New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings Final — October 13, 2026
NJStarting goaliesDET
NJOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)DETNJDefenseDETNJTeamDETNJ5-on-5DETNJSpecial teamsDETNJRecent formDETNJHome and roadseason to dateDETInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
NJRest & travelDETNJKey injuriesDETAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 13, 10:10 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Devils (2-3-0) visited the Red Wings (1-3-1) on Tuesday, October 13 at 6:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Devils scored 2.80 goals per game (27th of 32) and allowed 3.10 (17th). The Red Wings scored 2.94 goals per game (22nd of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Devils earned 53.0% of available standings points (21st) and the Red Wings 56.1% (15th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Devils 49.7% (18th), Red Wings 48.6% (21st). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Devils 51.4% (10th), Red Wings 48.8% (21st). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Devils 48.9% (18th), Red Wings 48.5% (19th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Devils -110, Red Wings -110) prices the Devils at 50% and the Red Wings at 50%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
New Jersey Devils 5, Detroit Red Wings 4
New Jersey Devils won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Detroit Red Wings -1.5): New Jersey Devils covered.
- Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
- New Jersey Devils closed at -110 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Detroit Red Wings 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Detroit Red Wings.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (New Jersey Devils 50%, Detroit Red Wings 50%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 16:52 — New Jersey Devils goal (4-3)New Jersey Devils 50% → 74% (+24 pts)
- 3rd 5:46 — Detroit Red Wings goal (4-4)Detroit Red Wings 21% → 50% (+29 pts)
- OT 1:19 — New Jersey Devils goal (5-4)New Jersey Devils 50% → 100% (+50 pts)
New Jersey Devils won after falling as low as 30% (2nd 7:03).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New Jersey Devils won 70% of G&W replays (Detroit Red Wings 30%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New Jersey Devils. Here is where that came from.
| Devils | Goals | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.9 |
| 0.2 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.3 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 3.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.2 |
| 0.2 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| +1.1 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.9 |
| -1.9 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Jake Allen 23/27 · John Gibson 32/37 | -1.1 |
How the margin was built, from New Jersey Devils's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Detroit Red Wings closed as the market favourite at 50% and lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Devils -1.5 (+220)
Devils +1.5 (-290)
Red Wings -106 49%
Red Wings -110 50%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 21 times since 2018-19: the Devils won 10 and the Red Wings 11.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Devils 5, Red Wings 3 Devils won | ||
| Mar 8, 2026 | Red Wings 3, Devils 0 Red Wings won | Red Wings -115 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Red Wings 3, Devils 4 Devils won | Devils -136 favorite won | 6 over |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Red Wings 5, Devils 2 Red Wings won | Red Wings -150 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Devils 5, Red Wings 4 Devils won | Devils -195 favorite won | 6 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
New Jersey Devils
- New Jersey Devils team stats
- New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche (Oct 28)
- New Jersey Devils 5, Dallas Stars 1 (Oct 27)
- Los Angeles Kings 1, New Jersey Devils 3 (Oct 24)
- Anaheim Ducks 1, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 22)
Detroit Red Wings
- Detroit Red Wings team stats
- Detroit Red Wings 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (Oct 26)
- Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4 (Oct 24)
- Detroit Red Wings 5, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 22)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 13, 2026
- Florida Panthers 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (Oct 13)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Oct 13)
- Washington Capitals 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (Oct 13)
- Seattle Kraken 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Oct 13)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4 (Oct 13)
- St Louis Blues 7, Ottawa Senators 2 (Oct 13)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 13)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (Oct 13)
- Minnesota Wild 2, Winnipeg Jets 5 (Oct 13)
- Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 13)
- Vegas Golden Knights 5, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 13)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 13)
- Calgary Flames 4, Anaheim Ducks 2 (Oct 13)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, Los Angeles Kings 1 (Oct 13)
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