Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks Final — November 8, 2026
ARIStarting quarterbacksexpected startersSEA
ARIOffense2026 regular season to dateSEAARIDefenseSEAARIRecent formSEAARIHome and roadseason to dateSEAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
ARIRest & travelSEAARIKey injuriesSEAAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 35 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
The pre-game matchup
The Cardinals (3-5) visited the Seahawks (4-4) at Lumen Field on Sunday, November 8 at 4:25 PM ET in Week 9.
The Cardinals have the 19th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 26th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have the 24th-ranked offense and the 5th-ranked defense. When the Cardinals have the ball, a 19th-ranked offense (−0.022 EPA per play) meets a 5th-ranked defense (−0.087 allowed); when the Seahawks have it, a 24th-ranked offense (−0.054) meets a 26th-ranked defense (+0.073 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Cardinals offense is at 43.5% (13th) and the Seahawks offense at 40.9% (26th). Through the air, the Cardinals average −0.006 EPA per dropback (23rd) against a Seahawks pass defense ranked 3rd; the Seahawks average +0.063 (18th) against a Cardinals pass defense ranked 31st. The Cardinals score 21.9 points per game (21st) and allow 29.8 (32nd); the Seahawks score 23.1 (15th) and allow 19.9 (7th).
Over the last five games, the Cardinals rank 22nd on offense and 22nd on defense by EPA per play; the Seahawks rank 28th and 10th.
Gardner Minshew has a 66.7% success rate (1st of 35 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Drew Lock's 51.0% (6th). Per dropback, Minshew is at +0.698 EPA to Lock's +0.476, with 3 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions to Lock's 4 and 0. Drew Lock is in line to start in place of Sam Darnold, who is listed as out on the injury report.
The Cardinals are 3-5 and 4-4 against the spread; their last game was a 33-30 win over the Cowboys. The Seahawks are 4-4 and 2-4-2 against the spread; their last game was a 34-17 loss to the Bears.
The Seahawks closed as 8.5-point favorites at home against the Cardinals. The spread opened at Seahawks -11.5. The total closed at 39.5, down from 44.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Cardinals +345, Seahawks -457) prices the Cardinals at 22% and the Seahawks at 78%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Arizona Cardinals 3, Seattle Seahawks 17
Seattle Seahawks won by 14.
- Against the closing spread (Seattle Seahawks -8.5): Seattle Seahawks covered.
- Combined score 20 vs the closing total of 39.5: Under.
- Seattle Seahawks closed at -457 on the moneyline (a 78% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 5 points toward Arizona Cardinals.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Arizona Cardinals 21%, Seattle Seahawks 78%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Game DNA
| Cardinals | Points added | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| -10.8 | Passingdropbacks | -2.9 |
| -2.2 | Rushingdesigned runs | -5.0 |
| +9.8 | Explosive plays6 plays · 6 plays | +8.9 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +2.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +1.6 |
| +1.5 | Penalties9 for 97 yds · 9 for 83 yds | +2.5 |
| -6.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 0 of 2 · 2 of 2 | +3.3 |
| -6.0 | All plays | +8.4 |
The biggest single gap: red zone, worth about 9.8 points to Seattle Seahawks. The final margin was 14.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Seattle Seahawks closed as the market favourite at 78% and won.
The line moved toward Arizona Cardinals before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Cardinals +11.5 (-110)
Cardinals +8.5 (-110)
Seahawks -675 84%
Seahawks -457 78%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Matchup
Players to watch
Michael Wilson has 486 receiving yards for the Cardinals (17th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.9%. Tyler Allgeier has 323 rushing yards on 72 carries (27th of 42 qualified running backs). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 985 receiving yards for the Seahawks (1st of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 35.7%. Emanuel Wilson has 403 rushing yards on 111 carries (19th of 42 qualified running backs).
- Carries72
- Rush yards32327th
- Yards per carry4.515th
- EPA per rush−0.08823rd
- Rush success rate31.9%34th
- Targets / catches81 / 45
- Receiving yards48617th
- Target share25.9%16th
- Yards per target6.067th
- EPA per target−0.00863rd
- Targets / catches86 / 66
- Receiving yards5442nd
- Target share27.5%2nd
- Yards per target6.325th
- EPA per target+0.29314th
- Carries111
- Rush yards40319th
- Yards per carry3.630th
- EPA per rush−0.14830th
- Rush success rate36.0%28th
- Targets / catches89 / 64
- Receiving yards9851st
- Target share35.7%1st
- Yards per target11.14th
- EPA per target+0.7254th
- Targets / catches34 / 21
- Receiving yards20326th
- Target share13.7%25th
- Yards per target6.031st
- EPA per target−0.40537th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Cardinals | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateCardinals offense vs Seahawks defense | 43.1%15th | 38.0%1st |
| Early-down success rateSeahawks offense vs Cardinals defense | 41.5%7th | 41.0%22nd |
| Early-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Seahawks defense | +0.03815th | −0.0873rd |
| Early-down EPA per playSeahawks offense vs Cardinals defense | +0.03420th | −0.06725th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCardinals offense vs Seahawks defense | 39.0%15th | 30.6%3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSeahawks offense vs Cardinals defense | 39.4%14th | 35.6%27th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Seahawks defense | −0.19928th | −0.3375th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playSeahawks offense vs Cardinals defense | +0.25930th | −0.03413th |
| Red-zone TD rateCardinals offense vs Seahawks defense | 46.9%31st | 88.2%32nd |
| Red-zone TD rateSeahawks offense vs Cardinals defense | 66.7%21st | 50.0%27th |
| Red-zone success rateCardinals offense vs Seahawks defense | 36.0%30th | 58.3%32nd |
| Red-zone success rateSeahawks offense vs Cardinals defense | 35.1%7th | 36.8%28th |
On early downs the Cardinals succeed on 43.1% of plays (15th) against a Seahawks defense that allows 38.0% (1st); on 3rd down they convert 39.0% (15th) against a defense allowing 30.6% (3rd). On early downs the Seahawks succeed on 41.0% of plays (22nd) against a Cardinals defense that allows 41.5% (7th); on 3rd down they convert 35.6% (27th) against a defense allowing 39.4% (14th). The Cardinals score touchdowns on 46.9% of red-zone trips (31st). The Seahawks score touchdowns on 50.0% of red-zone trips (27th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Cardinals | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Mike LaFleur | Mike Macdonald |
| Offensive coordinator | Nathaniel Hackett | Brian Fleury |
| Defensive coordinator | Nick Rallis | Aden Durde |
| Offense tendencies | Cardinals | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.1% | −1.2%12th-highest | −5.5%28th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.4% | 64.3%8th-highest | 57.7%25th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.9% | 58.8%9th-highest | 50.5%29th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 58.7%20th-highest | 51.9%28th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5% | 10.4%4th-highest | 3.4%27th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 33.0 | 32.821st-slowest | 34.35th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 9.9%31st | 16.8%13th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 5.1%32nd | 9.0%15th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.5% | 6.6%27th | 8.0%21st |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.2% | 5.7%14th | 6.6%20th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.92% | 1.46%11th | 2.79%28th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.4 | 68.62nd-most | 62.410th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.3% | 9 of 14 | 7 of 10 |
| Defense | Cardinals | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.2% | 7.2%8th | 6.3%15th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 18.2%27th | 9.7%1st |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 11.2%31st | 4.9%1st |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.5% | 9.0%14th | 5.8%3rd |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.92% | 1.47%26th | 2.32%9th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.6% | 14.2%21st | 19.6%3rd |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.6% | 17.8%28th | 18.8%30th |
The Cardinals run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−1.2% pass rate over expected, 12th-highest), while the Seahawks sit at −5.5% (28th-highest). In neutral situations the Cardinals take 32.8 seconds between snaps and the Seahawks 34.3, so the Cardinals play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Cardinals have gone for it 9 of 14 times and the Seahawks 7 of 10.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 23 times since 2015: the Cardinals won 6 and the Seahawks 16, with 1 tie. In the most recent meeting (September 20, 2026), the Seahawks won 31-7; the Cardinals averaged −0.325 EPA per play; the Seahawks averaged +0.134 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seahawks 31, Cardinals 7 Seahawks won | Seahawks -3.5 Seahawks covered | 40.5 under | Cardinals −0.325 · Seahawks +0.134 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Cardinals 22, Seahawks 44 Seahawks won | Seahawks -7 Seahawks covered | 44.5 over | Cardinals −0.211 · Seahawks +0.074 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20 Seahawks won | Seahawks -1.5 Seahawks covered | 43.5 under | Cardinals −0.081 · Seahawks +0.055 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Seahawks 30, Cardinals 18 Seahawks won | Cardinals -3 Seahawks covered | 45.5 over | Cardinals −0.067 · Seahawks +0.155 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Cardinals 6, Seahawks 16 Seahawks won | Cardinals -1 Seahawks covered | 46.5 under | Cardinals −0.185 · Seahawks −0.065 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Teams
Arizona Cardinals
- Arizona Cardinals team stats
- Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Nov 15)
- Arizona Cardinals 33, Dallas Cowboys 30 (Nov 1)
- Denver Broncos 30, Arizona Cardinals 16 (Oct 25)
- Arizona Cardinals 18, Los Angeles Rams 16 (Oct 18)
Seattle Seahawks
More NFL games on November 8, 2026
- Cincinnati Bengals 34, Atlanta Falcons 17 (Nov 8)
- Denver Broncos 26, Carolina Panthers 21 (Nov 8)
- Dallas Cowboys 27, Indianapolis Colts 23 (Nov 8)
- New York Jets 12, Kansas City Chiefs 35 (Nov 8)
- Detroit Lions 19, Miami Dolphins 9 (Nov 8)
- Cleveland Browns 22, New Orleans Saints 23 (Nov 8)
- New York Giants 19, Philadelphia Eagles 11 (Nov 8)
- Los Angeles Rams 20, Washington Commanders 13 (Nov 8)
- Houston Texans 44, Los Angeles Chargers 22 (Nov 8)
- Green Bay Packers 45, New England Patriots 27 (Nov 8)
- Las Vegas Raiders 17, San Francisco 49ers 38 (Nov 8)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Chicago Bears 27 (Nov 8)
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