Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings Final — October 13, 2026
EDMStarting goaliesLA
EDMOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)LAEDMDefenseLAEDMTeamLAEDM5-on-5LAEDMSpecial teamsLAEDMRecent formLAEDMHome and roadseason to dateLAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
EDMRest & travelLAEDMKey injuriesLAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 12:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Oilers (4-0-1) visited the Kings (0-2-2) on Tuesday, October 13 at 10:40 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Oilers scored 3.44 goals per game (7th of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Kings scored 2.74 goals per game (29th of 32) and allowed 3.01 (12th). The Oilers earned 56.7% of available standings points (14th) and the Kings 54.9% (20th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Oilers 51.7% (9th), Kings 52.2% (7th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Oilers 50.3% (12th), Kings 52.2% (8th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Oilers 51.0% (14th), Kings 52.7% (12th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Oilers -131, Kings +110) prices the Oilers at 54% and the Kings at 46%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Edmonton Oilers 4, Los Angeles Kings 1
Edmonton Oilers won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Los Angeles Kings +1.5): Edmonton Oilers covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Edmonton Oilers closed at -131 on the moneyline (a 54% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Los Angeles Kings 1
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Edmonton Oilers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Edmonton Oilers 54%, Los Angeles Kings 46%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 7:16 — Edmonton Oilers goal (1-0)Edmonton Oilers 54% → 69% (+15 pts)
- 1st 8:16 — Edmonton Oilers goal (2-0)Edmonton Oilers 71% → 83% (+12 pts)
- 1st 15:48 — Edmonton Oilers goal (3-0)Edmonton Oilers 84% → 92% (+9 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Los Angeles Kings won 76% of G&W replays (Edmonton Oilers 24%). The result went the other way from the chances each team created.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Los Angeles Kings. Here is where that came from.
| Oilers | Goals | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.9 |
| 0.4 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.2 |
| 0.3 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 1.4 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.2 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.2 |
| 0.1 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.4 |
| +1.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -2.4 |
| +2.4 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Devon Levi 39/40 · Anton Forsberg 9/9, Darcy Kuemper 4/7 | -1.6 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Edmonton Oilers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Edmonton Oilers closed as the market favourite at 54% and won.
The line moved toward Edmonton Oilers before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Oilers -1.5 (+200)
Oilers -1.5 (+185)
Kings -100 48%
Kings +110 46%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 27 times since 2018-19: the Oilers won 15 and the Kings 12.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Oilers 0, Kings 1 Kings won | ||
| Feb 26, 2026 | Oilers 8, Kings 1 Oilers won | Oilers -115 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Kings 4, Oilers 3 SO Kings won | Oilers -184 underdog won | 6.5 over |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Kings 5, Oilers 0 Kings won | Kings -188 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Oilers 0, Kings 3 Kings won | Kings -205 favorite won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers team stats
- Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers (Oct 28)
- Detroit Red Wings 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (Oct 26)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Oct 24)
- Carolina Hurricanes 5, Edmonton Oilers 6 (Oct 22)
Los Angeles Kings
More NHL games on October 13, 2026
- New Jersey Devils 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 13)
- Florida Panthers 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (Oct 13)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 13)
- Washington Capitals 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (Oct 13)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Oct 13)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4 (Oct 13)
- St Louis Blues 7, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 13)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 13)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (Oct 13)
- Minnesota Wild 2, Winnipeg Jets 5 (Oct 13)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 13)
- Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 13)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 13)
- Calgary Flames 4, Anaheim Ducks 2 (Oct 13)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results