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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Oregon State Beavers

4-2

Quarterback Braden Atkinson

Fresno State Bulldogs

4-3

Quarterback Jayden Mandal

Saturday, October 31 · 11:00 PM ET

ORSTOffense2026 regular season to dateFRES

7th+0.296

EPA/play

+0.11151st

4th54.2%

Success %

45.5%85th

2nd41.2

PPG

27.657th

ORSTDefenseFRES

79th+0.097

EPA/play allowed

+0.01552nd

81st47.8%

Success % allowed

44.6%41st

55th24.2

Opp PPG

20.932nd

ORSTRecent formFRES

Wvs Montana 52-17W@ UTEP 33-7W@ Colorado State 56-26Wvs San Diego State 66-14Wvs Washington State 48-30

Resultsoldest to newest

W@ San José State 26-10Wvs Rice 38-24W@ Washington State 26-6Lvs Boise State 31-38L@ San Diego State 23-26

5-2

Record

4-3

6-1

ATS

5-2

6-1

Over–under

4-3

ORSTHome and roadseason to dateFRES

3-1

Home record

2-1

Road record

2-2

3-1

Home ATS

3-0

Road ATS

2-2

4-0

Home O/U

3-0

2-1

Road O/U

1-3

ORSTLast 10 gamesFRES

Game by game

5-2

Last 7

4-3

+137

Net points

+47

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

ORSTRest & travelFRES

14 days

Days of rest

14 days

566 mi911 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Valley Children's Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Oregon State (4-2) visits Fresno State (4-3) on Saturday, October 31 at 11:00 PM ET.

Oregon State has the 7th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 79th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Fresno State has the 51st-ranked offense and the 52nd-ranked defense. When Oregon State has the ball, a 7th-ranked offense (+0.296 EPA per play) meets a 52nd-ranked defense (+0.015 allowed); when Fresno State has it, a 51st-ranked offense (+0.111) meets a 79th-ranked defense (+0.097 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Oregon State offense is at 54.2% (4th) and the Fresno State offense at 45.5% (85th). Oregon State scores 41.2 points per game (2nd) and allows 24.2 (55th); Fresno State scores 27.6 (57th) and allows 20.9 (32nd).

Oregon State is 5-2 and 6-1 against the spread; its last game was a 48-30 win over Washington State. Fresno State is 4-3 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 26-23 loss to San Diego State.

Oregon State is a 5.5-point road favorite, with Fresno State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Oregon State -7. The total is 57.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Oregon State -225, Fresno State +185) prices Oregon State at 66% and Fresno State at 34%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1.5

OpenFresno State +7 (-105)
Oregon State -7 (-115)

NowFresno State +5.5 (-110)
Oregon State -5.5 (-110)

Totalno move

Open57.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now57.5 (o -112 / u -107)

Moneyline

OpenOregon State -267 70%
Fresno State +215 30%

NowOregon State -225 66%
Fresno State +185 34%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Oregon State -5.5-105Hard Rock
Fresno State +5.5+100Novig
Over 57.5+100ProphetX
Under 57.5-105FanDuel
Oregon State-208Novig
Fresno State+203Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Oregon State

QB · Braden Atkinson

Attempts272
Completion %69.1%23rd
Passing yards2,5831st
Yards per attempt9.516th
TD–INT24–2

Leading rusher (RB) · AJ Newberry

Rushing yards43189th
Season line65 carries, 431 yds, 3 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jesse Legree

Receiving yards1,0401st
Season line46 catches, 1040 yds, 14 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Aiden Sullivan

Tackles5395th

Fresno State

QB · Jayden Mandal

Attempts195
Completion %63.1%99th
Passing yards1,393130th
Yards per attempt7.1146th
TD–INT8–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Rayshon Luke

Rushing yards333162nd
Season line52 carries, 333 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Josiah Freeman

Receiving yards44578th
Season line32 catches, 445 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · K'vion Thunderbird

Tackles6141st

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Oregon State	Fresno State
Early-down success rateOregon State offense vs Fresno State defense	51.0%2nd	42.0%52nd
Early-down success rateFresno State offense vs Oregon State defense	42.3%56th	40.6%100th
3rd-down conversion rateOregon State offense vs Fresno State defense	42.9%48th	35.9%36th
3rd-down conversion rateFresno State offense vs Oregon State defense	41.2%79th	38.2%93rd
Explosive play rateOregon State offense vs Fresno State defense	9.4%10th	6.4%55th
Explosive play rateFresno State offense vs Oregon State defense	6.2%51st	6.6%73rd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	63.7%2nd-highest	51.7%59th-highest

On 3rd down Oregon State converts 42.9% (48th) against a Fresno State defense allowing 35.9% (36th).

On 3rd down Fresno State converts 38.2% (93rd) against a Oregon State defense allowing 41.2% (79th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Oregon State	Fresno State
Head coach	JaMarcus Shephard	Matt Entz
Tenureat this school	1st season	2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	5–2	13–7
Career recordas an FBS head coach	5–2	13–7
Offensive coordinator	Mitch Dahlen	Josh Davis
Defensive coordinator	Mike MacIntyre	Nick Benedetto

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Oregon State won 1 and Fresno State 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 6, 2025	Fresno State 36, Oregon State 27 Fresno State won
Sep 10, 2022	Oregon State 35, Fresno State 32 Oregon State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams