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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs South Alabama Jaguars Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

4-2

Quarterback Blake Baker

South Alabama Jaguars

3-3

Quarterback Jared Hollins

Saturday, October 31 · 3:00 PM ET

LTOffense2026 regular season to dateUSA

88th+0.019

EPA/play

+0.23214th

63rd47.6%

Success %

49.9%33rd

78th24.3

PPG

34.522nd

LTDefenseUSA

34th−0.035

EPA/play allowed

+0.267132nd

39th44.3%

Success % allowed

51.0%120th

47th23.5

Opp PPG

35.5122nd

LTRecent formUSA

L@ Baylor 19-36Wvs Army 31-29Wvs Louisiana 32-31W@ UL Monroe 24-0Wvs Old Dominion 26-0

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Ohio 41-36L@ Kentucky 21-45Wvs UL Monroe 52-35W@ Arkansas State 56-49L@ Marshall 13-20

5-2

Record

4-3

6-1

ATS

4-3

5-2

Over–under

5-2

LTHome and roadseason to dateUSA

4-0

Home record

3-0

1-2

Road record

1-3

3-1

Home ATS

2-1

3-0

Road ATS

2-2

3-1

Home O/U

2-1

Road O/U

3-1

LTLast 10 gamesUSA

Game by game

5-2

Last 7

4-3

+79

Net points

+19

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

LTRest & travelUSA

7 days

Days of rest

11 days

292 mi469 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Hancock Whitney Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Louisiana Tech (4-2) visits South Alabama (3-3) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:00 PM ET.

Louisiana Tech has the 88th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 34th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, South Alabama has the 14th-ranked offense and the 132nd-ranked defense. When Louisiana Tech has the ball, a 88th-ranked offense (+0.019 EPA per play) meets a 132nd-ranked defense (+0.267 allowed); when South Alabama has it, a 14th-ranked offense (+0.232) meets a 34th-ranked defense (−0.035 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Louisiana Tech offense is at 47.6% (63rd) and the South Alabama offense at 49.9% (33rd). Louisiana Tech scores 24.3 points per game (78th) and allows 23.5 (47th); South Alabama scores 34.5 (22nd) and allows 35.5 (122nd).

Louisiana Tech is 5-2 and 6-1 against the spread; its last game was a 26-0 win over Old Dominion. South Alabama is 4-3 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 20-13 loss to Marshall.

Louisiana Tech is a 5.5-point road favorite, with South Alabama getting the points at home. The spread opened at Louisiana Tech -4.5. The total is 58.5, up from 56.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Louisiana Tech -210, South Alabama +175) prices Louisiana Tech at 65% and South Alabama at 35%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenSouth Alabama +4.5 (-110)
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (-110)

NowSouth Alabama +5.5 (-110)
Louisiana Tech -5.5 (-108)

Totalup 2

Open56.5 (o -110 / u -109)

Now58.5 (o -110 / u -109)

Moneyline

OpenLouisiana Tech -188 62%
South Alabama +154 38%

NowLouisiana Tech -210 65%
South Alabama +175 35%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Louisiana Tech -5.5+100Kalshi
South Alabama +5.5-102Novig
Over 58.5-108DraftKings
Under 58.5+102Novig
Louisiana Tech-194ProphetX
South Alabama+190Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Louisiana Tech

QB · Blake Baker

Attempts133
Completion %72.2%9th
Passing yards1,160177th
Yards per attempt8.738th
TD–INT10–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Andrew Burnette

Rushing yards349149th
Season line85 carries, 349 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jalen Mickens

Receiving yards58631st
Season line40 catches, 586 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Alonzo Jackson Jr.

Tackles48158th

South Alabama

QB · Jared Hollins

Attempts125
Completion %54.4%229th
Passing yards1,003203rd
Yards per attempt8.074th
TD–INT7–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Keenan Phillips

Rushing yards51457th
Season line96 carries, 514 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Brendan Jenkins

Receiving yards43090th
Season line25 catches, 430 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Cole Blaylock

Tackles46183rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Louisiana Tech	South Alabama
Early-down success rateLouisiana Tech offense vs South Alabama defense	45.6%37th	48.5%128th
Early-down success rateSouth Alabama offense vs Louisiana Tech defense	39.9%30th	46.0%33rd
3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana Tech offense vs South Alabama defense	45.9%30th	49.2%125th
3rd-down conversion rateSouth Alabama offense vs Louisiana Tech defense	45.5%108th	39.5%77th
Explosive play rateLouisiana Tech offense vs South Alabama defense	6.8%67th	9.3%129th
Explosive play rateSouth Alabama offense vs Louisiana Tech defense	9.9%134th	7.7%38th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	50.9%66th-highest	37.5%132nd-highest

On 3rd down Louisiana Tech converts 45.9% (30th) against a South Alabama defense allowing 49.2% (125th).

On 3rd down South Alabama converts 39.5% (77th) against a Louisiana Tech defense allowing 45.5% (108th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Louisiana Tech	South Alabama
Head coach	Sonny Cumbie	Major Applewhite
Tenureat this school	5th season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	24–33	15–17
Career recordas an FBS head coach	26–36	30–28
Offensive coordinator	Nathan Young	Major Applewhite
Defensive coordinator	Luke Olson	Todd Orlando / Jason Washington

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Louisiana Tech won 0 and South Alabama 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 24, 2022	Louisiana Tech 14, South Alabama 38 South Alabama won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams