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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Stanford Cardinal vs Louisville Cardinals Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Stanford Cardinal logo
3-4
Quarterback Davis Warren
at
Louisville Cardinals logo
3-3
Quarterback Lincoln Kienholz
Saturday, October 31 · 3:15 PM ET
STANOffense2026 regular season to dateLOU
80th+0.028
EPA/play
+0.24711th
96th44.3%
Success %
49.1%42nd
123rd17.9
PPG
35.316th
STANDefenseLOU
136th+0.328
EPA/play allowed
+0.12184th
129th51.9%
Success % allowed
49.5%105th
134th39.6
Opp PPG
29.898th
STANRecent formLOU
Wvs Georgia Tech 34-27L@ Wake Forest 3-57L@ Notre Dame 7-58Wvs Elon 34-7Wvs NC State 31-28
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs SMU 41-31Lvs Wake Forest 27-30L@ NC State 28-31Wvs Florida State 44-20W@ Syracuse 34-26
4-4
Record
4-3
—
ATS
4-3
—
Over–under
6-1
STANHome and roadseason to dateLOU
4-1
Home record
3-1
0-3
Road record
1-2
—
Home ATS
3-1
—
Road ATS
1-2
—
Home O/U
3-1
—
Road O/U
3-0
STANLast 10 gamesLOU
+10-39-28+7-54-51+27+3
Game by game
-3+46+10-3-3+24+8
4-4
Last 8
—
-125
Net points
+79
—
Last 7
4-3
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
STANRest & travelLOU
8 days
Days of rest
14 days
1,975 mi3,178 km
Travel to the game
Home
+3 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Stanford (3-4) visits Louisville (3-3) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:15 PM ET.

Stanford has the 80th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 136th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Louisville has the 11th-ranked offense and the 84th-ranked defense. When Stanford has the ball, a 80th-ranked offense (+0.028 EPA per play) meets a 84th-ranked defense (+0.121 allowed); when Louisville has it, a 11th-ranked offense (+0.247) meets a 136th-ranked defense (+0.328 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Stanford offense is at 44.3% (96th) and the Louisville offense at 49.1% (42nd). Stanford scores 17.9 points per game (123rd) and allows 39.6 (134th); Louisville scores 35.3 (16th) and allows 29.8 (98th).

Stanford is 4-4; its last game was a 31-28 win over NC State. Louisville is 4-3 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 34-26 win over Syracuse.

Louisville is a 22.5-point favorite at home against Stanford. The spread opened at Louisville -21.5. The total is 60.5, down from 62.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Stanford +1100, Louisville -2500) prices Stanford at 8% and Louisville at 92%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1
OpenLouisville -21.5 (-108)
Stanford +21.5 (-112)
NowLouisville -22.5 (-110)
Stanford +22.5 (-110)
Totaldown 2
Open62.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now60.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenStanford +938 9%
Louisville -1716 91%
NowStanford +1100 8%
Louisville -2500 92%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Stanford +22.5-104Novig
  • Louisville -22.5+102Novig
  • Over 60.5+104Kalshi
  • Under 60.5-108BetMGM
  • Stanford+1329Kalshi
  • Louisville-1329Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Stanford Cardinal logo
Stanford
QB · Davis Warren
  • Attempts271
  • Completion %60.1%160th
  • Passing yards1,93339th
  • Yards per attempt7.1147th
  • TD–INT11–2
Leading rusher (RB) · Micah Ford
  • Rushing yards67919th
  • Season line136 carries, 679 yds, 8 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Caden High
  • Receiving yards44081st
  • Season line30 catches, 440 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (S) · Jay Green
  • Tackles49144th
Louisville Cardinals logo
Louisville
QB · Lincoln Kienholz
  • Attempts180
  • Completion %67.2%39th
  • Passing yards1,84446th
  • Yards per attempt10.25th
  • TD–INT10–3
Leading rusher (RB) · Isaac Brown
  • Rushing yards56845th
  • Season line83 carries, 568 yds, 4 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Lawayne McCoy
  • Receiving yards51348th
  • Season line25 catches, 513 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · T.J. Capers
  • Tackles5395th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationStanfordLouisville
Early-down success rateStanford offense vs Louisville defense41.0%97th47.2%123rd
Early-down success rateLouisville offense vs Stanford defense45.8%109th46.4%25th
3rd-down conversion rateStanford offense vs Louisville defense32.9%112th36.9%38th
3rd-down conversion rateLouisville offense vs Stanford defense51.4%129th43.7%43rd
Explosive play rateStanford offense vs Louisville defense7.1%53rd6.6%66th
Explosive play rateLouisville offense vs Stanford defense8.1%106th11.6%1st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks55.3%22nd-highest47.1%97th-highest

On 3rd down Stanford converts 32.9% (112th) against a Louisville defense allowing 36.9% (38th).

On 3rd down Louisville converts 43.7% (43rd) against a Stanford defense allowing 51.4% (129th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffStanfordLouisville
Head coachTavita PritchardJeff Brohm
Tenureat this school1st season4th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below4–432–15
Career recordas an FBS head coach4–498–59
Offensive coordinatorTerry HeffernanBrian Brohm
Defensive coordinatorKris RichardSteve Ellis / Mark Ivey

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Stanford won 1 and Louisville 0.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 16, 2024Louisville 35, Stanford 38
Stanford won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Stanford Cardinal

Louisville Cardinals

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