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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Bowling Green Falcons

2-5

Quarterback Jay Kastantin

Western Michigan Broncos

4-3

Quarterback Broc Lowry

Saturday, October 31 · 12:00 PM ET

BGSUOffense2026 regular season to dateWMU

110th−0.051

EPA/play

+0.03279th

127th40.7%

Success %

45.8%81st

114th19.6

PPG

23.488th

BGSUDefenseWMU

91st+0.135

EPA/play allowed

+0.09678th

111th50.0%

Success % allowed

49.9%110th

106th31.1

Opp PPG

21.335th

BGSURecent formWMU

Lvs South Florida 6-14W@ Miami (OH) 24-20Wvs Sacramento State 38-10Lvs Ball State 31-32L@ Buffalo 24-31

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs Boise State 7-32W@ Buffalo 20-17Wvs Kent State 38-7W@ Central Michigan 21-14L@ Toledo 38-45

2-6

Record

5-3

3-5

ATS

3-5

6-2

Over–under

4-4

BGSUHome and roadseason to dateWMU

1-3

Home record

2-1

1-3

Road record

3-2

2-2

Home ATS

2-1

1-3

Road ATS

1-4

2-2

Home O/U

2-1

4-0

Road O/U

2-3

BGSULast 10 gamesWMU

Game by game

2-6

Last 8

5-3

-88

Net points

+50

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

BGSURest & travelWMU

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

120 mi192 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Waldo Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Bowling Green (2-5) visits Western Michigan (4-3) on Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET.

Bowling Green has the 110th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 91st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Western Michigan has the 79th-ranked offense and the 78th-ranked defense. When Bowling Green has the ball, a 110th-ranked offense (−0.051 EPA per play) meets a 78th-ranked defense (+0.096 allowed); when Western Michigan has it, a 79th-ranked offense (+0.032) meets a 91st-ranked defense (+0.135 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Bowling Green offense is at 40.7% (127th) and the Western Michigan offense at 45.8% (81st). Bowling Green scores 19.6 points per game (114th) and allows 31.1 (106th); Western Michigan scores 23.4 (88th) and allows 21.3 (35th).

Bowling Green is 2-6 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 31-24 loss to Buffalo. Western Michigan is 5-3 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 45-38 loss to Toledo.

Western Michigan is a 13.5-point favorite at home against Bowling Green. The spread opened at Western Michigan -14.5. The total is 44.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Bowling Green +400, Western Michigan -560) prices Bowling Green at 19% and Western Michigan at 81%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenWestern Michigan -14.5 (-115)
Bowling Green +14.5 (-105)

NowWestern Michigan -13.5 (-110)
Bowling Green +13.5 (-110)

Totalno move

Open44.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now44.5 (o -108 / u -112)

Moneyline

OpenBowling Green +572 14%
Western Michigan -850 86%

NowBowling Green +400 19%
Western Michigan -560 81%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Bowling Green +13.5+102Novig
Western Michigan -13.5-104Novig
Over 44.5+101ProphetX
Under 44.5-104Kalshi
Bowling Green+456Novig
Western Michigan-471Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Bowling Green

QB · Jay Kastantin

Attempts194
Completion %67.0%41st
Passing yards1,418123rd
Yards per attempt7.3130th
TD–INT10–6

Leading rusher (RB) · Austyn Dendy

Rushing yards371131st
Season line104 carries, 371 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Winn Sharp

Receiving yards305202nd
Season line25 catches, 305 yds, 1 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Dorian Pringle

Tackles746th

Western Michigan

QB · Broc Lowry

Attempts176
Completion %63.6%92nd
Passing yards1,251165th
Yards per attempt7.1148th
TD–INT10–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Jalen Buckley

Rushing yards63427th
Season line120 carries, 634 yds, 8 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Aveion Chenault

Receiving yards43186th
Season line28 catches, 431 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Justyce Betts

Tackles5862nd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Bowling Green	Western Michigan
Early-down success rateBowling Green offense vs Western Michigan defense	39.5%115th	47.3%124th
Early-down success rateWestern Michigan offense vs Bowling Green defense	44.5%90th	41.2%93rd
3rd-down conversion rateBowling Green offense vs Western Michigan defense	42.9%48th	34.6%26th
3rd-down conversion rateWestern Michigan offense vs Bowling Green defense	40.3%67th	43.9%42nd
Explosive play rateBowling Green offense vs Western Michigan defense	4.5%131st	5.5%34th
Explosive play rateWestern Michigan offense vs Bowling Green defense	8.0%103rd	4.9%121st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	49.0%86th-highest	39.7%129th-highest

On 3rd down Bowling Green converts 42.9% (48th) against a Western Michigan defense allowing 34.6% (26th).

On 3rd down Western Michigan converts 43.9% (42nd) against a Bowling Green defense allowing 40.3% (67th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Bowling Green	Western Michigan
Head coach	Eddie George	Lance Taylor
Tenureat this school	2nd season	4th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	6–14	25–22
Career recordas an FBS head coach	6–14	25–22
Offensive coordinator	Greg Nosal	Walt Bell
Defensive coordinator	Joe Bowden	Greer Martini / Duane Vaughn

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Bowling Green won 3 and Western Michigan 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 12, 2024	Western Michigan 13, Bowling Green 31 Bowling Green won
Nov 21, 2023	Bowling Green 34, Western Michigan 10 Bowling Green won
Nov 2, 2022	Western Michigan 9, Bowling Green 13 Bowling Green won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams