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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Minnesota Golden Gophers logo
4-2
Quarterback Drake Lindsey
at
Indiana Hoosiers logo
6-1
Quarterback Josh Hoover
Saturday, October 31 · 3:30 PM ET
MINNOffense2026 regular season to dateIU
122nd−0.092
EPA/play
+0.24512th
128th40.5%
Success %
50.0%31st
101st21.2
PPG
30.642nd
MINNDefenseIU
7th−0.144
EPA/play allowed
−0.02936th
4th38.6%
Success % allowed
44.1%37th
40th22.3
Opp PPG
13.75th
MINNRecent formIU
Wvs Akron 41-7W@ Washington 27-24Wvs Michigan 20-14L@ Purdue 13-41Wvs Iowa 13-10
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Northwestern 29-23W@ Rutgers 47-15W@ Nebraska 20-17Lvs Ohio State 15-19W@ Michigan 13-6
5-2
Record
7-1
5-2
ATS
1-7
3-4
Over–under
3-5
MINNHome and roadseason to dateIU
4-1
Home record
4-1
1-1
Road record
3-0
4-1
Home ATS
0-5
1-1
Road ATS
1-2
1-4
Home O/U
2-3
2-0
Road O/U
1-2
MINNLast 10 gamesIU
+52-25+34+3+6-28+3
Game by game
+36+55+38+6+32+3-4+7
5-2
Last 7
—
+45
Net points
+173
—
Last 8
7-1
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
MINNRest & travelIU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
527 mi848 km
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Minnesota (4-2) visits Indiana (6-1) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET.

Minnesota has the 122nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 7th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Indiana has the 12th-ranked offense and the 36th-ranked defense. When Minnesota has the ball, a 122nd-ranked offense (−0.092 EPA per play) meets a 36th-ranked defense (−0.029 allowed); when Indiana has it, a 12th-ranked offense (+0.245) meets a 7th-ranked defense (−0.144 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Minnesota offense is at 40.5% (128th) and the Indiana offense at 50.0% (31st). Minnesota scores 21.2 points per game (101st) and allows 22.3 (40th); Indiana scores 30.6 (42nd) and allows 13.7 (5th).

Minnesota is 5-2 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 13-10 win over Iowa. Indiana is 7-1 and 1-7 against the spread; its last game was a 13-6 win over Michigan.

Indiana is a 20.5-point favorite at home against Minnesota. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 41.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Minnesota +850, Indiana -1600) prices Minnesota at 10% and Indiana at 90%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenIndiana -20.5 (-110)
Minnesota +20.5 (-110)
NowIndiana -20.5 (-112)
Minnesota +20.5 (-109)
Totaldown 4
Open45.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now41.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenMinnesota +800 11%
Indiana -1325 89%
NowMinnesota +850 10%
Indiana -1600 90%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Minnesota +20.5+102Novig
  • Indiana -20.5+100Kalshi
  • Over 41.5-104Novig
  • Under 41.5+102Novig
  • Minnesota+1150Novig
  • Indiana-1150Kalshi

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Minnesota Golden Gophers logo
Minnesota
QB · Drake Lindsey
  • Attempts222
  • Completion %63.5%93rd
  • Passing yards1,472111th
  • Yards per attempt6.6192nd
  • TD–INT9–6
Leading rusher (RB) · TJ Thomas
  • Rushing yards325172nd
  • Season line57 carries, 325 yds, 1 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Javon Tracy
  • Receiving yards42093rd
  • Season line39 catches, 420 yds, 1 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Maverick Baranowski
  • Tackles51124th
Indiana Hoosiers logo
Indiana
QB · Josh Hoover
  • Attempts187
  • Completion %62.0%127th
  • Passing yards1,74156th
  • Yards per attempt9.319th
  • TD–INT18–1
Leading rusher (RB) · Turbo Richard
  • Rushing yards71118th
  • Season line106 carries, 711 yds, 6 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Charlie Becker
  • Receiving yards7268th
  • Season line42 catches, 726 yds, 8 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Isaiah Jones
  • Tackles6141st

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationMinnesotaIndiana
Early-down success rateMinnesota offense vs Indiana defense36.6%131st39.6%24th
Early-down success rateIndiana offense vs Minnesota defense37.7%11th44.9%45th
3rd-down conversion rateMinnesota offense vs Indiana defense30.7%123rd40.6%71st
3rd-down conversion rateIndiana offense vs Minnesota defense32.3%11th43.6%44th
Explosive play rateMinnesota offense vs Indiana defense6.5%77th5.3%26th
Explosive play rateIndiana offense vs Minnesota defense6.4%57th9.7%6th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks57.6%15th-highest46.9%98th-highest

On 3rd down Minnesota converts 30.7% (123rd) against a Indiana defense allowing 40.6% (71st).

On 3rd down Indiana converts 43.6% (44th) against a Minnesota defense allowing 32.3% (11th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffMinnesotaIndiana
Head coachP. J. FleckCurt Cignetti
Tenureat this school10th season3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below71–4634–3
Career recordas an FBS head coach101–6853–7
Offensive coordinatorGreg Harbaugh Jr. / Matt SimonMike Shanahan
Defensive coordinatorDanny CollinsBryant Haines

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Minnesota won 1 and Indiana 0.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 20, 2021Minnesota 35, Indiana 14
Minnesota won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Indiana Hoosiers

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