Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
MIZOffense2026 regular season to dateARK
MIZDefenseARKMIZRecent formARKMIZHome and roadseason to dateARKMIZLast 10 gamesARKRest & travelrest and travel
MIZRest & travelARKAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Missouri (4-2) visits Arkansas (2-4) on Saturday, October 31 at 7:45 PM ET.
Missouri has the 75th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 26th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Arkansas has the 109th-ranked offense and the 106th-ranked defense. When Missouri has the ball, a 75th-ranked offense (+0.043 EPA per play) meets a 106th-ranked defense (+0.156 allowed); when Arkansas has it, a 109th-ranked offense (−0.050) meets a 26th-ranked defense (−0.057 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Missouri offense is at 41.7% (125th) and the Arkansas offense at 41.8% (123rd). Missouri scores 27.3 points per game (59th) and allows 20.5 (30th); Arkansas scores 19.3 (116th) and allows 28.8 (92nd).
Missouri is 5-2 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-3 loss to Ole Miss. Arkansas is 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-21 win over Vanderbilt.
Missouri is a 10-point road favorite, with Arkansas getting the points at home. The spread opened at Missouri -10.5. The total is 49.5, up from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Missouri -390, Arkansas +300) prices Missouri at 76% and Arkansas at 24%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Missouri -10.5 (-110)
Missouri -10 (-110)
Arkansas +305 24%
Arkansas +300 24%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Missouri -10-108DraftKings
- Arkansas +10-109Bally Bet
- Over 49.5-102Novig
- Under 49.5+104Kalshi
- Missouri-340theScore Bet
- Arkansas+335Kalshi
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts208
- Completion %63.0%102nd
- Passing yards1,75653rd
- Yards per attempt8.450th
- TD–INT14–2
- Rushing yards8677th
- Season line167 carries, 867 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards67814th
- Season line47 catches, 678 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles764th
- Attempts215
- Completion %60.9%143rd
- Passing yards1,444119th
- Yards per attempt6.7182nd
- TD–INT7–4
- Rushing yards205305th
- Season line58 carries, 205 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards63323rd
- Season line43 catches, 633 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles48158th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Missouri | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateMissouri offense vs Arkansas defense | 38.5%125th | 47.5%125th |
| Early-down success rateArkansas offense vs Missouri defense | 38.1%12th | 38.0%127th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMissouri offense vs Arkansas defense | 41.5%58th | 49.2%124th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateArkansas offense vs Missouri defense | 40.7%72nd | 40.3%69th |
| Explosive play rateMissouri offense vs Arkansas defense | 8.1%28th | 7.6%92nd |
| Explosive play rateArkansas offense vs Missouri defense | 5.8%39th | 7.1%55th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 50.1%78th-highest | 52.9%46th-highest |
On 3rd down Missouri converts 41.5% (58th) against a Arkansas defense allowing 49.2% (124th).
On 3rd down Arkansas converts 40.3% (69th) against a Missouri defense allowing 40.7% (72nd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Missouri | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Eli Drinkwitz | Ryan Silverfield |
| Tenureat this school | 7th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 51–31 | 3–4 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 63–32 | 53–29 |
| Offensive coordinator | Chip Lindsey | Tim Cramsey |
| Defensive coordinator | Corey Batoon / Derek Nicholson | Ron Roberts |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Missouri won 4 and Arkansas 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Missouri 31, Arkansas 17 Missouri won | ||
| Nov 30, 2024 | Arkansas 21, Missouri 28 Missouri won | ||
| Nov 24, 2023 | Missouri 48, Arkansas 14 Missouri won | ||
| Nov 25, 2022 | Arkansas 27, Missouri 29 Missouri won | ||
| Nov 26, 2021 | Missouri 17, Arkansas 34 Arkansas won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Missouri Tigers
- Missouri Tigers team stats
- Missouri Tigers 3, Ole Miss Rebels 31 (Oct 17)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Florida Gators 17, Missouri Tigers 45 (Oct 3)
Arkansas Razorbacks
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