Minnesota Wild vs Winnipeg Jets Final — October 13, 2026
MINStarting goaliesWPG
MINOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)WPGMINDefenseWPGMINTeamWPGMIN5-on-5WPGMINSpecial teamsWPGMINRecent formWPGMINHome and roadseason to dateWPGInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
MINRest & travelWPGMINKey injuriesWPGAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 9:40 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Wild (4-1-1) visited the Jets (3-1-1) on Tuesday, October 13 at 8:25 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Wild scored 3.32 goals per game (11th of 32) and allowed 2.93 (4th). The Jets scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.17 (22nd). The Wild earned 63.4% of available standings points (7th) and the Jets 50.0% (26th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Wild 50.9% (12th), Jets 47.5% (25th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Wild 48.2% (24th), Jets 48.8% (22nd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Wild 53.5% (10th), Jets 44.6% (29th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Wild -110, Jets -110) prices the Wild at 50% and the Jets at 50%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Minnesota Wild 2, Winnipeg Jets 5
Winnipeg Jets won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Winnipeg Jets -1.5): Winnipeg Jets covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Winnipeg Jets closed at -110 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Winnipeg Jets 5
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Minnesota Wild 50%, Winnipeg Jets 50%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 17:54 — Winnipeg Jets goal (1-2)Winnipeg Jets 50% → 67% (+17 pts)
- 1st 18:38 — Minnesota Wild goal (2-2)Minnesota Wild 33% → 50% (+17 pts)
- 2nd 16:36 — Winnipeg Jets goal (2-3)Winnipeg Jets 53% → 75% (+22 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Winnipeg Jets won 55% of G&W replays (Minnesota Wild 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Wild | Goals | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.2 |
| 0.8 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.5 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.2 |
| 2.5 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.9 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.2 |
| -0.5 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +2.1 |
| -2.1 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Calvin Pickard 20/25 · Stuart Skinner 19/21 | +0.5 |
How the margin was built, from Winnipeg Jets's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Winnipeg Jets closed as the market favourite at 50% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Wild -1.5 (+220)
Wild +1.5 (-275)
Jets -109 50%
Jets -110 50%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 27 times since 2018-19: the Wild won 13 and the Jets 14.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Jets 6, Wild 2 Jets won | Wild -135 underdog won | 5.5 over |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Wild 4, Jets 3 OT Wild won | Wild -115 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Wild 3, Jets 0 Wild won | Jets -135 underdog won | 6 under |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Jets 4, Wild 3 OT Jets won | Jets -115 favorite won | 6 over |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Wild 0, Jets 5 Jets won | Jets -167 favorite won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Minnesota Wild
- Minnesota Wild team stats
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 25)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 (Oct 24)
Winnipeg Jets
More NHL games on October 13, 2026
- New Jersey Devils 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 13)
- Florida Panthers 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (Oct 13)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 13)
- Washington Capitals 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (Oct 13)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Oct 13)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4 (Oct 13)
- St Louis Blues 7, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 13)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 13)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (Oct 13)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 13)
- Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 13)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 13)
- Calgary Flames 4, Anaheim Ducks 2 (Oct 13)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 13)
Dig deeper
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