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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

6-1

Quarterback CJ Carr

Navy Midshipmen

1-5

Quarterback Jackson Gutierrez

Saturday, October 31 · 12:00 PM ET

NDOffense2026 regular season to dateNAVY

13th+0.243

EPA/play

+0.13546th

13th52.2%

Success %

51.7%19th

3rd41.1

PPG

27.755th

NDDefenseNAVY

9th−0.122

EPA/play allowed

+0.154104th

43rd44.9%

Success % allowed

45.3%47th

3rd13.4

Opp PPG

31.5108th

NDRecent formNAVY

Wvs Michigan State 27-10W@ Purdue 49-10W@ North Carolina 37-26Wvs Stanford 58-7L@ BYU 24-28

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ UAB 20-24L@ Air Force 9-14Wvs Tulsa 34-26L@ UTSA 34-38Lvs North Texas 39-49

6-1

Record

2-5

4-3

ATS

2-5

5-2

Over–under

5-2

NDHome and roadseason to dateNAVY

4-0

Home record

2-1

Road record

0-4

3-1

Home ATS

1-2

Road ATS

1-3

2-2

Home O/U

3-0

Road O/U

2-2

NDLast 10 gamesNAVY

Game by game

6-1

Last 7

2-5

+194

Net points

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

NDRest & travelNAVY

14 days

Days of rest

7 days

769 mi1,238 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Gillette Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Notre Dame (6-1) visits Navy (1-5) on Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET.

Notre Dame has the 13th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 9th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Navy has the 46th-ranked offense and the 104th-ranked defense. When Notre Dame has the ball, a 13th-ranked offense (+0.243 EPA per play) meets a 104th-ranked defense (+0.154 allowed); when Navy has it, a 46th-ranked offense (+0.135) meets a 9th-ranked defense (−0.122 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Notre Dame offense is at 52.2% (13th) and the Navy offense at 51.7% (19th). Notre Dame scores 41.1 points per game (3rd) and allows 13.4 (3rd); Navy scores 27.7 (55th) and allows 31.5 (108th).

Notre Dame is 6-1 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 28-24 loss to BYU. Navy is 2-5 and 2-5 against the spread; its last game was a 49-39 loss to North Texas.

Notre Dame is a 30.5-point road favorite, with Navy getting the points at home. The spread opened at Notre Dame -29.5. The total is 56.5, up from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Notre Dame -10000, Navy +2000) prices Notre Dame at 95% and Navy at 5%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenNavy +29.5 (-110)
Notre Dame -29.5 (-112)

NowNavy +30.5 (-110)
Notre Dame -30.5 (-111)

Totalup 3

Open53.5 (o -113 / u -109)

Now56.5 (o -111 / u -108)

Moneyline

OpenNotre Dame -10000 95%
Navy +2000 5%

NowNotre Dame -10000 95%
Navy +2000 5%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Notre Dame -30.5-104Novig
Navy +30.5+100Novig
Over 56.5-107Caesars
Under 56.5+100Novig
Notre Dame-4445Novig
Navy+3500BetMGM

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Notre Dame

QB · CJ Carr

Attempts179
Completion %67.6%
Passing yards1,551
Yards per attempt8.7
TD–INT16–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Jonaz Walton

Rushing yards42692nd
Season line57 carries, 426 yds, 3 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jordan Faison

Receiving yards45177th
Season line34 catches, 451 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Drayk Bowen

Tackles38326th

Navy

QB · Jackson Gutierrez

Attempts64
Completion %50.0%255th
Passing yards692246th
Yards per attempt10.82nd
TD–INT7–1

Leading rusher (QB) · Jackson Gutierrez

Rushing yards8696th
Season line150 carries, 869 yds, 12 TD

Leading receiver (TE) · Jordan Collins

Receiving yards212366th
Season line6 catches, 212 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Coleman Cauley

Tackles5862nd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Notre Dame	Navy
Early-down success rateNotre Dame offense vs Navy defense	48.8%10th	39.2%21st
Early-down success rateNavy offense vs Notre Dame defense	39.6%25th	52.0%1st
3rd-down conversion rateNotre Dame offense vs Navy defense	41.3%59th	46.9%121st
3rd-down conversion rateNavy offense vs Notre Dame defense	41.5%85th	42.4%52nd
Explosive play rateNotre Dame offense vs Navy defense	7.3%50th	7.9%99th
Explosive play rateNavy offense vs Notre Dame defense	3.4%1st	7.6%40th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	48.4%91st-highest	23.2%136th-highest

On 3rd down Notre Dame converts 41.3% (59th) against a Navy defense allowing 46.9% (121st).

On 3rd down Navy converts 42.4% (52nd) against a Notre Dame defense allowing 41.5% (85th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Notre Dame	Navy
Head coach	Marcus Freeman	Brian Newberry
Tenureat this school	5th season	4th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	49–13	28–17
Career recordas an FBS head coach	49–13	28–17
Offensive coordinator	Mike Denbrock	Drew Cronic
Defensive coordinator	Chris Ash / Aaron Henry	Ricky Brown / Eric Lewis

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Notre Dame won 5 and Navy 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 8, 2025	Navy 10, Notre Dame 49 Notre Dame won
Oct 26, 2024 neutral	Notre Dame 51, Navy 14 Notre Dame won
Aug 26, 2023 neutral	Navy 3, Notre Dame 42 Notre Dame won
Nov 12, 2022 neutral	Notre Dame 35, Navy 32 Notre Dame won
Nov 6, 2021	Navy 6, Notre Dame 34 Notre Dame won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams