Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers Final — October 17, 2026
OSUOffense2026 regular season to dateIU
OSUDefenseIUOSURecent formIUOSUHome and roadseason to dateIUOSULast 10 gamesIURest & travelrest and travel
OSURest & travelIUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Ohio State (5-1) visited Indiana (5-0) on Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET.
Ohio State has the 20th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 25th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Indiana has the 2nd-ranked offense and the 68th-ranked defense. When Ohio State has the ball, a 20th-ranked offense (+0.252 EPA per play) meets a 68th-ranked defense (+0.053 allowed); when Indiana has it, a 2nd-ranked offense (+0.395) meets a 25th-ranked defense (−0.069 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Ohio State offense is at 54.4% (8th) and the Indiana offense at 57.4% (2nd). Ohio State scores 42.7 points per game (5th) and allows 13.2 (6th); Indiana scores 37.2 (15th) and allows 14.2 (8th).
Ohio State is 5-1 and 4-2 against the spread; its last game was a 45-16 win over Maryland. Indiana is 6-0 and 1-5 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 win over Nebraska.
Ohio State closed as a 2.5-point road favorite, with Indiana getting the points at home. The spread opened at Ohio State -4.5. The total closed 49.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Ohio State -147, Indiana +125) prices Ohio State at 57% and Indiana at 43%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15
Ohio State Buckeyes won by 4.
- Against the closing spread (Indiana Hoosiers +2.5): Ohio State Buckeyes covered.
- Combined score 34 vs the closing total of 49.5: Under.
- Ohio State Buckeyes closed at -147 on the moneyline (a 57% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 6 points toward Indiana Hoosiers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Ohio State Buckeyes 57%, Indiana Hoosiers 43%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 1:52 — Ohio State Buckeyes ball, 2nd & 20 at OSU 47Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #15 C.Henry Jr. caught at IND31, for 30 yards to the IND23 (#4 A.Harris; #46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY IND Roug…Ohio State Buckeyes 40% → 54% (+13 pts) · Drive 11 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:07 — Ohio State Buckeyes ball, 4th & 2 at IU 2Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at IND00, for 2 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:07 #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H…Ohio State Buckeyes 49% → 64% (+15 pts) · Drive 11 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 10:30 — Indiana Hoosiers ball, 3rd & 8 at OSU 19Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at OSU00, for 19 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:30, 1ST DOWN #1 T.Richard pass attemp…Indiana Hoosiers 11% → 24% (+13 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 7:29 — Ohio State Buckeyes ball, 2nd & 28 at OSU 44Shotgun #13 L.Fahey rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IND48, End Of Play PENALTY IND Personal Foul (#46 I.Jones) 15 yards from IND48 to IND33, 1ST DOWNOhio State Buckeyes 75% → 87% (+12 pts) · Drive 20 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 1:02 — Indiana Hoosiers ball, 4th & 4 at OSU 27Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep left to #11 N.Marsh thrown to OSU00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSOhio State Buckeyes 74% → 89% (+15 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray
Ohio State Buckeyes won after falling as low as 29% (Q2 6:33).
Game DNA
| Ohio State | Points added | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| -6.8 | Passingdropbacks | +14.0 |
| -5.4 | Rushingdesigned runs | -9.3 |
| +19.1 | Explosive plays5 plays · 3 plays | +5.7 |
| -9.1 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -3.3 |
| +1.4 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -9.7 |
| -3.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.5 |
| +2.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 3 · 2 of 3 | +1.9 |
| -1.8 | All plays | -0.2 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 20.8 points to Indiana Hoosiers. The final margin was 4.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Ohio State Buckeyes closed as the market favourite at 57% and won.
The line moved toward Indiana Hoosiers before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Ohio State -4.5 (-114)
Ohio State -2.5 (-119)
Indiana +162 36%
Indiana +125 43%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts163
- Completion %71.2%15th
- Passing yards1,7729th
- Yards per attempt10.91st
- TD–INT17–2
- Rushing yards46041st
- Season line89 carries, 460 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards9162nd
- Season line48 catches, 916 yds, 11 TD
- Tackles30307th
- Attempts129
- Completion %68.2%39th
- Passing yards1,36471st
- Yards per attempt10.66th
- TD–INT17–0
- Rushing yards59714th
- Season line71 carries, 597 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards52912th
- Season line30 catches, 529 yds, 8 TD
- Tackles4643rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Ohio State | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateOhio State offense vs Indiana defense | 50.9%8th | 42.9%63rd |
| Early-down success rateIndiana offense vs Ohio State defense | 37.3%12th | 51.5%7th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOhio State offense vs Indiana defense | 50.0%18th | 42.6%90th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateIndiana offense vs Ohio State defense | 38.5%59th | 43.8%49th |
| Explosive play rateOhio State offense vs Indiana defense | 7.7%42nd | 5.5%29th |
| Explosive play rateIndiana offense vs Ohio State defense | 3.8%4th | 12.3%1st |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 48.1%88th-highest | 46.2%99th-highest |
On 3rd down Ohio State converts 50.0% (18th) against a Indiana defense allowing 42.6% (90th).
On 3rd down Indiana converts 43.8% (49th) against a Ohio State defense allowing 38.5% (59th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Ohio State | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Ryan Day | Curt Cignetti |
| Tenureat this school | 8th season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 87–13 | 33–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 87–13 | 52–6 |
| Offensive coordinator | Keenan Bailey / Arthur Smith | Mike Shanahan |
| Defensive coordinator | Matt Patricia / Tim Walton | Bryant Haines |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Ohio State won 4 and Indiana 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 neutral | Indiana 13, Ohio State 10 Indiana won | ||
| Nov 23, 2024 | Indiana 15, Ohio State 38 Ohio State won | ||
| Sep 2, 2023 | Ohio State 23, Indiana 3 Ohio State won | ||
| Nov 12, 2022 | Indiana 14, Ohio State 56 Ohio State won | ||
| Oct 23, 2021 | Ohio State 54, Indiana 7 Ohio State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Ohio State Buckeyes
- Ohio State Buckeyes team stats
- Ohio State Buckeyes at USC Trojans (Oct 31)
- Maryland Terrapins 16, Ohio State Buckeyes 45 (Oct 10)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 31, Iowa Hawkeyes 14 (Oct 3)
- Kent State Golden Flashes 3, Ohio State Buckeyes 59 (Sep 19)
Indiana Hoosiers
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
- Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 21, Boston College Eagles 27 (Oct 17)
- Ball State Cardinals 32, Bowling Green Falcons 31 (Oct 17)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
- Charlotte 49ers 38, Temple Owls 31 (Oct 17)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results