Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Illinois (3-3) visits Maryland (1-5) on Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET.
Illinois has the 39th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 134th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Maryland has the 106th-ranked offense and the 129th-ranked defense. When Illinois has the ball, a 39th-ranked offense (+0.148 EPA per play) meets a 129th-ranked defense (+0.249 allowed); when Maryland has it, a 106th-ranked offense (−0.037) meets a 134th-ranked defense (+0.308 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Illinois offense is at 49.4% (38th) and the Maryland offense at 47.8% (62nd). Illinois scores 27.3 points per game (59th) and allows 27.8 (84th); Maryland scores 22.7 (93rd) and allows 38.8 (133rd).
Illinois is 4-3 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 21-10 win over Oregon. Maryland is 2-5 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 37-30 loss to Rutgers.
Illinois is a 2.5-point road favorite, with Maryland getting the points at home. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 54.5, up from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Illinois -135, Maryland +112) prices Illinois at 55% and Maryland at 45%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Illinois -2.5 (-110)
Illinois -2.5 (-110)
Maryland +110 46%
Maryland +112 45%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Illinois -2.5+101ProphetX
- Maryland +2.5+100Novig
- Over 54.5-108Bally Bet
- Under 54.5+104Kalshi
- Illinois-122FanDuel
- Maryland+127Kalshi
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts184
- Completion %66.3%59th
- Passing yards1,440120th
- Yards per attempt7.883rd
- TD–INT12–4
- Rushing yards51457th
- Season line75 carries, 514 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards67814th
- Season line54 catches, 678 yds, 10 TD
- Tackles49144th
- Attempts260
- Completion %59.6%164th
- Passing yards1,61581st
- Yards per attempt6.2224th
- TD–INT9–6
- Rushing yards281214th
- Season line38 carries, 281 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards58032nd
- Season line52 catches, 580 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles44214th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Illinois | Maryland |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateIllinois offense vs Maryland defense | 44.2%55th | 44.0%84th |
| Early-down success rateMaryland offense vs Illinois defense | 50.0%134th | 46.2%28th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateIllinois offense vs Maryland defense | 50.0%17th | 52.3%134th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMaryland offense vs Illinois defense | 45.8%111th | 35.3%103rd |
| Explosive play rateIllinois offense vs Maryland defense | 6.8%64th | 6.6%65th |
| Explosive play rateMaryland offense vs Illinois defense | 6.5%61st | 6.1%93rd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 50.8%69th-highest | 61.1%6th-highest |
On 3rd down Illinois converts 50.0% (17th) against a Maryland defense allowing 52.3% (134th).
On 3rd down Maryland converts 35.3% (103rd) against a Illinois defense allowing 45.8% (111th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Illinois | Maryland |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Bret Bielema | Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (interim) (interim) |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 41–29 | 0–0 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 138–87 | 0–0 |
| Offensive coordinator | Barry Lunney Jr. | Clint Trickett |
| Defensive coordinator | Roger Cooper | Aazaar Abdul-Rahim / Zac Spavital |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Illinois won 2 and Maryland 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Maryland 6, Illinois 24 Illinois won | ||
| Oct 14, 2023 | Illinois 27, Maryland 24 Illinois won | ||
| Sep 17, 2021 | Maryland 20, Illinois 17 Maryland won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Illinois Fighting Illini
- Illinois Fighting Illini team stats
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Illinois Fighting Illini 38, Michigan State Spartans 37 (Oct 10)
- Purdue Boilermakers 24, Illinois Fighting Illini 17 (Oct 3)
Maryland Terrapins
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