Stanford Cardinal vs Louisville Cardinals Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Stanford (3-4) visits Louisville (3-3) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:15 PM ET.
Stanford has the 80th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 136th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Louisville has the 11th-ranked offense and the 84th-ranked defense. When Stanford has the ball, a 80th-ranked offense (+0.028 EPA per play) meets a 84th-ranked defense (+0.121 allowed); when Louisville has it, a 11th-ranked offense (+0.247) meets a 136th-ranked defense (+0.328 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Stanford offense is at 44.3% (96th) and the Louisville offense at 49.1% (42nd). Stanford scores 17.9 points per game (123rd) and allows 39.6 (134th); Louisville scores 35.3 (16th) and allows 29.8 (98th).
Stanford is 4-4; its last game was a 31-28 win over NC State. Louisville is 4-3 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 34-26 win over Syracuse.
Louisville is a 22.5-point favorite at home against Stanford. The spread opened at Louisville -21.5. The total is 60.5, down from 62.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Stanford +1100, Louisville -2500) prices Stanford at 8% and Louisville at 92%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Stanford +21.5 (-112)
Stanford +22.5 (-110)
Louisville -1716 91%
Louisville -2500 92%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Stanford +22.5-104Novig
- Louisville -22.5+102Novig
- Over 60.5+104Kalshi
- Under 60.5-108BetMGM
- Stanford+1329Kalshi
- Louisville-1329Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts271
- Completion %60.1%160th
- Passing yards1,93339th
- Yards per attempt7.1147th
- TD–INT11–2
- Rushing yards67919th
- Season line136 carries, 679 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards44081st
- Season line30 catches, 440 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles49144th
- Attempts180
- Completion %67.2%39th
- Passing yards1,84446th
- Yards per attempt10.25th
- TD–INT10–3
- Rushing yards56845th
- Season line83 carries, 568 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards51348th
- Season line25 catches, 513 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles5395th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Stanford | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateStanford offense vs Louisville defense | 41.0%97th | 47.2%123rd |
| Early-down success rateLouisville offense vs Stanford defense | 45.8%109th | 46.4%25th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateStanford offense vs Louisville defense | 32.9%112th | 36.9%38th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateLouisville offense vs Stanford defense | 51.4%129th | 43.7%43rd |
| Explosive play rateStanford offense vs Louisville defense | 7.1%53rd | 6.6%66th |
| Explosive play rateLouisville offense vs Stanford defense | 8.1%106th | 11.6%1st |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 55.3%22nd-highest | 47.1%97th-highest |
On 3rd down Stanford converts 32.9% (112th) against a Louisville defense allowing 36.9% (38th).
On 3rd down Louisville converts 43.7% (43rd) against a Stanford defense allowing 51.4% (129th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Stanford | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Tavita Pritchard | Jeff Brohm |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 4th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 4–4 | 32–15 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 4–4 | 98–59 |
| Offensive coordinator | Terry Heffernan | Brian Brohm |
| Defensive coordinator | Kris Richard | Steve Ellis / Mark Ivey |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Stanford won 1 and Louisville 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | Louisville 35, Stanford 38 Stanford won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Stanford Cardinal
- Stanford Cardinal team stats
- NC State Wolfpack 28, Stanford Cardinal 31 (Oct 23)
- Elon Phoenix 7, Stanford Cardinal 34 (Oct 17)
- Stanford Cardinal 7, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58 (Oct 10)
Louisville Cardinals
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