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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Oklahoma State Cowboys logo
4-2
Quarterback Drew Mestemaker
at
Iowa State Cyclones logo
2-4
Quarterback Jaylen Raynor
Saturday, October 31 · 7:00 PM ET
OKSTOffense2026 regular season to dateISU
36th+0.151
EPA/play
+0.07862nd
22nd50.6%
Success %
45.6%83rd
11th36.8
PPG
23.882nd
OKSTDefenseISU
65th+0.054
EPA/play allowed
+0.176113th
78th47.5%
Success % allowed
46.5%64th
82nd27.7
Opp PPG
26.574th
OKSTRecent formISU
Wvs Murray State 59-0W@ West Virginia 41-24Wvs UCF 42-28L@ Houston 32-35Wvs Colorado 57-24
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Bowling Green 55-7Lvs Utah 17-31Wvs West Virginia 45-42L@ BYU 10-24L@ Arizona 3-39
5-2
Record
3-4
—
ATS
2-4-1
—
Over–under
3-4
OKSTHome and roadseason to dateISU
4-0
Home record
3-1
1-2
Road record
0-3
—
Home ATS
1-2-1
—
Road ATS
1-2
—
Home O/U
3-1
—
Road O/U
0-3
OKSTLast 10 gamesISU
-14+8+59+17+14-3+33
Game by game
+28-3+48-14+3-14-36
5-2
Last 7
3-4
+114
Net points
+12
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
OKSTRest & travelISU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
446 mi718 km
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Oklahoma State (4-2) visits Iowa State (2-4) on Saturday, October 31 at 7:00 PM ET.

Oklahoma State has the 36th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 65th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Iowa State has the 62nd-ranked offense and the 113th-ranked defense. When Oklahoma State has the ball, a 36th-ranked offense (+0.151 EPA per play) meets a 113th-ranked defense (+0.176 allowed); when Iowa State has it, a 62nd-ranked offense (+0.078) meets a 65th-ranked defense (+0.054 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Oklahoma State offense is at 50.6% (22nd) and the Iowa State offense at 45.6% (83rd). Oklahoma State scores 36.8 points per game (11th) and allows 27.7 (82nd); Iowa State scores 23.8 (82nd) and allows 26.5 (74th).

Oklahoma State is 5-2; its last game was a 57-24 win over Colorado. Iowa State is 3-4 and 2-4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 39-3 loss to Arizona.

Oklahoma State is a 8.5-point road favorite, with Iowa State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Oklahoma State -10.5. The total is 57.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Oklahoma State -350, Iowa State +270) prices Oklahoma State at 74% and Iowa State at 26%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2
OpenIowa State +10.5 (-115)
Oklahoma State -10.5 (-105)
NowIowa State +8.5 (-110)
Oklahoma State -8.5 (-110)
Totalno move
Open57.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now57.5 (o -115 / u -105)
Moneyline
OpenOklahoma State -379 76%
Iowa State +294 24%
NowOklahoma State -350 74%
Iowa State +270 26%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Oklahoma State -8.5-105Hard Rock
  • Iowa State +8.5+102ProphetX
  • Over 57.5-106Novig
  • Under 57.5+102Novig
  • Oklahoma State-317Novig
  • Iowa State+292Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Oklahoma State Cowboys logo
Oklahoma State
QB · Drew Mestemaker
  • Attempts239
  • Completion %65.7%66th
  • Passing yards2,3265th
  • Yards per attempt9.711th
  • TD–INT20–6
Leading rusher (RB) · Caleb Hawkins
  • Rushing yards71217th
  • Season line142 carries, 712 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Wyatt Young
  • Receiving yards63921st
  • Season line36 catches, 639 yds, 6 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Ethan Wesloski
  • Tackles7015th
Iowa State Cyclones logo
Iowa State
QB · Jaylen Raynor
  • Attempts158
  • Completion %58.9%175th
  • Passing yards1,107188th
  • Yards per attempt7.0156th
  • TD–INT7–4
Leading rusher (RB) · Aiden Flora
  • Rushing yards71616th
  • Season line102 carries, 716 yds, 6 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Omari Hayes
  • Receiving yards237326th
  • Season line19 catches, 237 yds, 1 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Sullivan Schlimgen
  • Tackles7110th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationOklahoma StateIowa State
Early-down success rateOklahoma State offense vs Iowa State defense49.9%7th42.8%62nd
Early-down success rateIowa State offense vs Oklahoma State defense43.3%72nd43.0%74th
3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma State offense vs Iowa State defense34.3%107th38.5%51st
3rd-down conversion rateIowa State offense vs Oklahoma State defense43.4%96th29.2%129th
Explosive play rateOklahoma State offense vs Iowa State defense9.6%7th8.6%118th
Explosive play rateIowa State offense vs Oklahoma State defense7.4%90th7.4%44th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks52.9%46th-highest48.1%93rd-highest

On 3rd down Oklahoma State converts 34.3% (107th) against a Iowa State defense allowing 38.5% (51st).

On 3rd down Iowa State converts 29.2% (129th) against a Oklahoma State defense allowing 43.4% (96th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffOklahoma StateIowa State
Head coachEric MorrisJimmy Rogers
Tenureat this school1st season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below5–23–4
Career recordas an FBS head coach27–189–10
Offensive coordinatorSean BrophyTyler Roehl
Defensive coordinatorSkyler CassityJesse Bobbit

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Oklahoma State won 1 and Iowa State 3.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 29, 2025Iowa State 20, Oklahoma State 13
Iowa State won


Sep 23, 2023Oklahoma State 27, Iowa State 34
Iowa State won


Nov 12, 2022Iowa State 14, Oklahoma State 20
Oklahoma State won


Oct 23, 2021Oklahoma State 21, Iowa State 24
Iowa State won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Iowa State Cyclones

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