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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Kansas State Wildcats

3-3

Quarterback Avery Johnson

Colorado Buffaloes

1-5

Quarterback Isaac Wilson

Saturday, October 31 · 2:00 PM ET

KSUOffense2026 regular season to dateCOLO

70th+0.056

EPA/play

−0.124128th

48th48.7%

Success %

45.1%91st

63rd26.5

PPG

14.8130th

KSUDefenseCOLO

77th+0.090

EPA/play allowed

+0.03960th

24th43.4%

Success % allowed

45.2%45th

55th24.2

Opp PPG

31.7109th

KSURecent formCOLO

Wvs Tulane 31-20L@ Cincinnati 26-31Lvs Houston 16-35Wvs Kansas 35-24L@ Arizona State 17-28

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ Northwestern 7-41L@ Baylor 13-23Lvs Texas Tech 7-29Lvs Utah 24-27L@ Oklahoma State 24-57

4-3

Record

2-5

3-4

ATS

—

4-3

Over–under

—

KSUHome and roadseason to dateCOLO

4-1

Home record

1-2

0-2

Road record

1-3

3-2

Home ATS

—

0-2

Road ATS

—

3-2

Home O/U

—

1-1

Road O/U

—

KSULast 10 gamesCOLO

Game by game

4-3

Last 7

2-5

+82

Net points

-70

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

KSURest & travelCOLO

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

465 mi748 km

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Folsom Field

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Kansas State (3-3) visits Colorado (1-5) on Saturday, October 31 at 2:00 PM ET.

Kansas State has the 70th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 77th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Colorado has the 128th-ranked offense and the 60th-ranked defense. When Kansas State has the ball, a 70th-ranked offense (+0.056 EPA per play) meets a 60th-ranked defense (+0.039 allowed); when Colorado has it, a 128th-ranked offense (−0.124) meets a 77th-ranked defense (+0.090 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Kansas State offense is at 48.7% (48th) and the Colorado offense at 45.1% (91st). Kansas State scores 26.5 points per game (63rd) and allows 24.2 (55th); Colorado scores 14.8 (130th) and allows 31.7 (109th).

Kansas State is 4-3 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 28-17 loss to Arizona State. Colorado is 2-5; its last game was a 57-24 loss to Oklahoma State.

Kansas State is a 1.5-point road favorite, with Colorado getting the points at home. The spread opened at Kansas State -3.5. The total is 47.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Kansas State -115, Colorado -105) prices Kansas State at 51% and Colorado at 49%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2

OpenColorado +3.5 (-120)
Kansas State -3.5 (-102)

NowColorado +1.5 (-112)
Kansas State -1.5 (-110)

Totalno move

Open47.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now47.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenKansas State -151 58%
Colorado +125 42%

NowKansas State -115 51%
Colorado -105 49%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Kansas State -1.5+108Kalshi
Colorado +1.5-109Bally Bet
Over 47.5+104Kalshi
Under 47.5-105Hard Rock
Kansas State-104Novig
Colorado+100Caesars

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Kansas State

QB · Avery Johnson

Attempts187
Completion %63.1%99th
Passing yards1,301154th
Yards per attempt7.0161st
TD–INT10–3

Leading rusher (QB) · Avery Johnson

Rushing yards46276th
Season line51 carries, 462 yds, 3 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jaron Tibbs

Receiving yards325177th
Season line34 catches, 325 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Logan Bartley

Tackles45202nd

Colorado

QB · Isaac Wilson

Attempts128
Completion %60.2%155th
Passing yards979208th
Yards per attempt7.794th
TD–INT6–7

Leading rusher (RB) · JaQuail Smith

Rushing yards298202nd
Season line64 carries, 298 yds

Leading receiver (WR) · Joseph Williams

Receiving yards64320th
Season line46 catches, 643 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Gideon ESPN Lampron

Tackles6523rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Kansas State	Colorado
Early-down success rateKansas State offense vs Colorado defense	43.8%63rd	41.8%47th
Early-down success rateColorado offense vs Kansas State defense	41.4%42nd	44.1%56th
3rd-down conversion rateKansas State offense vs Colorado defense	50.0%17th	40.0%65th
3rd-down conversion rateColorado offense vs Kansas State defense	37.0%39th	37.8%94th
Explosive play rateKansas State offense vs Colorado defense	7.5%42nd	8.7%119th
Explosive play rateColorado offense vs Kansas State defense	7.9%100th	6.4%83rd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	50.4%74th-highest	52.5%51st-highest

On 3rd down Kansas State converts 50.0% (17th) against a Colorado defense allowing 40.0% (65th).

On 3rd down Colorado converts 37.8% (94th) against a Kansas State defense allowing 37.0% (39th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Kansas State	Colorado
Head coach	Collin Klein	Deion Sanders
Tenureat this school	1st season	4th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	4–3	18–26
Career recordas an FBS head coach	4–3	18–26
Offensive coordinator	Sean Gleeson	Brennan Marion
Defensive coordinator	Jordan Peterson	Chris Marve

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Kansas State won 2 and Colorado 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 29, 2025	Colorado 14, Kansas State 24 Kansas State won
Oct 12, 2024	Kansas State 31, Colorado 28 Kansas State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams