Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
TXSTOffense2026 regular season to dateBOIS
TXSTDefenseBOISTXSTRecent formBOISTXSTHome and roadseason to dateBOISTXSTLast 10 gamesBOISRest & travelrest and travel
TXSTRest & travelBOISAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Texas State (3-3) visits Boise State (5-1) on Saturday, October 31 at 10:00 PM ET.
Texas State has the 33rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 119th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Boise State has the 8th-ranked offense and the 92nd-ranked defense. When Texas State has the ball, a 33rd-ranked offense (+0.167 EPA per play) meets a 92nd-ranked defense (+0.136 allowed); when Boise State has it, a 8th-ranked offense (+0.287) meets a 119th-ranked defense (+0.183 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas State offense is at 50.5% (23rd) and the Boise State offense at 50.1% (28th). Texas State scores 32.8 points per game (28th) and allows 33.3 (115th); Boise State scores 33.8 (24th) and allows 20.0 (28th).
Texas State is 4-3 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 win over Utah State. Boise State is 6-1 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 31-10 win over Washington State.
Boise State is a 11.5-point favorite at home against Texas State. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 63.5, down from 65.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Texas State +340, Boise State -450) prices Texas State at 22% and Boise State at 78%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Texas State +11.5 (-112)
Texas State +11.5 (-111)
Boise State -450 78%
Boise State -450 78%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Texas State +11.5-105theScore Bet
- Boise State -11.5+104ProphetX
- Over 63.5-101ProphetX
- Under 63.5+102Novig
- Texas State+360FanDuel
- Boise State-365ProphetX
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts194
- Completion %68.6%28th
- Passing yards1,60683rd
- Yards per attempt8.357th
- TD–INT14–5
- Rushing yards8894th
- Season line118 carries, 889 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards396108th
- Season line36 catches, 396 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles47173rd
- Attempts189
- Completion %65.6%69th
- Passing yards1,445118th
- Yards per attempt7.794th
- TD–INT14–0
- Rushing yards9631st
- Season line140 carries, 963 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards43782nd
- Season line29 catches, 437 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles41269th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Texas State | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTexas State offense vs Boise State defense | 44.7%49th | 38.7%17th |
| Early-down success rateBoise State offense vs Texas State defense | 45.8%110th | 44.5%51st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas State offense vs Boise State defense | 54.7%6th | 29.7%5th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBoise State offense vs Texas State defense | 38.9%54th | 47.4%24th |
| Explosive play rateTexas State offense vs Boise State defense | 8.7%21st | 8.2%107th |
| Explosive play rateBoise State offense vs Texas State defense | 6.3%53rd | 6.4%84th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 43.0%119th-highest | 40.7%126th-highest |
On 3rd down Texas State converts 54.7% (6th) against a Boise State defense allowing 29.7% (5th).
On 3rd down Boise State converts 47.4% (24th) against a Texas State defense allowing 38.9% (54th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Texas State | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | G. J. Kinne | Spencer Danielson |
| Tenureat this school | 4th season | 4th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 27–19 | 30–9 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 27–19 | 30–9 |
| Offensive coordinator | Landon Keopple | Nate Potter |
| Defensive coordinator | Will Windham | Erik Chinander |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Texas State Bobcats
- Texas State Bobcats team stats
- Utah State Aggies 17, Texas State Bobcats 20 (Oct 24)
- Colorado State Rams 27, Texas State Bobcats 66 (Oct 15)
- Texas State Bobcats 29, San Diego State Aztecs 31 (Oct 3)
Boise State Broncos
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