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NHL · October 13, 2026

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks Final — October 13, 2026

Pittsburgh Penguins

3-2-1

Goalie Sergei Murashov Confirmed

FINAL

Chicago Blackhawks

1-5-0

Goalie Spencer Knight Confirmed

Tuesday, October 13 · 8:10 PM ET

PITStarting goaliesCHI

This season

Starts

.937

Sv%

.885

1.000

HDSv%

.818

+2.0

GSAx

−0.6

Last season

Starts

.897

Sv%

.902

1.000

HDSv%

.876

−1.0

GSAx

+13.5

PITOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)CHI

3rd3.57

GF/G

2.6031st

10th8.50

PP GF/60

6.1926th

PITDefenseCHI

24th3.27

GA/G

3.3527th

7th6.78

PK GA/60

5.852nd

PITTeamCHI

10th59.8%

Pts%

43.9%31st

8th51.7%

xGF%

43.2%32nd

13th50.2%

CF%

45.6%30th

3rd57.4%

HDCF%

43.2%30th

PIT5-on-5CHI

6th2.72

xGF/60

2.1531st

16th2.54

xGA/60

2.8231st

2nd11.1%

Sh%

9.6%16th

20th90.1%

Sv%

90.0%23rd

11th116.9

CF/60 (both)

109.029th

3rd+0.26

GAx/G

−0.0318th

20th−0.08

GSAx/G

+0.0613th

3rd11.8%

Sh%

10.0%22nd

24th89.1%

Sv%

89.6%16th

18th50.8%

xGF% (L20)

40.4%32nd

PITSpecial teamsCHI

12th7.74

PP xG/60

6.5731st

13th80.0

PP FF/60

66.931st

19th4.6

PP min/G

4.715th

4th6.50

PK xGA/60

8.2828th

15th4.7

PK min/G

4.818th

PITRecent formCHI

Wvs MTL 6-5Lvs WPG 2-3L@ WSH 3-5OTL@ CBJ 2-3Wvs DAL 2-1

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ UTA 0-6L@ BUF 3-4Wvs STL 4-2L@ NYI 1-4Lvs CAR 2-5

Game by game

3-2-1

Record

1-5-0

2-2-1

Last 5

1-4-0

3-3

Over–under

—

PITHome and roadseason to dateCHI

2-1-0

Home record

1-1-0

1-1-1

Road record

0-4-0

1-2

Home O/U

—

2-1

Road O/U

—

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

PITRest & travelCHI

3 days

Days of rest

3 days

412 mi663 km

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

PITKey injuriesCHI

Trevor van Riemsdyk DIR

Players out or limited

Frank Nazar CSuspended

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 12:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Penguins (3-2-1) visited the Blackhawks (1-5-0) on Tuesday, October 13 at 8:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Penguins scored 3.57 goals per game (3rd of 32) and allowed 3.27 (24th). The Blackhawks scored 2.60 goals per game (31st of 32) and allowed 3.35 (27th). The Penguins earned 59.8% of available standings points (10th) and the Blackhawks 43.9% (31st).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Penguins 51.7% (8th), Blackhawks 43.2% (32nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Penguins 50.2% (13th), Blackhawks 45.6% (30th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Penguins 57.4% (3rd), Blackhawks 43.2% (30th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Penguins -155, Blackhawks +130) prices the Penguins at 58% and the Blackhawks at 42%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5

Chicago Blackhawks won by 2.

Against the closing spread (Chicago Blackhawks +1.5): Chicago Blackhawks covered.
Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Chicago Blackhawks closed at +130 on the moneyline (a 42% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Chicago Blackhawks 5

Decided

In regulation

Chicago Blackhawks won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

58%Market at the close42%

Pittsburgh PenguinsChicago Blackhawks

56%Market at the open44%

From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Pittsburgh Penguins.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Pittsburgh Penguins 58%, Chicago Blackhawks 42%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 17:50 — Chicago Blackhawks goal (1-2)Chicago Blackhawks 44% → 62% (+18 pts)
3rd 9:17 — Pittsburgh Penguins goal (3-3)Pittsburgh Penguins 21% → 54% (+33 pts)
3rd 15:42 — Chicago Blackhawks goal (3-4)Chicago Blackhawks 47% → 88% (+41 pts)

Chicago Blackhawks won after falling as low as 40% (1st 12:49).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

71%PIT

Share of G&W replays won

29%CHI

3.0

Expected goals

1.7

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Pittsburgh Penguins won 71% of G&W replays (Chicago Blackhawks 29%). The result went the other way from the chances each team created.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Pittsburgh Penguins. Here is where that came from.

Penguins	Goals	Blackhawks
2.2	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.4
0.8	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.3
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.0
3.0	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	1.7
0.3	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.0
0.3	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.1
-0.3	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+2.3
-2.3	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Sergei Murashov 15/19 · Spencer Knight 24/27	+0.3
0	Empty-net goals	1

Bar left: Penguins gainedBar right: Blackhawks gained

How the margin was built, from Chicago Blackhawks's side:

Chances -1.7Finishing & goaltending +2.6Empty net +1Chicago Blackhawks by 2

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Jessica's HandicapPittsburgh Penguins ML -1501.50uLOSS -2.25u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Pittsburgh Penguins closed as the market favourite at 58% and lost.

The line moved toward Pittsburgh Penguins before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenBlackhawks +1.5 (-218)
Penguins -1.5 (+175)

CloseBlackhawks +1.5 (-191)
Penguins -1.5 (+154)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -100 / u -120)

Close6.5 (o -120 / u +100)

Moneyline

OpenPenguins -139 56%
Blackhawks +115 44%

ClosePenguins -155 58%
Blackhawks +130 42%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Penguins won 7 and the Blackhawks 6.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Jan 29, 2026	Blackhawks 2, Penguins 6 Penguins won	Penguins -185 favorite won	6.5 over
Dec 28, 2025	Penguins 7, Blackhawks 3 Penguins won	Penguins -155 favorite won	6 over
Apr 8, 2025	Blackhawks 0, Penguins 5 Penguins won	Penguins -210 favorite won	6.5 under
Apr 6, 2025	Penguins 1, Blackhawks 3 Blackhawks won	Penguins -135 underdog won	6.5 under
Feb 15, 2024	Penguins 4, Blackhawks 1 Penguins won	Penguins -190 favorite won	5.5 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams