow 22.0 (15th).
Over the last five games, the Bengals rank 8th on offense and 13th on defense by EPA per play; the Ravens rank 10th and 20th.
Joe Burrow has a 51.2% success rate (4th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Tyler Huntley's 46.7% (16th). Per dropback, Burrow is at +0.147 EPA to Huntley's +0.027, with 11 touchdown passes and 3 interceptions to Huntley's 3 and 0.
The Bengals are 3-2 and 2-2-1 against the spread; their last game was a 31-24 win over the Dolphins. The Ravens are 4-2 and 2-4 against the spread; their last game was a 13-10 loss to the Browns. The Bengals are coming off a bye.
The Bengals closed as 3-point road favorites, with the Ravens getting the points at home. The spread opened with Ravens favored by 3. The total closed at 46.5, down from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Bengals -162, Ravens +136) prices the Bengals at 59% and the Ravens at 41%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Cincinnati Bengals 35, Baltimore Ravens 13
Cincinnati Bengals won by 22.
- Against the closing spread (Baltimore Ravens +3): Cincinnati Bengals covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 46.5: Over.
- Cincinnati Bengals closed at -162 on the moneyline (a 59% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 19 points toward Cincinnati Bengals.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Cincinnati Bengals 59%, Baltimore Ravens 41%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 13:45 — Baltimore Ravens ball, 3rd & 9 at CIN 48(Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass short right to 4-Z.Flowers for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Baltimore Ravens 41% → 53% (+12 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 4:33 — Cincinnati Bengals ball, 1st & 10 at BAL 13(Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 5-T.Higgins for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Cincinnati Bengals 49% → 58% (+9 pts) · Drive 11 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 2:57 — Baltimore Ravens ball, 2nd & 10 at BAL 485-T.Huntley pass short left to 85-J.Cuevas to CIN 33 for 19 yards (6-B.Cook).Baltimore Ravens 44% → 53% (+9 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 15:00 — Baltimore Ravens ball, 4th & 2 at CIN 12(Shotgun) 5-T.Huntley pass incomplete short middle to 85-J.Cuevas.Cincinnati Bengals 49% → 63% (+14 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 12:52 — Cincinnati Bengals ball, 2nd & 6 at CIN 33(Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 5-T.Higgins to BAL 23 for 44 yards (38-K.Martin; 14-K.Hamilton).Cincinnati Bengals 66% → 79% (+12 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
Cincinnati Bengals won after falling as low as 16% (Q2 1:37).
Game DNA
| Bengals | Points added | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | Passingdropbacks | -5.7 |
| -4.7 | Rushingdesigned runs | -6.9 |
| +12.2 | Explosive plays7 plays · 10 plays | +19.9 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -6.0 |
| +1.4 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +2.7 |
| +1.6 | Penalties1 for 15 yds · 10 for 57 yds | -3.7 |
| +9.8 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 5 of 5 · 0 of 3 | -7.2 |
| +19.9 | All plays | -7.0 |
The biggest single gap: red zone, worth about 17.1 points to Cincinnati Bengals. The final margin was 22.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Cincinnati Bengals closed as the market favourite at 59% and won.
The line moved toward Cincinnati Bengals before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Bengals +3 (-112)
Bengals -3 (-106)
Ravens -167 60%
Ravens +136 41%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
Tee Higgins has 423 receiving yards for the Bengals (12th of 79 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 23.1%. Chase Brown has 246 rushing yards on 71 carries (25th of 40 qualified running backs). Zay Flowers has 471 receiving yards for the Ravens (9th of 79 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 31.1%. Derrick Henry has 534 rushing yards on 130 carries (4th of 40 qualified running backs).
- Carries71
- Rush yards24625th
- Yards per carry3.532nd
- EPA per rush−0.13826th
- Rush success rate36.6%24th
- Targets / catches43 / 27
- Receiving yards42312th
- Target share23.1%24th
- Yards per target9.819th
- EPA per target+0.58315th
- Targets / catches17 / 12
- Receiving yards15924th
- Target share11.0%31st
- Yards per target9.45th
- EPA per target+0.9941st
- Carries130
- Rush yards5344th
- Yards per carry4.118th
- EPA per rush−0.10725th
- Rush success rate41.5%17th
- Targets / catches42 / 32
- Receiving yards4719th
- Target share31.1%4th
- Yards per target11.24th
- EPA per target+0.63412th
- Targets / catches33 / 23
- Receiving yards18118th
- Target share20.1%7th
- Yards per target5.532nd
- EPA per target−0.09229th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Bengals | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateBengals offense vs Ravens defense | 45.8%10th | 40.1%6th |
| Early-down success rateRavens offense vs Bengals defense | 42.2%12th | 49.3%4th |
| Early-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Ravens defense | +0.02013th | −0.1094th |
| Early-down EPA per playRavens offense vs Bengals defense | −0.02111th | +0.1496th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBengals offense vs Ravens defense | 50.0%2nd | 39.5%15th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRavens offense vs Bengals defense | 46.0%28th | 39.4%17th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Ravens defense | +0.1648th | +0.14526th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playRavens offense vs Bengals defense | +0.14627th | +0.0269th |
| Red-zone TD rateBengals offense vs Ravens defense | 52.9%21st | 57.9%14th |
| Red-zone TD rateRavens offense vs Bengals defense | 41.2%4th | 71.4%7th |
| Red-zone success rateBengals offense vs Ravens defense | 48.0%8th | 40.0%10th |
| Red-zone success rateRavens offense vs Bengals defense | 34.6%4th | 50.8%3rd |
On early downs the Bengals succeed on 45.8% of plays (10th) against a Ravens defense that allows 40.1% (6th); on 3rd down they convert 50.0% (2nd) against a defense allowing 39.5% (15th). On early downs the Ravens succeed on 49.3% of plays (4th) against a Bengals defense that allows 42.2% (12th); on 3rd down they convert 39.4% (17th) against a defense allowing 46.0% (28th). The Bengals score touchdowns on 52.9% of red-zone trips (21st). The Ravens score touchdowns on 71.4% of red-zone trips (7th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Bengals | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Zac Taylor | Jesse Minter |
| Offensive coordinator | Dan Pitcher | Declan Doyle |
| Defensive coordinator | Al Golden | Anthony Weaver |
| Offense tendencies | Bengals | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.6% | 5.5%1st-highest | −4.9%28th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 61.4% | 66.2%4th-highest | 54.8%31st-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.8% | 61.3%5th-highest | 49.7%30th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.5% | 74.7%2nd-highest | 55.4%24th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4% | 4.9%21st-highest | 3.9%23rd-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 32.420th-slowest | 35.81st-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.2% | 16.9%11th | 19.1%6th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5% | 7.7%22nd | 9.3%11th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.3% | 9.6%15th | 13.7%4th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.1% | 4.4%7th | 7.1%22nd |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.92% | 1.62%16th | 1.11%6th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.5 | 61.618th-most | 59.820th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 60.4% | 2 of 6 | 4 of 5 |
| Defense | Bengals | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.1% | 8.7%3rd | 6.4%16th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.2% | 16.5%20th | 13.9%12th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5% | 10.2%25th | 8.3%16th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.3% | 13.5%30th | 8.0%10th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.92% | 2.67%4th | 1.61%22nd |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.9% | 17.1%11th | 17.7%9th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.9% | 17.6%25th | 14.7%13th |
The Bengals pass more often than down, distance and score would suggest (5.5% pass rate over expected, 1st-highest), while the Ravens sit at −4.9% (28th-highest). In neutral situations the Bengals take 32.4 seconds between snaps and the Ravens 35.8, so the Bengals play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Bengals have gone for it 2 of 6 times and the Ravens 4 of 5.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 23 times since 2015: the Bengals won 10 and the Ravens 13. In the most recent meeting (December 14, 2025), the Ravens won 24-0; the Ravens averaged +0.207 EPA per play; the Bengals averaged −0.309 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Ravens 24, Bengals 0 Ravens won | Ravens -2.5 Ravens covered | 51.5 under | Ravens +0.207 · Bengals −0.309 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Bengals 32, Ravens 14 Bengals won | Ravens -7 Bengals covered | 52.5 under | Ravens −0.340 · Bengals −0.002 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Bengals 34, Ravens 35 Ravens won | Ravens -6 Bengals covered | 53 over | Ravens +0.322 · Bengals +0.099 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Ravens 41, Bengals 38 Ravens won | Ravens -2.5 Ravens covered | 48.5 over | Ravens +0.290 · Bengals +0.266 |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Bengals 20, Ravens 34 Ravens won | Ravens -4 Ravens covered | 46.5 over | Ravens +0.171 · Bengals +0.053 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Teams
Cincinnati Bengals
- Cincinnati Bengals team stats
- Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals (Nov 1)
- Cincinnati Bengals 31, Miami Dolphins 24 (Oct 11)
- Jacksonville Jaguars 22, Cincinnati Bengals 17 (Oct 4)
- Cincinnati Bengals 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 30 (Sep 27)
Baltimore Ravens
- Baltimore Ravens team stats
- Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (Nov 1)
- Baltimore Ravens 10, Cleveland Browns 13 (Oct 18)
- Baltimore Ravens 30, Atlanta Falcons 23 (Oct 11)
- Tennessee Titans 18, Baltimore Ravens 24 (Oct 4)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NFL games on October 25, 2026
- Pittsburgh Steelers 16, New Orleans Saints 10 (Oct 25)
- San Francisco 49ers 20, Atlanta Falcons 29 (Oct 25)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 43, Carolina Panthers 13 (Oct 25)
- New York Giants 27, Houston Texans 21 (Oct 25)
- Indianapolis Colts 10, Minnesota Vikings 16 (Oct 25)
- Miami Dolphins 28, New York Jets 25 (Oct 25)
- Cleveland Browns 27, Tennessee Titans 24 (Oct 25)
- Denver Broncos 30, Arizona Cardinals 16 (Oct 25)
- Green Bay Packers 17, Detroit Lions 20 (Oct 25)
- Los Angeles Rams 35, Las Vegas Raiders 21 (Oct 25)
- Kansas City Chiefs 3, Seattle Seahawks 20 (Oct 25)
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