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NHL · October 13, 2026

Florida Panthers vs Columbus Blue Jackets Final — October 13, 2026

Florida Panthers

2-2-2

Goalie Akira Schmid Confirmed

FINAL

Columbus Blue Jackets

2-2-0

Goalie Cam Talbot Confirmed

Tuesday, October 13 · 6:25 PM ET

FLAStarting goaliesCBJ

This season

Starts

.868

Sv%

.909

.714

HDSv%

.750

−2.1

GSAx

+0.7

Last season

Starts

.893

Sv%

.883

.798

HDSv%

.731

−5.1

GSAx

−10.9

FLAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)CBJ

18th3.06

GF/G

3.0916th

18th7.11

PP GF/60

6.8822nd

FLADefenseCBJ

28th3.37

GA/G

3.0916th

10th7.07

PK GA/60

8.3724th

FLATeamCBJ

25th51.2%

Pts%

56.1%15th

16th50.2%

xGF%

51.4%10th

9th51.7%

CF%

50.8%11th

20th48.3%

HDCF%

50.3%15th

FLA5-on-5CBJ

15th2.56

xGF/60

2.669th

17th2.54

xGA/60

2.5114th

15th9.6%

Sh%

9.1%22nd

28th89.3%

Sv%

91.1%10th

20th114.6

CF/60 (both)

119.54th

27th−0.21

GAx/G

−0.1122nd

28th−0.26

GSAx/G

+0.1210th

19th10.2%

Sh%

9.6%27th

27th88.5%

Sv%

89.9%12th

27th46.3%

xGF% (L20)

53.7%6th

FLASpecial teamsCBJ

8th8.22

PP xG/60

7.2420th

5th83.7

PP FF/60

75.523rd

3rd5.3

PP min/G

4.032nd

5th6.54

PK xGA/60

8.7030th

31st5.4

PK min/G

4.511th

FLARecent formCBJ

OTL@ SJS 3-4OTL@ ANA 2-3W@ LAK 2-1Lvs MIN 1-4L@ BUF 3-5

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs BUF 6-3Lvs UTA 1-4Wvs PIT 3-2L@ STL 3-5

Game by game

2-2-2

Record

2-2-0

1-2-2

Last 5

—

2-4

Over–under

—

FLAHome and roadseason to dateCBJ

0-1-0

Home record

2-1-0

2-1-2

Road record

0-1-0

0-1

Home O/U

—

2-3

Road O/U

—

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

FLARest & travelCBJ

1 dayback-to-back

Days of rest

3 days

293 mi472 km

Travel to the game

Home

FLAKey injuriesCBJ

Aleksander Barkov CIR

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 3:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Panthers (2-2-2) visited the Blue Jackets (2-2-0) on Tuesday, October 13 at 6:25 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Panthers scored 3.06 goals per game (18th of 32) and allowed 3.37 (28th). The Blue Jackets scored 3.09 goals per game (16th of 32) and allowed 3.09 (16th). The Panthers earned 51.2% of available standings points (25th) and the Blue Jackets 56.1% (15th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Panthers 50.2% (16th), Blue Jackets 51.4% (10th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Panthers 51.7% (9th), Blue Jackets 50.8% (11th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Panthers 48.3% (20th), Blue Jackets 50.3% (15th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Panthers +110, Blue Jackets -130) prices the Panthers at 46% and the Blue Jackets at 54%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Florida Panthers 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Florida Panthers won by 4.

Against the closing spread (Columbus Blue Jackets -1.5): Florida Panthers covered.
Combined score 10 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
Florida Panthers closed at +110 on the moneyline (a 46% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Florida Panthers 7
Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Decided

In regulation

Florida Panthers won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

46%Market at the close54%

Florida PanthersColumbus Blue Jackets

47%Market at the open53%

From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Columbus Blue Jackets.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Florida Panthers 46%, Columbus Blue Jackets 54%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 14:11 — Columbus Blue Jackets goal (0-1)Columbus Blue Jackets 54% → 70% (+16 pts)
2nd 2:27 — Florida Panthers goal (1-1)Florida Panthers 29% → 47% (+18 pts)
2nd 6:00 — Florida Panthers goal (2-1)Florida Panthers 49% → 68% (+19 pts)

Florida Panthers won after falling as low as 29% (2nd 2:27).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

68%FLA

Share of G&W replays won

32%CBJ

4.1

Expected goals

2.6

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Florida Panthers won 68% of G&W replays (Columbus Blue Jackets 32%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Florida Panthers. Here is where that came from.

Panthers	Goals	Blue Jackets
2.5	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	2.2
1.6	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.3
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.1
4.1	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	2.6
0.0	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.6
0.5	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.6
+1.9	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	-0.2
+0.2	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Akira Schmid 24/27 · Cam Talbot 17/23, Jet Greaves 4/4	-1.9
1	Empty-net goals	0

Bar left: Panthers gainedBar right: Blue Jackets gained

How the margin was built, from Florida Panthers's side:

Chances +0.9Finishing & goaltending +2.1Empty net +1Florida Panthers by 4

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Columbus Blue Jackets closed as the market favourite at 54% and lost.

The line moved toward Columbus Blue Jackets before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenBlue Jackets -1.5 (+197)
Panthers +1.5 (-256)

CloseBlue Jackets -1.5 (+185)
Panthers +1.5 (-235)

Totalno move

Open5.5 (o -133 / u +110)

Close5.5 (o -132 / u +110)

Moneyline

OpenPanthers +102 47%
Blue Jackets -122 53%

ClosePanthers +110 46%
Blue Jackets -130 54%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 29 times since 2018-19: the Panthers won 20 and the Blue Jackets 9.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Mar 12, 2026	Blue Jackets 1, Panthers 2 OT Panthers won	Blue Jackets -125 underdog won	6.5 under
Mar 5, 2026	Panthers 2, Blue Jackets 4 Blue Jackets won	Blue Jackets -115 favorite won	6.5 under
Dec 6, 2025	Blue Jackets 6, Panthers 7 OT Panthers won	Panthers -160 favorite won	6.5 over
Mar 20, 2025	Panthers 1, Blue Jackets 0 OT Panthers won	Panthers -190 favorite won	5.5 under
Mar 6, 2025	Blue Jackets 0, Panthers 3 Panthers won	Panthers -315 favorite won	6 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams