Seattle Kraken vs Philadelphia Flyers Final — October 13, 2026
SEAStarting goaliesPHI
SEAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)PHISEADefensePHISEATeamPHISEA5-on-5PHISEASpecial teamsPHISEARecent formPHISEAHome and roadseason to datePHIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
SEARest & travelPHISEAKey injuriesPHIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 3:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Kraken (4-2-0) visited the Flyers (0-5-2) on Tuesday, October 13 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Kraken scored 2.76 goals per game (28th of 32) and allowed 3.21 (23rd). The Flyers scored 3.05 goals per game (20th of 32) and allowed 2.96 (9th). The Kraken earned 48.2% of available standings points (27th) and the Flyers 59.8% (10th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Kraken 45.4% (30th), Flyers 51.0% (11th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Kraken 45.4% (31st), Flyers 47.7% (26th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Kraken 46.1% (25th), Flyers 53.7% (9th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Kraken -106, Flyers -112) prices the Kraken at 49% and the Flyers at 51%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Seattle Kraken 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Seattle Kraken won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Philadelphia Flyers -1.5): Seattle Kraken covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- Seattle Kraken closed at -106 on the moneyline (a 49% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Philadelphia Flyers 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Seattle Kraken.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Seattle Kraken 49%, Philadelphia Flyers 51%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 3rd 7:20 — Philadelphia Flyers goal (2-2)Philadelphia Flyers 20% → 50% (+30 pts)
- OT 2:21 — Philadelphia Flyers faceoffSeattle Kraken 50% → 72% (+22 pts)
- OT 5:00 — Philadelphia Flyers game-endSeattle Kraken 50% → 100% (+50 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Philadelphia Flyers won 61% of G&W replays (Seattle Kraken 39%). The result went the other way from the chances each team created.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Philadelphia Flyers. Here is where that came from.
| Kraken | Goals | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.6 |
| 0.5 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.5 |
| 0.5 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.5 |
| 2.0 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.6 |
| 1.2 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.4 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.4 |
| -1.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -0.6 |
| +0.6 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Philipp Grubauer 24/26 · Dan Vladar 29/31 | +1.2 |
How the margin was built, from Seattle Kraken's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Philadelphia Flyers closed as the market favourite at 51% and lost.
The line moved toward Seattle Kraken before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Kraken +1.5 (-235)
Kraken +1.5 (-286)
Flyers -128 54%
Flyers -112 51%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 10 times since 2018-19: the Kraken won 6 and the Flyers 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Flyers 1, Kraken 4 Kraken won | Flyers -145 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Kraken 2, Flyers 5 Flyers won | Flyers -140 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kraken 4, Flyers 1 Kraken won | Flyers -154 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Flyers 4, Kraken 6 Kraken won | Kraken -138 favorite won | 6 over |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Kraken 2, Flyers 3 Flyers won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken team stats
- Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken (Oct 28)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 (Oct 24)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 (Oct 22)
- Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (Oct 20)
Philadelphia Flyers
More NHL games on October 13, 2026
- New Jersey Devils 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 13)
- Florida Panthers 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (Oct 13)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 13)
- Washington Capitals 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (Oct 13)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4 (Oct 13)
- St Louis Blues 7, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 13)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 13)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (Oct 13)
- Minnesota Wild 2, Winnipeg Jets 5 (Oct 13)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 13)
- Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 13)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 13)
- Calgary Flames 4, Anaheim Ducks 2 (Oct 13)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 13)
Dig deeper
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