Vancouver Canucks vs New York Islanders Final — October 13, 2026
VANStarting goaliesNYI
VANOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NYIVANDefenseNYIVANTeamNYIVAN5-on-5NYIVANSpecial teamsNYIVANRecent formNYIVANHome and roadseason to dateNYIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
VANRest & travelNYIVANKey injuriesNYIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Canucks (2-5-0) visited the Islanders (2-3-0) on Tuesday, October 13 at 7:55 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Canucks scored 2.63 goals per game (30th of 32) and allowed 3.85 (32nd). The Islanders scored 2.84 goals per game (24th of 32) and allowed 2.94 (7th). The Canucks earned 35.4% of available standings points (32nd) and the Islanders 55.5% (19th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Canucks 44.1% (31st), Islanders 47.9% (24th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Canucks 46.5% (29th), Islanders 49.0% (18th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Canucks 41.8% (32nd), Islanders 45.5% (26th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed at 5.5, down from 6.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Canucks +171, Islanders -211) prices the Canucks at 35% and the Islanders at 65%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Islanders 3
New York Islanders won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (New York Islanders -1.5): Vancouver Canucks covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- New York Islanders closed at -211 on the moneyline (a 65% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Islanders 3
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Vancouver Canucks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Vancouver Canucks 35%, New York Islanders 65%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 14:57 — New York Islanders goal (0-1)New York Islanders 63% → 78% (+15 pts)
- 2nd 18:55 — Vancouver Canucks goal (2-2)Vancouver Canucks 19% → 43% (+24 pts)
- 3rd 5:38 — New York Islanders goal (2-3)New York Islanders 58% → 84% (+26 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New York Islanders won 65% of G&W replays (Vancouver Canucks 35%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New York Islanders. Here is where that came from.
| Canucks | Goals | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.5 |
| 0.7 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.2 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 2.7 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.8 |
| 0.1 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.6 |
| -0.7 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -0.8 |
| +0.8 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Leevi Meriläinen 35/38 · Ilya Sorokin 24/26 | +0.7 |
How the margin was built, from New York Islanders's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
New York Islanders closed as the market favourite at 65% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Canucks +1.5 (-145)
Canucks +1.5 (-144)
Islanders -214 65%
Islanders -211 65%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Canucks won 8 and the Islanders 6.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Islanders 4, Canucks 3 Islanders won | Islanders -156 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Canucks 4, Islanders 1 Canucks won | Islanders -139 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Canucks 5, Islanders 2 Canucks won | Islanders -115 underdog won | 5.5 over |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Islanders 5, Canucks 2 Islanders won | Canucks -190 underdog won | 6 over |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Canucks 5, Islanders 2 Canucks won | Islanders -125 underdog won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Vancouver Canucks
- Vancouver Canucks team stats
- Vancouver Canucks 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (Oct 27)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 25)
- Detroit Red Wings 5, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 22)
New York Islanders
More NHL games on October 13, 2026
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- Washington Capitals 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (Oct 13)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Oct 13)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4 (Oct 13)
- St Louis Blues 7, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 13)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (Oct 13)
- Minnesota Wild 2, Winnipeg Jets 5 (Oct 13)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 13)
- Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 13)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 13)
- Calgary Flames 4, Anaheim Ducks 2 (Oct 13)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 13)
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