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NHL · October 13, 2026

Vegas Golden Knights vs Nashville Predators Final — October 13, 2026

Vegas Golden Knights

5-2-0

Goalie Adin Hill Confirmed

FINAL

Nashville Predators

2-1-2

Goalie Juuse Saros Confirmed

Tuesday, October 13 · 8:55 PM ET

VGKStarting goaliesNSH

This season

Starts

.886

Sv%

.916

.714

HDSv%

.895

−1.1

GSAx

+2.4

Last season

Starts

.871

Sv%

.894

.746

HDSv%

.799

−16.2

GSAx

−11.0

VGKOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NSH

14th3.23

GF/G

3.0121st

3rd9.64

PP GF/60

8.3911th

VGKDefenseNSH

13th3.05

GA/G

3.2825th

8th6.85

PK GA/60

6.275th

VGKTeamNSH

12th57.9%

Pts%

52.4%22nd

4th54.5%

xGF%

48.5%22nd

7th52.3%

CF%

50.1%14th

1st59.9%

HDCF%

49.0%16th

VGK5-on-5NSH

14th2.57

xGF/60

2.4718th

2nd2.15

xGA/60

2.6323rd

19th9.3%

Sh%

8.7%26th

31st89.0%

Sv%

90.5%18th

24th112.6

CF/60 (both)

114.819th

17th+0.04

GAx/G

−0.0520th

31st−0.37

GSAx/G

−0.0116th

13th10.8%

Sh%

10.0%23rd

28th88.4%

Sv%

89.7%14th

2nd57.9%

xGF% (L20)

43.2%28th

VGKSpecial teamsNSH

2nd9.29

PP xG/60

7.2421st

7th83.4

PP FF/60

77.418th

26th4.4

PP min/G

4.716th

1st5.92

PK xGA/60

7.5014th

2nd4.1

PK min/G

5.026th

VGKRecent formNSH

W@ VAN 3-2W@ SEA 6-2Wvs TOR 4-3Wvs LAK 2-1L@ MIN 2-4

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs MIN 1-3Wvs DAL 2-1OTL@ TOR 4-5W@ MTL 5-2OTL@ OTT 2-3

Game by game

5-2-0

Record

2-1-2

4-1-0

Last 5

2-1-2

4-3

Over–under

2-3

VGKHome and roadseason to dateNSH

3-1-0

Home record

1-1-0

2-1-0

Road record

1-0-2

3-1

Home O/U

0-2

1-2

Road O/U

2-1

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

VGKRest & travelNSH

1 dayback-to-back

Days of rest

3 days

691 mi1,113 km

Travel to the game

Home

VGKKey injuriesNSH

None listed

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Injury report as of October 13, 8:10 p.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.

The pre-game matchup

The Golden Knights (5-2-0) visited the Predators (2-1-2) on Tuesday, October 13 at 8:55 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Golden Knights scored 3.23 goals per game (14th of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Predators scored 3.01 goals per game (21st of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Golden Knights earned 57.9% of available standings points (12th) and the Predators 52.4% (22nd).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Golden Knights 54.5% (4th), Predators 48.5% (22nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Golden Knights 52.3% (7th), Predators 50.1% (14th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Golden Knights 59.9% (1st), Predators 49.0% (16th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Golden Knights -134, Predators +114) prices the Golden Knights at 55% and the Predators at 45%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2

Vegas Golden Knights won by 3.

Against the closing spread (Nashville Predators +1.5): Vegas Golden Knights covered.
Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Vegas Golden Knights closed at -134 on the moneyline (a 55% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Vegas Golden Knights 5
Nashville Predators 2

Decided

In regulation

Vegas Golden Knights won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

55%Market at the close45%

Vegas Golden KnightsNashville Predators

53%Market at the open47%

From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Vegas Golden Knights.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Vegas Golden Knights 55%, Nashville Predators 45%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 12:48 — Vegas Golden Knights goal (2-1)Vegas Golden Knights 53% → 71% (+18 pts)
2nd 8:45 — Nashville Predators goal (2-2)Nashville Predators 25% → 44% (+20 pts)
2nd 17:44 — Vegas Golden Knights goal (3-2)Vegas Golden Knights 53% → 77% (+23 pts)

Vegas Golden Knights won after falling as low as 37% (1st 4:36).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

44%VGK

Share of G&W replays won

56%NSH

2.0

Expected goals

2.3

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Nashville Predators won 56% of G&W replays (Vegas Golden Knights 44%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

Golden Knights	Goals	Predators
1.9	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.6
0.0	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.5
0.1	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.2
2.0	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	2.3
0.0	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.2
0.0	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.6
+3.0	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	-0.5
+0.5	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Adin Hill 25/27 · Juuse Saros 20/25	-3.0

Bar left: Golden Knights gainedBar right: Predators gained

How the margin was built, from Vegas Golden Knights's side:

Chances -0.5Finishing & goaltending +3.5Vegas Golden Knights by 3

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Jessica's HandicapVegas Golden Knights ML -1221.00uWIN +1.00u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Vegas Golden Knights closed as the market favourite at 55% and won.

The line moved toward Vegas Golden Knights before puck drop, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenPredators +1.5 (-235)
Golden Knights -1.5 (+185)

ClosePredators +1.5 (-235)
Golden Knights -1.5 (+183)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o +108 / u -132)

Close6.5 (o +106 / u -130)

Moneyline

OpenGolden Knights -126 53%
Predators +105 47%

CloseGolden Knights -134 55%
Predators +114 45%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 21 times since 2018-19: the Golden Knights won 11 and the Predators 10.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Mar 21, 2026	Golden Knights 1, Predators 4 Predators won	Golden Knights -155 underdog won	6.5 under
Jan 17, 2026	Predators 2, Golden Knights 7 Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -210 favorite won	6.5 over
Dec 31, 2025	Predators 4, Golden Knights 2 Predators won	Golden Knights -170 underdog won	6 push
Apr 12, 2025	Predators 3, Golden Knights 5 Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -270 favorite won	6 over
Mar 29, 2025	Golden Knights 3, Predators 1 Golden Knights won	Golden Knights -165 favorite won	6 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams