Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks Final — October 13, 2026
CGYStarting goaliesANA
CGYOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)ANACGYDefenseANACGYTeamANACGY5-on-5ANACGYSpecial teamsANACGYRecent formANACGYHome and roadseason to dateANAInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
CGYRest & travelANACGYKey injuriesANAAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 8:10 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Flames (0-5-0) visited the Ducks (4-1-0) on Tuesday, October 13 at 9:55 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Flames scored 2.59 goals per game (32nd of 32) and allowed 3.16 (21st). The Ducks scored 3.33 goals per game (10th of 32) and allowed 3.51 (29th). The Flames earned 47.0% of available standings points (29th) and the Ducks 56.1% (15th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Flames 47.2% (27th), Ducks 50.5% (15th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Flames 49.2% (17th), Ducks 52.4% (6th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Flames 46.9% (23rd), Ducks 47.6% (21st). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Flames +145, Ducks -175) prices the Flames at 39% and the Ducks at 61%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Calgary Flames 4, Anaheim Ducks 2
Calgary Flames won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Anaheim Ducks -1.5): Calgary Flames covered.
- Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Calgary Flames closed at +145 on the moneyline (a 39% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Anaheim Ducks 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 5 points toward Calgary Flames.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Calgary Flames 39%, Anaheim Ducks 61%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 8:32 — Calgary Flames goal (1-0)Calgary Flames 40% → 56% (+16 pts)
- 1st 12:09 — Anaheim Ducks goal (1-1)Anaheim Ducks 43% → 60% (+17 pts)
- 3rd 15:38 — Calgary Flames goal (3-2)Calgary Flames 46% → 87% (+41 pts)
Calgary Flames won after falling as low as 23% (1st 14:40).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Calgary Flames won 51% of G&W replays (Anaheim Ducks 49%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Flames | Goals | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.2 |
| 0.5 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.8 |
| 0.2 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.2 |
| 3.3 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.2 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.2 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| -0.3 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.4 |
| +1.4 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Dustin Wolf 23/25 · Lukas Dostal 32/35 | +0.3 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Calgary Flames's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Anaheim Ducks closed as the market favourite at 61% and lost.
The line moved toward Calgary Flames before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Flames +1.5 (-168)
Flames +1.5 (-170)
Ducks -216 65%
Ducks -175 61%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 27 times since 2018-19: the Flames won 17 and the Ducks 10.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ducks 4, Flames 2 Ducks won | Ducks -121 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Flames 5, Ducks 3 Flames won | ||
| Mar 26, 2026 | Ducks 3, Flames 2 OT Ducks won | ||
| Mar 1, 2026 | Flames 2, Ducks 3 SO Ducks won | Ducks -190 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Ducks 4, Flames 3 OT Ducks won | Ducks -115 favorite won | 6 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Calgary Flames
- Calgary Flames team stats
- Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers (Oct 28)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5 (Oct 26)
- Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4 (Oct 24)
- Minnesota Wild 1, Calgary Flames 2 (Oct 22)
Anaheim Ducks
More NHL games on October 13, 2026
- New Jersey Devils 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 13)
- Florida Panthers 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (Oct 13)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 13)
- Washington Capitals 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (Oct 13)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Oct 13)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4 (Oct 13)
- St Louis Blues 7, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 13)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 13)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (Oct 13)
- Minnesota Wild 2, Winnipeg Jets 5 (Oct 13)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 13)
- Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 13)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 13)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 13)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results