Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins Final — November 8, 2026
DETStarting quarterbacksexpected startersMIA
DETOffense2026 regular season to dateMIADETDefenseMIADETRecent formMIADETHome and roadseason to dateMIAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
DETRest & travelMIADETKey injuriesMIAAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 35 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed out, doubtful or questionable.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
The pre-game matchup
The Lions (5-2) visited the Dolphins (1-6) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 9.
The Lions have the 6th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 30th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have the 23rd-ranked offense and the 32nd-ranked defense. When the Lions have the ball, a 6th-ranked offense (+0.113 EPA per play) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (+0.131 allowed); when the Dolphins have it, a 23rd-ranked offense (−0.045) meets a 30th-ranked defense (+0.110 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Lions offense is at 49.4% (3rd) and the Dolphins offense at 40.1% (28th). Through the air, the Lions average +0.236 EPA per dropback (4th) against a Dolphins pass defense ranked 32nd; the Dolphins average +0.008 (21st) against a Lions pass defense ranked 29th. The Lions score 29.0 points per game (3rd) and allow 25.7 (23rd); the Dolphins score 16.7 (31st) and allow 25.9 (24th).
Over the last five games, the Lions rank 5th on offense and 26th on defense by EPA per play; the Dolphins rank 19th and 30th.
Jared Goff has a 50.4% success rate (7th of 35 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Malik Willis' 43.5% (21st). Per dropback, Goff is at +0.236 EPA to Willis' +0.008, with 15 touchdown passes and 1 interception to Willis' 6 and 5.
The Lions are 5-2 and 2-4-1 against the spread; their last game was a 19-15 win over the Vikings. The Dolphins are 1-6 and 3-3-1 against the spread; their last game was a 24-19 loss to the Patriots.
The Lions closed as 6.5-point road favorites, with the Dolphins getting the points at home. The spread opened at Lions -7. The total closed at 50.5, up from 49.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Lions -310, Dolphins +250) prices the Lions at 73% and the Dolphins at 27%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Detroit Lions 19, Miami Dolphins 9
Detroit Lions won by 10.
- Against the closing spread (Miami Dolphins +6.5): Detroit Lions covered.
- Combined score 28 vs the closing total of 50.5: Under.
- Detroit Lions closed at -310 on the moneyline (a 73% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Miami Dolphins.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Detroit Lions 73%, Miami Dolphins 27%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 5:14 — Detroit Lions ball, 1st & 10 at DET 4716-J.Goff pass short right intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 3-C.Johnson (9-J.Uche) [9-J.Uche] at MIA 40. 3-C.Johnson to DET 39 for 21 yards (14-A.St. Brown).Miami Dolphins 20% → 31% (+11 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 14:55 — Detroit Lions ball, 4th & 7 at DET 30(Punt formation) 3-J.Fox pass short left to 17-T.Martin to DET 41 for 11 yards (4-J.Marshall).Detroit Lions 67% → 73% (+6 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:03 — Miami Dolphins ball, 2nd & 20 at DET 2031-Z.Gonzalez 38 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.Detroit Lions 68% → 76% (+8 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 13:38 — Miami Dolphins ball, 3rd & 11 at MIA 35(Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass deep left intended for 7-C.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 36-C.Clark at DET 40. 36-C.Clark pushed ob at MIA 26 for 34 yards (18-C.Bell).Detroit Lions 79% → 85% (+7 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 14:55 — Miami Dolphins ball, 4th & 3 at MIA 36(Punt formation) 48-B.Pinion pass short middle to 30-K.Allen to DET 18 for 46 yards (35-J.Bachie; 17-T.Martin).Miami Dolphins 6% → 14% (+8 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Lions | Points added | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| +1.8 | Passingdropbacks | -7.8 |
| -2.9 | Rushingdesigned runs | -4.6 |
| +9.4 | Explosive plays6 plays · 4 plays | +9.6 |
| -6.0 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -4.7 |
| +4.6 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +1.6 |
| -0.6 | Penalties9 for 63 yds · 11 for 87 yds | -4.3 |
| -1.7 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 4 · 0 of 3 | -2.8 |
| +4.5 | All plays | -13.0 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 9.5 points to Detroit Lions. The final margin was 10.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Detroit Lions closed as the market favourite at 73% and won.
The line moved toward Miami Dolphins before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Lions -7 (-109)
Lions -6.5 (-110)
Dolphins +272 26%
Dolphins +250 27%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Matchup
Players to watch
Amon-Ra St. Brown has 571 receiving yards for the Lions (10th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 31.1%. Jahmyr Gibbs has 773 rushing yards on 157 carries (2nd of 42 qualified running backs). Malik Washington has 329 receiving yards for the Dolphins (36th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.1%. Ollie Gordon II has 408 rushing yards on 91 carries (18th of 42 qualified running backs).
- Carries157
- Rush yards7732nd
- Yards per carry4.910th
- EPA per rush−0.01917th
- Rush success rate49.0%4th
- Targets / catches76 / 53
- Receiving yards57110th
- Target share31.1%5th
- Yards per target7.551st
- EPA per target+0.31333rd
- Targets / catches44 / 31
- Receiving yards3678th
- Target share18.0%13th
- Yards per target8.312th
- EPA per target+0.7382nd
- Carries91
- Rush yards40818th
- Yards per carry4.516th
- EPA per rush−0.01416th
- Rush success rate36.3%27th
- Targets / catches45 / 31
- Receiving yards32936th
- Target share25.1%17th
- Yards per target7.352nd
- EPA per target+0.16154th
- Targets / catches28 / 22
- Receiving yards25618th
- Target share17.3%16th
- Yards per target9.17th
- EPA per target+0.4329th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Lions | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateLions offense vs Dolphins defense | 51.1%2nd | 47.2%30th |
| Early-down success rateDolphins offense vs Lions defense | 43.9%19th | 37.2%29th |
| Early-down EPA per playLions offense vs Dolphins defense | +0.1343rd | +0.03219th |
| Early-down EPA per playDolphins offense vs Lions defense | +0.05725th | −0.09928th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateLions offense vs Dolphins defense | 39.0%15th | 52.4%32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateDolphins offense vs Lions defense | 46.3%27th | 42.7%10th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playLions offense vs Dolphins defense | −0.12822nd | +0.35332nd |
| 3rd-down EPA per playDolphins offense vs Lions defense | +0.05121st | +0.2045th |
| Red-zone TD rateLions offense vs Dolphins defense | 69.0%5th | 64.3%19th |
| Red-zone TD rateDolphins offense vs Lions defense | 74.1%28th | 58.8%16th |
| Red-zone success rateLions offense vs Dolphins defense | 47.8%8th | 47.1%22nd |
| Red-zone success rateDolphins offense vs Lions defense | 43.7%16th | 44.3%13th |
On early downs the Lions succeed on 51.1% of plays (2nd) against a Dolphins defense that allows 47.2% (30th); on 3rd down they convert 39.0% (15th) against a defense allowing 52.4% (32nd). On early downs the Dolphins succeed on 37.2% of plays (29th) against a Lions defense that allows 43.9% (19th); on 3rd down they convert 42.7% (10th) against a defense allowing 46.3% (27th). The Lions score touchdowns on 69.0% of red-zone trips (5th). The Dolphins score touchdowns on 58.8% of red-zone trips (16th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Lions | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Dan Campbell | Jeff Hafley |
| Offensive coordinator | Drew Petzing | Bobby Slowik |
| Defensive coordinator | Kelvin Sheppard | Sean Duggan |
| Offense tendencies | Lions | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.1% | −2.9%21st-highest | −10.9%32nd-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.4% | 58.2%22nd-highest | 57.2%26th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.9% | 52.5%22nd-highest | 51.0%27th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 47.1%31st-highest | 57.7%21st-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5% | 5.6%15th-highest | 3.3%28th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 33.0 | 32.126th-slowest | 34.07th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 16.2%14th | 13.2%25th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 8.7%17th | 8.3%19th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.5% | 16.4%1st | 10.1%12th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.2% | 5.9%17th | 9.3%31st |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.92% | 0.87%3rd | 2.27%23rd |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.4 | 65.93rd-most | 56.430th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.3% | 4 of 5 | 6 of 7 |
| Defense | Lions | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.2% | 7.4%7th | 4.1%27th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 17.2%21st | 16.4%19th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 11.1%30th | 10.1%26th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.5% | 10.4%23rd | 9.9%19th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.92% | 1.49%25th | 1.50%24th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.6% | 17.8%5th | 13.9%23rd |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.6% | 15.2%14th | 14.2%11th |
The Lions run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−2.9% pass rate over expected, 21st-highest), while the Dolphins sit at −10.9% (32nd-highest). In neutral situations the Lions take 32.1 seconds between snaps and the Dolphins 34.0, so the Lions play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Lions have gone for it 4 of 5 times and the Dolphins 6 of 7.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2015: the Lions won 1 and the Dolphins 1. In the most recent meeting (October 30, 2022), the Dolphins won 31-27; the Lions averaged +0.192 EPA per play; the Dolphins averaged +0.347 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | Dolphins 31, Lions 27 Dolphins won | Dolphins -3.5 Dolphins covered | 52 over | Lions +0.192 · Dolphins +0.347 |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Lions 32, Dolphins 21 Lions won | Lions -3 Lions covered | 47 over | Lions +0.366 · Dolphins +0.155 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Teams
Detroit Lions
- Detroit Lions team stats
- New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (Nov 15)
- Minnesota Vikings 15, Detroit Lions 19 (Nov 1)
- Green Bay Packers 17, Detroit Lions 20 (Oct 25)
- Detroit Lions 45, Arizona Cardinals 21 (Oct 11)
Miami Dolphins
More NFL games on November 8, 2026
- Cincinnati Bengals 34, Atlanta Falcons 17 (Nov 8)
- Denver Broncos 26, Carolina Panthers 21 (Nov 8)
- Dallas Cowboys 27, Indianapolis Colts 23 (Nov 8)
- New York Jets 12, Kansas City Chiefs 35 (Nov 8)
- Cleveland Browns 22, New Orleans Saints 23 (Nov 8)
- New York Giants 19, Philadelphia Eagles 11 (Nov 8)
- Los Angeles Rams 20, Washington Commanders 13 (Nov 8)
- Houston Texans 44, Los Angeles Chargers 22 (Nov 8)
- Green Bay Packers 45, New England Patriots 27 (Nov 8)
- Las Vegas Raiders 17, San Francisco 49ers 38 (Nov 8)
- Arizona Cardinals 3, Seattle Seahawks 17 (Nov 8)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Chicago Bears 27 (Nov 8)
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