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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Northwestern Wildcats vs Oregon Ducks Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Northwestern Wildcats

5-1

Quarterback Aidan Chiles

Oregon Ducks

3-3

Quarterback Dylan Raiola

Saturday, October 31 · 3:30 PM ET

NUOffense2026 regular season to dateORE

2nd+0.337

EPA/play

−0.040107th

3rd55.1%

Success %

42.2%118th

20th34.8

PPG

24.774th

NUDefenseORE

55th+0.022

EPA/play allowed

−0.05527th

70th46.9%

Success % allowed

42.5%18th

13th16.3

Opp PPG

24.255th

NURecent formORE

L@ Indiana 23-29Wvs Penn State 34-13Wvs Ball State 45-14W@ Michigan State 24-21Wvs Rutgers 42-14

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Portland State 84-0W@ USC 41-27Lvs UCLA 15-17Wvs Nebraska 17-14L@ Illinois 10-21

6-1

Record

4-3

5-2

ATS

—

4-2-1

Over–under

—

NUHome and roadseason to dateORE

5-0

Home record

3-1

1-1

Road record

1-2

4-1

Home ATS

—

1-1

Road ATS

—

3-1-1

Home O/U

—

1-1

Road O/U

—

NULast 10 gamesORE

Game by game

6-1

Last 7

4-3

+127

Net points

+87

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

NURest & travelORE

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

1,779 mi2,862 km

Travel to the game

Home

−2 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Autzen Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Northwestern (5-1) visits Oregon (3-3) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET.

Northwestern has the 2nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 55th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oregon has the 107th-ranked offense and the 27th-ranked defense. When Northwestern has the ball, a 2nd-ranked offense (+0.337 EPA per play) meets a 27th-ranked defense (−0.055 allowed); when Oregon has it, a 107th-ranked offense (−0.040) meets a 55th-ranked defense (+0.022 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Northwestern offense is at 55.1% (3rd) and the Oregon offense at 42.2% (118th). Northwestern scores 34.8 points per game (20th) and allows 16.3 (13th); Oregon scores 24.7 (74th) and allows 24.2 (55th).

Northwestern is 6-1 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 42-14 win over Rutgers. Oregon is 4-3; its last game was a 21-10 loss to Illinois.

Oregon is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Northwestern. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 47.5, down from 51.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Northwestern +140, Oregon -170) prices Northwestern at 40% and Oregon at 60%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move

OpenOregon -3.5 (-118)
Northwestern +3.5 (-104)

NowOregon -3.5 (-110)
Northwestern +3.5 (-110)

Totaldown 4

Open51.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now47.5 (o -108 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenNorthwestern +148 39%
Oregon -179 61%

NowNorthwestern +140 40%
Oregon -170 60%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Northwestern +3.5+100Novig
Oregon -3.5+100Hard Rock
Over 47.5-102Novig
Under 47.5-106Novig
Northwestern+156Novig
Oregon-160FanDuel

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

Unlock every game with Analytics — $44.44/mo See today’s free game →

Matchup

Players to watch

Northwestern

QB · Aidan Chiles

Attempts164
Completion %71.3%13th
Passing yards1,61779th
Yards per attempt9.98th
TD–INT12–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Caleb Komolafe

Rushing yards55148th
Season line88 carries, 551 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Griffin Wilde

Receiving yards61525th
Season line39 catches, 615 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Braydon Brus

Tackles6234th

Oregon

QB · Dylan Raiola

Attempts114
Completion %64.9%78th
Passing yards761236th
Yards per attempt6.7187th
TD–INT6–2

Leading rusher (RB) · Jordon Davison

Rushing yards42295th
Season line88 carries, 422 yds, 7 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Dakorien Moore

Receiving yards41796th
Season line34 catches, 417 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (DB) · Koi Perich

Tackles46183rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Northwestern	Oregon
Early-down success rateNorthwestern offense vs Oregon defense	49.8%8th	41.2%39th
Early-down success rateOregon offense vs Northwestern defense	43.8%79th	40.7%99th
3rd-down conversion rateNorthwestern offense vs Oregon defense	50.8%13th	33.3%19th
3rd-down conversion rateOregon offense vs Northwestern defense	40.3%66th	29.3%128th
Explosive play rateNorthwestern offense vs Oregon defense	9.2%13th	7.4%88th
Explosive play rateOregon offense vs Northwestern defense	6.6%67th	7.1%51st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	43.4%118th-highest	56.1%18th-highest

On 3rd down Northwestern converts 50.8% (13th) against a Oregon defense allowing 33.3% (19th).

On 3rd down Oregon converts 29.3% (128th) against a Northwestern defense allowing 40.3% (66th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Northwestern	Oregon
Head coach	David Braun	Dan Lanning
Tenureat this school	4th season	5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	25–20	52–11
Career recordas an FBS head coach	25–20	52–11
Offensive coordinator	Chip Kelly	Drew Mehringer
Defensive coordinator	Tim McGarigle	Chris Hampton

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Northwestern won 0 and Oregon 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 13, 2025	Oregon 34, Northwestern 14 Oregon won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams